Realized P&L
+$32.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$435
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
1,123
Trades
12,036
lifetime
Volume
$1.80M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$19.9K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 218 days
Categories
Other
43% 62% +$1,214
Politics
39% 70% +$8,982
Tech
14% 78% +$22,393
Sports
2% 56% -$58
Crypto
2% 70% +$390
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +7,774 $7,489 100¢ $7.7K +$246 10-28 23:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,500 $4,140 92¢ $4.2K +$23 10-25 22:00
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,000 $1,834 98¢ $2.0K +$117 10-13 08:44
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1,200 $1,165 100¢ $1.2K +$33 10-13 06:22
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +1,140 $1,071 99¢ $1.1K +$59 10-28 09:20
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +1,000 $550 88¢ $880 +$330 07-16 03:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $635 68¢ $685 +$50 10-26 09:46
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +798 $313 36¢ $283 -$30 09-03 07:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +500 $365 55¢ $272 -$93 10-27 20:22
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +575 $298 46¢ $267 -$31 10-11 04:38
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +486 $235 53¢ $260 +$25 09-17 19:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $135 46¢ $227 +$92 10-25 06:27
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +237 $12 92¢ $218 +$206 07-03 07:32
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +1,000 $450 12¢ $120 -$330 07-19 16:19
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +340 $130 35¢ $119 -$11 07-08 14:11
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +180 $95 59¢ $106 +$11 10-06 00:55
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? No -116 -$85 52¢ $-61 +$24 07-03 23:15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,000 $15 1¢ $50 +$35 10-29 00:12
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +2,000 $168 2¢ $49 -$119 10-13 07:50
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +56 $31 65¢ $36 +$5 09-17 19:12
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes +1,033 $46 2¢ $24 -$21 10-13 11:57
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +237 $126 8¢ $19 -$107 06-28 23:32
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $12 99¢ $15 +$2 10-27 22:43
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +500 $56 1¢ $5 -$51 07-10 10:50
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,200 $34 0¢ $2 -$32 10-13 09:06
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-13 08:18
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +0 $0 64¢ $0 +$0 10-14 00:17
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +0 -$1 32¢ $0 +$1 10-17 06:35