Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,581

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-27 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

64% 50% -$12

Other

36% 61% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	93¢	$5	+$0	10-27 01:27
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$0	10-27 20:40
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	92¢	$5	$0	10-27 18:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	+4	$4	94¢	$4	+$0	07-21 21:03
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	94¢	$2	+$0	10-22 18:37
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	$0	07-18 23:23
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	10-27 20:11
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	10-17 21:28
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	+0	$1	96¢	$0	-$1	07-28 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:40:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x95e079…
10-27 20:35:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x1c747e…
10-27 20:29:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x59a289…
10-27 20:26:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x47d9da…
10-27 20:26:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xf7fe9f…
10-27 20:24:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe27d57…
10-27 20:12:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x3bc6ef…
10-27 20:11:11	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xce8c25…
10-27 20:11:06	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x382dcd…
10-27 20:11:03	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x13ada7…
10-27 20:10:39	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x06d734…
10-27 20:10:36	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x66c27b…
10-27 20:08:20	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6fb076…
10-27 20:07:45	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x11f4e2…
10-27 20:05:32	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d942a…
10-27 20:03:17	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6d84e4…
10-27 19:51:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xc41d12…
10-27 18:28:05	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x5c2652…
10-27 16:52:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x48baba…
10-27 16:52:45	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0b8178…
10-27 16:27:18	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e94e9…
10-27 16:14:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x28c588…
10-27 15:48:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xec8829…
10-27 15:44:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe0a219…
10-27 15:43:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x5a8041…
10-27 15:33:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xa08d70…
10-27 15:29:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2f35e3…
10-27 15:29:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xf8e0c0…
10-27 15:28:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x79622c…
10-27 15:28:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xbef950…
10-27 15:28:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xed702b…
10-27 15:28:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xddfa13…
10-27 15:28:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xcf4ad4…
10-27 15:28:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xd3c2ac…
10-27 15:28:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x877fa1…
10-27 15:28:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x4d6bdc…
10-27 15:28:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x3dd457…
10-27 15:28:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x358870…
10-27 15:28:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x2e3929…
10-27 15:28:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x8debab…
10-27 15:28:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x6e1de0…
10-27 15:28:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x6db1fd…
10-27 15:28:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x2f1196…
10-27 15:28:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xedbd94…
10-27 15:28:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xb87665…
10-27 15:28:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xaaf2b2…
10-27 15:28:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x45a591…
10-27 15:28:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x074752…
10-27 15:28:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe5f370…
10-27 15:28:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xc6565f…
10-27 15:28:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xaff861…
10-27 15:28:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x7b6230…
10-27 15:28:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x5dd6b4…
10-27 15:28:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x016840…
10-27 15:28:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe585cf…
10-27 15:28:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xc17269…
10-27 15:28:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x39d66b…
10-27 15:28:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x318c2a…
10-27 15:28:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xee5646…
10-27 15:28:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xa320c1…
10-27 15:28:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x64538f…
10-27 15:28:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x3a7923…
10-27 15:28:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x367210…
10-27 15:28:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xf7ea58…
10-27 15:28:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xd88d15…
10-27 15:28:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xa0eeeb…
10-27 15:28:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x7ccb11…
10-27 15:28:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x72ad5e…
10-27 15:28:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe58e39…
10-27 15:28:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xb84bc7…
10-27 15:28:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9fb5f3…
10-27 15:28:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x917063…
10-27 15:28:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x0c5394…
10-27 15:28:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xbdd036…
10-27 15:28:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9bed65…
10-27 15:28:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x6967bc…
10-27 15:28:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x07e665…
10-27 15:28:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xc5d9ee…
10-27 15:28:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x91fedb…
10-27 15:28:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x3bd789…
10-27 15:28:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x1c39a9…
10-27 15:27:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xa8be30…
10-27 15:27:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9fa42a…
10-27 15:27:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9f31f8…
10-27 15:27:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xed83d8…
10-27 15:27:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xbf684f…
10-27 15:27:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x8b1003…
10-27 15:27:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x2db553…
10-27 15:27:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x233438…
10-27 15:27:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xcdceaf…
10-27 15:27:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x63e946…
10-27 15:27:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x365c2c…
10-27 15:27:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xae46b9…
10-27 15:27:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9c75aa…
10-27 15:27:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x8f286c…
10-27 15:27:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x084074…
10-27 15:27:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x00c7fc…
10-27 15:27:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe13e72…
10-27 15:27:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xc42f67…
10-27 15:27:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x7d246a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?	16	$90	46	46	+0	No	$0	05-21 15:03
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	16	$51	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	09-16 07:21
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	17	$40	31	31	+0	open	—	08-26 11:52
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	45	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	10-14 15:56
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	54	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	09-16 04:00
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	104	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	08-02 20:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$38	53	53	+0	Yes	-$1	10-14 15:57
ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	12	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$1	06-27 19:09
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	17	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-26 08:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	4	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 19:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	15	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	07-08 17:26
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	5	$30	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 13:46
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	39	$29	23	23	+0	open	—	07-22 07:15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	126	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	07-03 06:41
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	27	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-17 17:58
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	24	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	07-10 09:16
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-20 12:38
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	31	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-16 19:35
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	18	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	07-31 06:52
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-05 05:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	8	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	08-02 16:55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	3	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 07:44
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	12	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	07-10 09:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	60	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-24 20:05
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	08-03 15:46
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	13	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-22 03:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	07-22 07:15
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	14	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-20 13:40
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	16	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	07-19 08:25
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	13	$19	10	9	+1	Yes	+$0	10-06 00:19