Realized P&L
+$210
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved
53
Trades
188,038
lifetime
Volume
$353.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$379
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
45% 40% +$267
Politics
31% 43% $-90
Crypto
11% 50% $-4
Sports
11% 57% +$37
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,100 $66 $60 $-6 07-17 17:03
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -508 $-66 12¢ $-58 +$8 06-07 17:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -844 $-72 $-38 +$34 06-28 09:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +1,596 $17 $37 +$21 07-19 22:25
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -289 $-38 12¢ $-36 +$3 07-19 18:04
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes +352 $23 $26 +$3 07-03 11:05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +832 $1 $25 +$24 07-20 14:15
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $22 20¢ $23 +$1 06-24 21:38
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -110 $-32 15¢ $-17 +$15 06-06 15:06
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -105 $-8 13¢ $-13 $-6 06-12 11:19
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $26 $11 $-14 06-25 23:12
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $6 13¢ $11 +$5 07-20 21:22
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -25 $-5 31¢ $-8 $-2 06-11 20:31
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes +179 $7 $5 $-2 07-19 10:31
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -55 $-4 $-4 $-0 06-05 21:11
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +61 $3 $4 +$1 07-14 14:50
Will Alberta join the US? Yes +38 $-2 $1 +$3 06-07 06:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +5 $-1 $0 +$1 07-10 14:42
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 05-31 04:02