Descriptive-Embossing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$376

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

240

Trades

6,080

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$392

Open exposure

$94.3K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Politics

71% 67% +$72,636

Other

23% 68% +$24,169

Sports

5% 55% -$2,279

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$1,572

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-31,140	-$28,337	94¢	$-29427	-$1,090	06-18 18:01
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+30,000	$27,000	94¢	$28.4K	+$1,350	10-15 11:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+15,774	$9,320	70¢	$11.1K	+$1,801	10-30 19:28
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+13,200	$7,752	72¢	$9.4K	+$1,686	10-26 20:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-10,296	-$8,116	82¢	$-8494	-$379	09-20 00:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$3,180	72¢	$3.6K	+$395	10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+4,306	$2,689	68¢	$2.9K	+$260	10-29 23:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+660	$378	72¢	$472	+$94	09-09 18:49
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+299	$189	72¢	$214	+$25	09-04 11:42
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+145	$104	76¢	$111	+$7	09-26 16:29
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+111	$56	82¢	$90	+$34	05-06 08:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+41	$21	82¢	$33	+$12	05-06 09:46
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+13,788	$3,195	0¢	$21	-$3,175	06-05 23:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$264	70¢	$0	-$264	10-09 18:56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+0	$381	3¢	$0	-$381	09-24 14:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	46	$106.3K	104,503	4,500	+100,003	Yes	-$619	07-09 00:06
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	180	$98.0K	86,652	44,575	+42,077	Yes	+$9,514	09-20 20:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	65	$84.8K	48,959	48,959	+0	No	+$1,349	01-23 19:35
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	266	$84.4K	54,935	75,010	-20,075	Yes	-$9,124	06-08 23:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	28	$74.8K	28,472	49,970	-21,498	Yes	-$42	04-08 21:47
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	128	$59.8K	34,403	34,403	+0	No	+$3,438	06-16 14:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	189	$55.9K	65,907	34,048	+31,859	No	+$19,934	10-25 23:22
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	179	$41.3K	43,603	2,000	+41,603	Yes	+$3,314	02-28 21:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	17	$35.7K	35,908	6,000	+29,908	Yes	+$6,192	04-10 17:23
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	25	$35.0K	36,153	0	+36,153	No	+$1,155	08-13 01:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	143	$34.7K	23,272	24,000	-728	Yes	-$877	01-28 22:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	163	$32.5K	24,584	24,584	+0	Yes	+$2,371	04-12 19:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	40	$32.4K	27,000	6,000	+21,000	Yes	+$389	03-04 18:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	91	$32.2K	28,483	26,788	+1,695	Yes	+$5,158	04-19 07:07
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$90	04-29 23:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	102	$29.7K	24,118	16,469	+7,649	Yes	-$2,566	02-28 06:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	32	$28.3K	0	31,140	-31,140	open	—	06-18 18:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	134	$27.7K	20,689	20,689	+0	open	—	10-27 22:41
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	81	$27.5K	25,871	2,500	+23,371	Yes	+$889	02-08 21:26
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	32	$27.2K	14,736	16,753	-2,018	No	+$4,240	04-12 19:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	17	$27.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	10-15 11:41
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	22	$26.0K	26,199	0	+26,199	Yes	+$222	09-18 06:53
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$150	10-08 12:09
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$24.0K	24,500	0	+24,500	No	+$479	01-31 10:16
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	1	$24.0K	24,000	0	+24,000	No	+$24	01-20 16:06
Iran leadership change by December 31?	69	$23.4K	15,751	15,751	+0	open	—	08-06 18:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	43	$22.3K	15,259	15,259	+0	Yes	+$3,378	03-01 06:39
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	27	$22.3K	28,414	0	+28,414	No	+$6,090	03-23 06:40
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	26	$22.0K	23,721	0	+23,721	No	+$1,754	06-18 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$21.5K	8,000	18,296	-10,296	open	—	09-20 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:28:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	7,774	70¢	$5,442	0x342b4a…
10-29 23:26:40	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0x8e3233…
10-29 23:24:24	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x7820d6…
10-29 23:24:06	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xe9afc2…
10-29 23:23:39	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	259	64¢	$166	0x098e17…
10-29 23:22:54	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	126	64¢	$81	0x6f3c8c…
10-29 23:22:43	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x38cd3a…
10-29 23:22:03	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x8140c9…
10-29 23:18:46	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	123	64¢	$79	0x6c6fe0…
10-29 23:18:43	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	126	64¢	$81	0x5da9a9…
10-29 23:18:36	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	277	64¢	$177	0x901fc4…
10-29 22:45:54	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x900ed3…
10-29 22:44:42	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x6d2cab…
10-29 22:44:25	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	252	64¢	$161	0x0af2a4…
10-29 22:43:25	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0xdbf452…
10-29 22:42:30	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa5c827…
10-29 22:42:30	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	510	64¢	$327	0x106dbb…
10-27 22:41:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3,253	60¢	$1,952	0xf36212…
10-27 22:39:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x9d8296…
