Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
352
lifetime
Volume
$289
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$73
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 07-10 17:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
Politics
42%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 07-03 06:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 $-0 07-08 17:26
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? Yes -13 $-6 50¢ $-6 $-0 07-10 09:16
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-0 07-10 09:16
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 05:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-27 20:09
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-19 08:18
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-02 11:39
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +5 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 07-10 13:50
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 07-06 11:33
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 07-03 21:31
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 07-02 17:42
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 22:49
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-10 17:06