Colorless-Compulsion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$557

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

394

Trades

4,449

lifetime

Volume

$1.67M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$376

Open exposure

$9.11K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

57% 57% -$21,640

Politics

27% 61% -$22,827

Crypto

9% 71% -$24,896

Tech

4% 87% +$781

Sports

3% 74% -$5,820

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$285

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	+5,537	$4,595	100¢	$5.5K	+$930	10-25 22:25
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	+2,171	$1,864	100¢	$2.2K	+$302	10-19 11:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+722	$490	97¢	$699	+$209	06-12 06:35
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	-436	-$410	97¢	$-423	-$13	07-13 13:16
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+258	$152	54¢	$141	-$11	10-25 20:12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	+149	$134	92¢	$137	+$3	10-20 06:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+5	$1	90¢	$5	+$4	06-06 12:42
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	+2,035	$901	0¢	$4	-$897	10-23 17:26
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	+2,000	$90	0¢	$3	-$87	10-21 17:58
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	Yes	-1,523	-$44	0¢	$-2	+$42	10-21 15:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+0	-$75	94¢	$0	+$75	05-28 20:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$87.3K	50,150	43,150	+7,000	No	+$4,142	05-24 11:20
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	44	$74.7K	42,215	42,215	+0	Yes	-$5,812	06-03 20:36
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	55	$60.6K	34,752	34,752	+0	No	+$4,621	02-22 17:10
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	40	$52.4K	30,147	30,147	+0	Yes	-$4,074	03-23 10:53
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	34	$51.4K	38,186	17,311	+20,875	No	+$959	06-09 13:42
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	64	$47.0K	37,679	39,871	-2,192	No	+$1,820	05-12 14:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	20	$40.1K	32,328	13,700	+18,628	No	+$1,508	05-26 11:46
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	117	$38.0K	93,168	24,235	+68,932	Yes	-$3,940	02-24 02:00
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	41	$33.5K	23,056	23,056	+0	No	-$2,548	06-03 23:40
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	15	$32.7K	17,000	17,000	+0	No	+$121	07-30 09:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	26	$29.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$55	06-12 13:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	35	$27.5K	18,235	18,235	+0	No	+$128	06-10 20:11
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	45	$27.1K	40,207	3,631	+36,576	Yes	-$20,887	02-24 20:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	26	$26.3K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$500	06-04 12:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	31	$24.5K	12,665	12,665	-0	No	+$301	06-04 17:26
will seguro win all of portugals districts	29	$23.9K	13,093	13,093	+0	Yes	+$2,000	02-13 16:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	190	$23.9K	17,552	17,552	+0	Yes	+$128	06-11 09:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	8	$23.3K	14,335	17,771	-3,436	Yes	+$1,580	05-12 13:55
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	15	$22.4K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$320	07-23 17:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	24	$20.7K	10,500	10,500	+0	No	+$38	06-09 00:32
Netanyahu out by June 30?	39	$20.3K	10,413	10,413	+0	No	+$79	06-12 18:14
spx up or down on march 6 2026	44	$20.1K	12,959	8,503	+4,457	Down	+$501	03-06 17:46
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	53	$19.9K	17,304	7,517	+9,788	No	+$2,882	10-12 11:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	15	$19.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$45	05-06 00:59
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?	33	$18.8K	20,512	106	+20,406	No	+$1,791	01-24 19:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	12	$18.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-25 08:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$17.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$100	01-05 02:54
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	102	$17.5K	14,260	3,751	+10,509	No	+$269	07-09 02:12
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	34	$16.9K	15,177	3,025	+12,151	No	+$879	04-21 16:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	11	$16.8K	8,500	8,500	+0	No	+$43	06-06 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:42:12	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x24839e…
10-26 21:04:05	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	170	81¢	$138	0x6ba266…
10-26 20:34:09	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xc5fe0d…
10-26 20:34:06	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	97	81¢	$78	0xfe18cd…
10-26 20:29:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xd66be2…
10-26 20:27:11	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	123	96¢	$118	0xe6b815…
10-26 20:24:24	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdd1a4f…
10-26 20:24:21	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6060b2…
10-26 20:23:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$19	0xb9f148…
10-26 20:23:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xee9d5f…
10-26 20:23:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8af778…
10-26 20:23:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x3991bd…
10-26 20:23:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x385e13…
10-26 20:22:45	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x5d23d5…
10-26 20:22:27	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x2ead12…
10-26 15:55:48	Will Peggy Flanagan run 6 to 9 points behind Amy Klobuchar?	No	BUY	5,000	72¢	$3,613	0xb66164…
10-26 15:32:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?	No	BUY	503	72¢	$362	0x824a16…
10-26 15:04:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000?	No	SELL	325	98¢	$319	0x3f40c7…
10-26 14:49:41	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4487d2…
10-26 13:11:24	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xcdcdf9…
10-26 11:24:38	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xb4ea18…
10-26 11:23:29	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x3ff22a…
10-26 11:10:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?	Yes	BUY	588	14¢	$85	0x008270…
10-26 10:59:20	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x9996d6…
