Realized P&L
+$210
Unrealized P&L
+$228
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved
53
Trades
185,245
lifetime
Volume
$337.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$484
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
45% 40% +$267
Politics
31% 43% $-90
Crypto
12% 50% $-4
Sports
11% 57% +$37
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3587 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -508 $-66 12¢ $-61 +$5 06-07 17:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -844 $-72 $-46 +$26 06-28 09:45
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes +45,091 $-112 $45 +$157 06-30 12:04
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +11,000 $43 $33 $-10 06-23 10:37
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +701 $6 $31 +$25 06-29 19:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $29 14¢ $28 $-1 06-30 13:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +6,948 $13 $24 +$12 06-30 12:01
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -105 $-8 19¢ $-20 $-13 06-12 11:19
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $22 18¢ $20 $-2 06-24 21:38
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +19,600 $46 $20 $-26 06-24 14:45
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +11,510 $38 $17 $-20 06-30 12:52
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $26 $13 $-13 06-25 23:12
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Yes +4,199 $17 $13 $-4 06-17 22:21
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -110 $-32 11¢ $-12 +$19 06-06 15:06
French election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +10,309 $32 $10 $-22 06-30 13:29
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,116 $-24 $9 +$33 06-30 09:15
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes +2,100 $23 $8 $-15 06-03 09:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +7,874 $-5 $8 +$13 06-20 18:09
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -25 $-5 31¢ $-8 $-2 06-11 20:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +3,100 $37 $8 $-29 06-27 21:38
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,100 $20 $8 $-13 06-21 16:06
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? Yes +5,478 $38 $5 $-33 06-24 05:19
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? Yes +5,364 $27 $5 $-21 06-18 19:36
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,613 $37 $5 $-32 06-18 19:00
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +4,956 $31 $5 $-26 06-17 03:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? Yes +4,719 $-16 $5 +$21 06-29 19:43
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -4,162 $-28 $-4 +$23 06-23 16:11
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes +42 $-1 10¢ $4 +$5 06-26 03:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -964 $-150 $-4 +$146 06-29 13:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +96 $-20 $4 +$24 06-29 10:02