(anonymous) 0x1d4fa5…c697f8
bot new 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
466
lifetime
Volume
$3.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$637
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-30 11:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
77% 59% -$16
Other
21% 67% +$17
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +66 $61 94¢ $62 +$1 10-27 01:47
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No -57 -$54 99¢ $-56 -$2 10-27 20:09
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No -43 -$41 100¢ $-43 -$1 10-29 17:27
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +41 $40 97¢ $40 +$0 10-26 01:35
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +72 $51 50¢ $36 -$15 10-28 21:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes -29 -$26 96¢ $-28 -$2 10-29 20:42
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +27 $3 99¢ $26 +$23 10-29 04:53
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 10-25 21:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No -42 -$27 60¢ $-25 +$1 10-29 17:33
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No -23 -$25 100¢ $-23 +$2 10-27 22:03
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -22 -$36 99¢ $-22 +$14 10-28 15:05
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +20 $16 98¢ $20 +$3 10-28 22:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -21 -$20 92¢ $-20 +$0 10-25 07:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $0 10-27 10:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-17 -$1 10-28 10:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +23 $17 74¢ $17 +$0 10-28 21:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +29 $17 56¢ $17 -$1 10-26 19:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +41 $15 40¢ $16 +$1 10-28 18:25
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No -16 -$9 97¢ $-16 -$7 10-25 21:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +38 $14 40¢ $15 +$1 10-28 17:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No -12 -$11 100¢ $-11 $0 10-28 05:34
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +11 $9 98¢ $11 +$2 10-28 16:46
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 -$10 96¢ $-10 $0 10-30 05:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $8 72¢ $9 +$1 10-26 20:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +19 $10 48¢ $9 -$1 10-25 22:06
No one announced as next James Bond? No +12 $9 77¢ $9 $0 10-26 15:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No -14 -$9 63¢ $-9 +$0 10-28 23:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 88¢ $-9 $0 10-26 18:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +13 $16 60¢ $8 -$8 10-29 23:13
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No -8 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 10-25 17:13