10-26 10:59:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x60b49c…
10-26 10:35:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	Yes	BUY	163	8¢	$13	0x7614d4…
10-26 10:10:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000?	No	BUY	1,272	83¢	$1,058	0x70f911…
10-26 10:07:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	Yes	BUY	172	21¢	$36	0xf87809…
10-26 10:05:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?	No	BUY	516	82¢	$425	0xcc6892…
10-26 10:03:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	No	BUY	3,965	78¢	$3,088	0x51c775…
10-26 10:02:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	BUY	280	25¢	$69	0xe1fdd3…
10-26 09:46:45	Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	185	47¢	$87	0x38bba5…
10-26 09:33:45	Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	393	44¢	$171	0x29ab06…
10-26 09:27:05	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	71¢	$326	0x1dc3e6…
10-26 08:56:29	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	273	32¢	$88	0x9ffb62…
10-26 01:08:56	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x73e377…
10-26 01:01:48	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x57ce54…
10-25 22:51:48	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x85348b…
10-25 22:26:56	Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xdb6c3f…
10-25 22:26:56	Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x84e343…
10-25 22:26:11	Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xeb5118…
10-25 22:26:11	Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,552	92¢	$1,426	0xe584ec…
10-25 22:26:09	Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0xf1beaa…
10-25 22:25:32	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	SELL	2,500	99¢	$2,482	0x086fba…
10-25 22:24:09	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,237	63¢	$773	0x9dc90c…
10-25 21:44:26	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,610	85¢	$1,363	0xedfbad…
10-25 21:44:26	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0xa46004…
10-25 21:44:26	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	8¢	$32	0x4f80b5…
10-25 21:44:26	Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x423118…
10-25 21:43:18	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0x230cb0…
10-25 20:34:05	Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	BUY	1,800	61¢	$1,102	0x2f4385…
10-25 20:27:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	No	BUY	251	76¢	$190	0xeba782…
10-25 20:25:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?	No	BUY	1,708	82¢	$1,408	0xa8ad9e…
10-25 20:22:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?	No	BUY	252	90¢	$227	0xd9f781…
10-25 20:20:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?	No	BUY	2,344	77¢	$1,816	0x4a8df7…
10-25 20:17:05	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	237	77¢	$182	0x343bdf…
10-25 20:16:35	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	517	79¢	$408	0x454866…
10-25 20:12:00	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	59¢	$152	0x7fdcc2…
10-25 20:06:08	Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	No	BUY	375	78¢	$292	0xab83fc…
10-25 20:04:30	Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	No	BUY	820	73¢	$598	0x12431a…
10-25 19:59:56	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	330	74¢	$244	0x3a86fb…
10-25 19:57:09	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	BUY	1,105	81¢	$892	0x4fba40…
10-25 19:50:38	Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	954	28¢	$268	0x7db07f…
10-25 19:39:09	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	1,397	66¢	$928	0x36172a…
10-25 19:29:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	1,596	54¢	$861	0xe9a951…
10-25 19:18:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,500	74¢	$2,590	0x31878f…
10-25 19:16:57	Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?	Yes	BUY	1,437	13¢	$192	0x416a30…
10-24 01:45:00	Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x962e58…
10-23 17:26:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	190	56¢	$106	0x63f558…
10-23 17:26:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0x3082a4…
10-23 17:26:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x28c77e…
10-23 17:26:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x554c8f…
10-23 17:06:03	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x011b05…
10-23 07:05:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	550	58¢	$319	0x65ea62…
10-22 08:20:44	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,421	30¢	$423	0x024890…
10-22 01:13:30	Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?	No	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0xcd24dd…
10-21 21:23:20	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xc3a179…
10-21 19:54:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0xe2f862…
10-21 19:54:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x494ee7…
10-21 19:54:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	550	40¢	$220	0xfafb7d…
10-21 19:52:47	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	134	40¢	$54	0x8fbe7f…
10-21 19:52:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xc94e49…
10-21 19:52:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x3a8840…
10-21 19:52:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x1d80f5…
10-21 19:52:33	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x76ff06…
10-21 19:52:32	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	82	40¢	$33	0xfe0c9c…
10-21 19:52:30	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	105	40¢	$42	0xa27382…
10-21 19:52:30	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	105	40¢	$42	0x70a389…
10-21 19:52:30	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	785	40¢	$314	0x4e5f14…
10-21 19:52:30	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	66	40¢	$26	0x0c5a43…
10-21 18:44:32	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	84	33¢	$28	0x593604…
10-21 18:26:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x15ba7f…
10-21 17:58:27	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$10	0xbb1fdf…
10-21 17:58:27	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	579	4¢	$26	0x468094…
10-21 17:58:27	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x27cc71…
10-21 17:58:09	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x45a45e…
10-21 17:58:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	63	33¢	$21	0xff2f89…
10-21 17:58:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$6	0xe39a1d…
10-21 17:58:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	130	33¢	$43	0xafe5d7…
10-21 17:58:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x769d23…