Realized P&L
+$365
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
1,610
Trades
2,830
lifetime
Volume
$9.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$66
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-27 13:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
40% 62% +$210
Sports
26% 58% +$145
Crypto
21% 54% +$6
Politics
11% 68% +$4
Tech
1% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $14 94¢ $14 $0 10-26 14:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-26 14:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-25 06:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-25 23:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-26 15:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $4 78¢ $5 +$0 10-26 19:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $5 34¢ $4 $0 10-26 20:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $3 81¢ $4 +$1 10-26 17:42
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 10-17 13:16
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$1 10-21 19:42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +26 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-23 20:05