| 05-22 17:02:46 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
14 |
14¢ |
$2 |
0x1a511d…
|
| 05-22 17:02:39 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
7 |
14¢ |
$1 |
0xa75e69…
|
| 05-21 15:28:27 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
34¢ |
$3 |
0xe9b1d4…
|
| 05-20 14:55:55 |
Trump kiss by May 31?
|
No |
SELL |
19 |
56¢ |
$10 |
0x9f3ac7…
|
| 05-20 14:50:52 |
Trump kiss by May 31?
|
No |
SELL |
6 |
58¢ |
$4 |
0xdfd82a…
|
| 05-20 14:50:52 |
Trump kiss by May 31?
|
No |
SELL |
2 |
58¢ |
$1 |
0x22f955…
|
| 05-20 14:45:49 |
Trump kiss by May 31?
|
No |
SELL |
1 |
61¢ |
$1 |
0x3e9e7e…
|
| 05-20 14:45:49 |
Trump kiss by May 31?
|
No |
SELL |
1 |
61¢ |
$1 |
0x0fa230…
|
| 05-20 03:07:22 |
Trump kiss by May 31?
|
No |
BUY |
37 |
7¢ |
$3 |
0x9a0216…
|
| 05-19 20:06:14 |
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
20¢ |
$3 |
0xf68264…
|
| 05-19 17:56:46 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
98¢ |
$5 |
0x6507d5…
|
| 05-18 20:54:26 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
68¢ |
$3 |
0x02443b…
|
| 05-04 16:32:38 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
|
No |
SELL |
21 |
82¢ |
$17 |
0x9c1021…
|
| 04-27 21:59:32 |
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?
|
No |
SELL |
13 |
14¢ |
$2 |
0x8eb9bf…
|
| 04-27 21:57:40 |
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?
|
No |
SELL |
7 |
14¢ |
$1 |
0x392c99…
|
| 04-27 19:57:26 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
17 |
17¢ |
$3 |
0xc96dda…
|
| 04-27 16:07:14 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
99¢ |
$5 |
0xd2ef2e…
|
| 04-27 15:54:46 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
98¢ |
$5 |
0x59daec…
|
| 04-27 12:50:52 |
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
14¢ |
$3 |
0xef9689…
|
| 04-27 12:50:52 |
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
96¢ |
$5 |
0x2dc7fa…
|
| 04-27 12:41:28 |
Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
73¢ |
$4 |
0xda1995…
|
| 04-27 12:00:44 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
|
No |
SELL |
16 |
98¢ |
$15 |
0xc167f8…
|
| 04-27 03:03:18 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
48¢ |
$3 |
0x63466f…
|
| 04-26 21:31:08 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
98¢ |
$5 |
0x8b3632…
|
| 04-26 21:07:08 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
81¢ |
$4 |
0x1faee1…
|
| 04-26 19:17:50 |
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
|
Yes |
SELL |
11 |
95¢ |
$10 |
0xe91f3d…
|
| 04-26 19:15:06 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
62¢ |
$3 |
0xc9fa94…
|
| 04-26 17:57:22 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
66¢ |
$3 |
0xdac4e8…
|
| 04-26 17:12:22 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
98¢ |
$5 |
0x7cf3de…
|
| 04-26 17:07:48 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
98¢ |
$5 |
0x648676…
|
| 04-26 15:37:52 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
79¢ |
$4 |
0x70c12e…
|
| 04-26 12:39:30 |
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
|
Yes |
SELL |
6 |
9¢ |
$1 |
0xb40e96…
|
| 04-26 12:38:04 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
8 |
98¢ |
$8 |
0x393bd7…
|
| 04-26 00:38:38 |
Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
63¢ |
$3 |
0x80bc1e…
|
| 04-25 05:34:58 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
73¢ |
$4 |
0x8a63cf…
|
| 04-24 23:13:20 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
61¢ |
$3 |
0x4da127…
|
| 04-24 22:18:06 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
29 |
11¢ |
$3 |
0x68cc6d…
|
| 04-24 21:44:44 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
29 |
10¢ |
$3 |
0xd51369…
|
| 04-24 15:51:12 |
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
|
No |
BUY |
11 |
9¢ |
$1 |
0xfd2997…
|
| 04-24 15:48:16 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
22¢ |
$1 |
0xd3a5b1…
|
| 04-24 10:28:26 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
72¢ |
$4 |
0xa4f3ae…
|
| 04-23 23:09:34 |
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
99¢ |
$5 |
0x3f7531…
|
| 04-23 23:05:58 |
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
82¢ |
$4 |
0x5916e0…
|
| 04-23 18:20:04 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
18 |
10¢ |
$2 |
0x1764fa…
|
| 04-23 18:17:10 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
7¢ |
$0 |
0xdf3d05…
|
| 04-23 16:49:02 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
18 |
16¢ |
$3 |
0x257370…
|
| 04-23 15:16:38 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
96¢ |
$5 |
0x6a715f…
|
| 04-22 19:58:36 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
81¢ |
$4 |
0xf7ad2f…
|
| 04-22 07:37:20 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
93¢ |
$5 |
0x95ebe4…
|
| 04-21 23:55:48 |
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
100¢ |
$7 |
0x9043d4…
|
| 04-21 23:42:44 |
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
7¢ |
$0 |
0xa70b48…
|
| 04-21 18:40:52 |
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
88¢ |
$6 |
0x11d0d0…
|
| 04-21 16:31:34 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
