Expert-Neuropathologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

9,194

lifetime

Volume

$1.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

43% 75% $-253

Other

36% 60% +$275

Tech

17% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-8

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	57	$52.7K	94,933	30,282	+64,650	open	—	05-27 02:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	8	$50.9K	22,508	28,501	-5,994	open	—	05-30 01:37
will iran strike israel on march 6	100	$47.8K	25,131	24,528	+603	open	—	03-10 09:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	56	$43.5K	88,331	13,183	+75,148	open	—	06-17 21:12
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	322	$37.1K	18,214	21,768	-3,554	open	—	03-31 19:02
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	87	$37.1K	21,055	17,567	+3,487	open	—	03-23 10:39
will iran strike israel on march 10	64	$28.5K	15,082	16,355	-1,273	open	—	03-14 02:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$26.1K	26,300	0	+26,300	open	—	06-01 21:43
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	12	$25.9K	25,995	0	+25,995	open	—	07-22 18:40
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	135	$25.6K	37,966	0	+37,966	open	—	07-25 03:39
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	30	$25.5K	40,974	4,178	+36,796	open	—	07-24 22:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$24.2K	12,200	12,200	+0	open	—	04-09 01:09
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$22.2K	18,633	4,300	+14,333	open	—	04-30 20:05
Will the US strike Iran next?	52	$20.0K	12,824	7,743	+5,080	open	—	03-01 18:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$18.9K	16,000	10,000	+6,000	open	—	04-08 01:25
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	48	$18.4K	18,151	760	+17,391	open	—	05-22 23:58
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	57	$17.0K	9,458	8,019	+1,439	open	—	05-15 22:06
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	2	$16.3K	8,164	8,164	+0	open	—	04-15 09:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	6	$15.1K	5,136	10,136	-5,000	open	—	05-29 08:52
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	67	$15.0K	11,082	5,254	+5,828	open	—	03-26 07:28
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	93	$14.9K	10,108	5,274	+4,834	open	—	04-30 04:37
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	27	$13.9K	7,990	7,109	+881	open	—	03-28 23:57
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$12.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	04-08 00:27
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	11	$11.6K	8,534	4,949	+3,585	open	—	07-21 02:11
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	14	$11.5K	11,677	883	+10,794	Yes	+$275	05-03 16:22
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	52	$11.5K	14,923	0	+14,923	open	—	08-09 03:18
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	7	$11.2K	11,552	0	+11,552	open	—	04-15 10:21
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	51	$11.2K	16,047	0	+16,047	open	—	07-25 01:46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	175	$10.6K	20,018	1,534	+18,484	open	—	05-23 00:03
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	47	$10.1K	5,607	5,431	+176	open	—	04-03 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 04:04:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	1,383	96¢	$1,333	0x25b881…
08-10 00:55:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	605	82¢	$496	0x5b23dc…
08-10 00:53:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x5290c3…
08-10 00:53:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf91dbb…
08-09 23:21:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	240	67¢	$161	0xf35944…
08-09 06:12:12	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8801ff…
08-09 06:11:12	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8f40e4…
08-09 05:07:31	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x4ec5fc…
08-09 04:26:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	140	42¢	$59	0x410f39…
08-09 04:25:57	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	133	43¢	$57	0xbbd25c…
08-09 04:23:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x633daa…
08-09 04:22:49	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	245	33¢	$81	0x50eba3…
08-09 03:52:07	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xa5731c…
08-09 03:18:43	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,946	0x1c1837…
08-09 03:11:55	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc220f4…
08-09 03:11:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	1,018	99¢	$1,004	0xd06af9…
08-09 02:57:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xe4713c…
08-09 02:28:10	will kai or speed be eliminated by lava 20260807142948639	Yes	BUY	547	99¢	$541	0x44317d…
08-09 02:28:07	will kai or speed be eliminated by lava 20260807142948639	Yes	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xe7430d…
08-09 01:26:36	will kai or speed be eliminated by magic 20260807142948640	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xf3f194…
08-09 01:05:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x361d71…
08-08 22:56:27	will kai or speed die to a wither skeleton 20260806175301190	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x15f485…
08-08 20:54:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x4d3641…
08-08 20:50:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xfef1a7…
08-08 20:49:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xbf98e9…
08-08 20:47:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa5ae14…
08-08 20:47:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	41	82¢	$33	0x0ff684…
08-08 20:47:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xf39985…
08-08 20:47:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x99fed4…
08-08 20:47:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0xb6aca9…