10-27 22:39:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	968	62¢	$600	0x400e2c…
10-27 22:38:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x80aedc…
10-27 22:38:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xe6e213…
10-27 22:38:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xdeea2a…
10-27 22:38:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xa141b8…
10-27 22:37:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xcd1ce5…
10-27 22:36:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd2f1c0…
10-27 22:36:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x0dbb71…
10-27 22:36:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x7dcfc5…
10-27 22:36:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x75c298…
10-27 22:36:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xd90a84…
10-27 22:36:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x2ecfc0…
10-27 22:36:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xf0b73b…
10-27 22:36:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x4feb3d…
10-27 22:36:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x051305…
10-27 22:35:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	182	62¢	$113	0x7414de…
10-27 22:35:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x49fda1…
10-27 22:34:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xe1208f…
10-27 22:34:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xc406e8…
10-27 22:33:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xcc0651…
10-27 22:33:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x47f1d0…
10-27 22:33:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0xc807b7…
10-27 22:33:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x86b594…
10-27 22:33:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x4ebf49…
10-27 22:32:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x1aaabb…
10-27 22:32:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	233	62¢	$144	0x9ddb72…
10-27 22:32:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	135	62¢	$84	0x5c11a8…
10-27 22:32:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x1d76b5…
10-27 22:32:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xd6af42…
10-27 22:32:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x6b1199…
10-27 22:31:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x0c2856…
10-27 22:31:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	89	62¢	$55	0xdd72ac…
10-27 22:07:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5,000	63¢	$3,150	0xaf9867…
10-27 21:48:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4,000	66¢	$2,640	0x055804…
10-27 20:06:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,500	24¢	$840	0xe5fc08…
10-27 19:52:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0x71f93f…
10-27 19:10:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x7ba234…
10-27 19:07:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,500	67¢	$1,675	0x61aee8…
10-27 19:06:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0xca426f…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	156	67¢	$105	0xcf37fc…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0xc812a7…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0xc50a0c…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	16	67¢	$10	0x76d8d3…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0x60fb55…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	350	67¢	$235	0x4a45e5…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0x20bc6f…
10-27 19:06:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x114292…
10-27 19:06:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xb5ce88…
10-27 19:06:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x4c9433…
10-27 19:06:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xfcb458…
10-27 19:06:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	254	67¢	$170	0x7566ef…
10-27 19:06:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,495	67¢	$1,002	0x5c717a…
10-27 18:49:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0xce00fc…
10-27 18:39:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	469	72¢	$337	0x4a24cb…
10-27 18:39:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbead4e…
10-27 18:39:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,071	72¢	$771	0x465d25…
10-27 18:39:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	239	72¢	$172	0xaa8c93…
10-27 18:39:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	714	72¢	$514	0x8ad3f8…
10-27 04:11:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,930	71¢	$2,790	0xdabfd0…
10-27 04:08:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0xe37362…
10-26 23:27:53	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0xe088c5…
10-26 22:53:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x1b1c9f…
10-26 22:52:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	575	70¢	$403	0x4d2c89…
10-26 22:32:15	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,568	58¢	$909	0x8bbf8c…
10-26 22:25:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x4da7c4…
10-26 22:23:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0xfbe254…
10-26 22:23:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x51b0a7…
10-26 22:23:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	320	70¢	$224	0x9b7537…
10-26 22:22:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,100	70¢	$770	0x5d1317…
10-26 22:22:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	233	70¢	$163	0x9f8b78…
10-26 22:22:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	133	70¢	$93	0x09dd09…
10-26 22:22:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	362	70¢	$254	0x905ee0…
10-26 20:53:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	63¢	$132	0xf914d1…
10-26 20:53:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,781	63¢	$1,122	0xefbd30…
10-26 20:53:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0x9265c4…
10-26 20:53:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4f552d…
10-26 18:25:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,500	73¢	$1,095	0x617f41…
10-25 23:25:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,150	91¢	$1,048	0xb4f79c…
10-25 23:22:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	778	89¢	$691	0xcb43f7…
10-25 23:22:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	161	89¢	$143	0xc3fca7…
10-25 23:22:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	238	89¢	$211	0x5c852e…