Realized P&L
-$103
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
473
Trades
1,568
lifetime
Volume
$6.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$291
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-26 20:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
41% 54% -$15
Politics
40% 55% -$50
Tech
9% 73% -$1
Sports
7% 48% -$40
Crypto
3% 66% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $25 62¢ $25 -$1 10-26 15:54
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-26? Yes — +63 $23 36¢ $23 $0 10-26 21:30
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +33 $16 55¢ $18 +$2 10-10 11:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $14 82¢ $17 +$2 10-11 04:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +18 $16 92¢ $16 +$0 10-21 00:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $14 72¢ $16 +$2 10-26 20:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +15 $13 96¢ $15 +$1 10-25 13:18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +24 $15 59¢ $14 -$1 10-08 11:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +36 $11 38¢ $14 +$3 10-06 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +15 $12 88¢ $13 +$1 10-26 20:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $13 81¢ $12 -$1 10-17 11:36
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +12 $11 90¢ $11 $0 10-25 18:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 10-22 08:19
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +18 $6 41¢ $7 +$1 10-23 14:35
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $6 38¢ $7 +$1 10-02 19:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +22 $7 30¢ $6 $0 10-20 02:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$0 09-23 17:29
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? Mbappé +8 $5 73¢ $6 +$1 10-19 17:35
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +8 $6 76¢ $6 $0 10-05 12:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $6 92¢ $6 $0 10-07 15:03
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +18 $6 32¢ $6 +$0 10-21 22:51
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $0 10-22 03:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $6 68¢ $5 $0 10-21 18:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 10-04 23:07
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +6 $4 83¢ $5 +$1 10-17 03:20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +6 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 10-25 18:18
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +7 $4 66¢ $4 +$0 09-29 16:43
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 10-25 11:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 $0 10-26 08:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 09-17 15:43