08-08 16:46:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	847	82¢	$694	0xb08029…
08-08 16:33:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x30b50f…
08-08 15:52:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	26	82¢	$22	0xb84dbe…
08-08 11:17:19	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0x90e814…
08-08 08:10:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	3,000	84¢	$2,520	0xcf2f9b…
08-08 07:47:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	1,500	1¢	$16	0x6a6f24…
08-08 03:17:01	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 btts	No	BUY	263	86¢	$225	0x7b53a8…
08-08 03:11:07	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	298	95¢	$284	0x121eaa…
08-08 02:56:36	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x32c854…
08-08 02:28:30	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 spread away 1pt5	1. FC Cologne	BUY	118	88¢	$104	0x92b762…
08-08 01:58:04	will kai or speed be eliminated by magic 20260807142948640	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x4f31c5…
08-08 01:08:54	will kai or speed be eliminated by magic 20260807142948640	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc7ac7d…
08-07 16:17:27	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x6a9b5a…
08-07 15:22:34	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x96be67…
08-07 15:13:36	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0x060579…
08-07 14:30:43	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x1e45f7…
08-07 08:41:10	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	776	100¢	$772	0x6ef417…
08-07 08:04:18	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x84903b…
08-07 06:50:12	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	700	1¢	$4	0x6ff858…
08-07 06:49:30	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xb17df3…
08-07 06:48:01	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0x22a46f…
08-07 06:47:57	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	66	1¢	$0	0xbf6368…
08-07 06:47:57	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xa2ba65…
08-07 06:47:28	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb1dfae…
08-07 06:47:06	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xa417c8…
08-07 06:46:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	200	11¢	$21	0x6aa077…
08-07 06:09:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	73	80¢	$58	0x95a587…
08-07 06:09:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	180	80¢	$144	0x6424f3…
08-07 04:45:30	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	58	81¢	$46	0x2519d9…
08-07 04:44:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	78	81¢	$63	0x22a3d4…
08-07 04:43:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	45	81¢	$36	0x0077be…
08-07 04:33:46	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x931f26…
08-07 04:32:27	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0x5130f6…
08-07 04:32:25	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xcd6663…
08-07 04:32:25	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x4c2201…
08-07 04:32:25	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x1a241a…
08-07 04:32:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xa9ccdf…
08-07 01:53:37	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	359	70¢	$251	0xeda7a6…
08-07 01:52:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xcbea40…
08-07 01:36:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0x11df0b…
08-07 01:35:48	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	139	3¢	$4	0xe662c0…
08-07 01:35:46	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x96741d…
08-07 01:35:46	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x2c6999…
08-07 01:35:46	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	149	3¢	$4	0x2c3970…
08-07 01:35:46	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x29b0a4…
08-07 01:35:46	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x0fab90…
08-06 21:51:18	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	304	39¢	$119	0xf6e20b…
08-06 13:47:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	864	90¢	$778	0xf79d87…
08-06 11:39:20	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$286	0x776c58…
08-06 11:20:12	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x3ce935…
08-06 11:20:08	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xd78427…
08-06 11:20:02	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xd8363e…
08-06 11:19:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x65195a…
08-06 11:19:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x2b1728…
08-06 11:19:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x5a4f56…
08-06 11:19:32	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	38	30¢	$12	0xe8984f…
08-06 11:14:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7c1bcd…
08-06 11:10:23	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x609f1b…
08-06 08:58:23	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	57	31¢	$18	0x0c1d82…
08-06 08:57:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe8a2fa…
08-06 08:55:44	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x5abb66…
08-06 08:49:20	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 starship	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6c0211…
08-06 06:41:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x5e1bab…
08-06 05:50:08	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x890211…
08-06 05:46:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x328d6d…
08-06 05:30:39	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$183	0x913f98…
08-06 05:04:50	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xa5bd29…
08-06 04:43:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	295	62¢	$183	0xa3521e…
08-06 04:41:09	will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	Yes	BUY	184	29¢	$53	0xc88e39…
08-06 03:56:00	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x652901…