28¢ |
$1 |
0x4f80b9…
|
| 04-21 16:30:46 |
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
99¢ |
$5 |
0xca6fe7…
|
| 04-21 15:25:30 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
|
No |
BUY |
16 |
19¢ |
$3 |
0xabc2e9…
|
| 04-21 15:25:30 |
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
|
No |
BUY |
21 |
13¢ |
$3 |
0x413dfb…
|
| 04-21 14:19:52 |
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362
|
Yes |
SELL |
6 |
99¢ |
$6 |
0x3e351a…
|
| 04-21 13:04:48 |
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362
|
No |
BUY |
8 |
24¢ |
$2 |
0x799aaf…
|
| 04-21 08:03:16 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
92¢ |
$5 |
0x8ffa09…
|
| 04-21 03:50:10 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
93¢ |
$5 |
0x344c53…
|
| 04-20 14:47:28 |
will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
94¢ |
$5 |
0x04931c…
|
| 04-20 14:47:12 |
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
99¢ |
$5 |
0x755d47…
|
| 04-20 14:04:08 |
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
51¢ |
$3 |
0xd7bfdc…
|
| 04-19 19:36:24 |
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
95¢ |
$5 |
0x2e8327…
|
| 04-19 16:19:46 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
92¢ |
$18 |
0x3c624e…
|
| 04-19 02:30:02 |
will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
94¢ |
$5 |
0x06bfeb…
|
| 04-19 01:15:50 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
91¢ |
$5 |
0xd1c6a5…
|
| 04-18 14:41:54 |
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
99¢ |
$5 |
0xdcc4e8…
|
| 04-18 13:05:06 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
61¢ |
$3 |
0xbaed1f…
|
| 04-18 10:06:34 |
will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178
|
No |
SELL |
4 |
92¢ |
$4 |
0x65d353…
|
| 04-18 08:11:46 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
44¢ |
$3 |
0x90b0d7…
|
| 04-18 07:54:38 |
will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178
|
No |
SELL |
1 |
91¢ |
$1 |
0xd8be0c…
|
| 04-18 03:37:34 |
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
79¢ |
$4 |
0x038f82…
|
| 04-17 21:29:32 |
will trump say woke during tpusa events on april 17
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
75¢ |
$4 |
0x7cc766…
|
| 04-17 19:08:08 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
58¢ |
$3 |
0x4de39b…
|
| 04-17 18:55:38 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
|
No |
SELL |
7 |
73¢ |
$5 |
0xbe91d8…
|
| 04-17 18:48:26 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
56¢ |
$3 |
0xa71cca…
|
| 04-17 18:33:52 |
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362
|
Yes |
BUY |
3 |
49¢ |
$1 |
0x6181a5…
|
| 04-17 18:26:22 |
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362
|
Yes |
BUY |
4 |
49¢ |
$2 |
0xbfdab4…
|
| 04-17 16:36:16 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
0 |
72¢ |
$0 |
0xee960d…
|
| 04-17 16:31:46 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
4 |
72¢ |
$3 |
0xd90193…
|
| 04-17 16:31:42 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
0 |
72¢ |
$0 |
0xd02e85…
|
| 04-17 16:31:32 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
0 |
72¢ |
$0 |
0x422ac2…
|
| 04-17 16:31:30 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
1 |
72¢ |
$1 |
0xf766aa…
|
| 04-17 16:31:30 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
0 |
72¢ |
$0 |
0x29ab28…
|
| 04-17 16:31:00 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
89¢ |
$4 |
0xedce10…
|
| 04-17 16:30:46 |
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
93¢ |
$5 |
0xec3f28…
|
| 04-17 16:00:40 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
39¢ |
$2 |
0xa55905…
|
| 04-17 15:54:22 |
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
99¢ |
$5 |
0xbc152c…
|
| 04-17 15:54:22 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
71¢ |
$4 |
0x65aff8…
|
| 04-17 14:47:40 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
76¢ |
$4 |
0x5ce06f…
|
| 04-17 14:37:58 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
2 |
35¢ |
$1 |
0x2dbb8b…
|
| 04-17 12:50:46 |
will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
84¢ |
$4 |
0x375e7f…
|
| 04-17 08:41:58 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
80¢ |
$4 |
0x5e6bad…
|
| 04-17 05:41:50 |
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
94¢ |
$5 |
0x45da78…
|
| 04-16 21:51:14 |
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during no tax on tips roundtable 353 666
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
94¢ |
$5 |
0x23783b…
|
| 04-16 21:48:32 |
will trump say tax 10 times during no tax on tips roundtable
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
92¢ |
$5 |
0x5fa478…
|
| 04-16 21:04:56 |
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19
|
No |
SELL |
1 |
100¢ |
$1 |
0xb9ba6b…
|
| 04-16 21:04:18 |
will trump say barack hussein obama this week april 19
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
100¢ |
$5 |
0xc15212…
|
| 04-16 19:56:16 |
will trump say doordash or mcdonalds during no tax on tips roundtable
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
61¢ |
$3 |
0xc82e61…
|