Naive-Soulmate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$536

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,646

lifetime

Volume

$1.07M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$652

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-03 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

70% 33% $-114

Other

29% 33% $-180

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$830

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	119	$146.8K	86,825	81,092	+5,734	open	—	04-07 22:55
will trump visit china by march 31	22	$83.4K	40,338	44,089	-3,751	open	—	03-25 18:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	74	$79.1K	43,578	43,711	-134	open	—	03-27 08:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	109	$74.0K	107,254	91,314	+15,940	open	—	04-04 17:02
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$62.7K	33,230	33,230	+0	Yes	$-180	04-16 08:55
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	22	$60.9K	31,747	31,747	+0	open	—	04-11 18:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	15	$39.2K	20,568	20,568	+0	open	—	04-12 07:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$37.6K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	03-15 10:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	93	$33.0K	18,122	17,622	+500	open	—	03-27 07:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	50	$29.2K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	03-29 19:54
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	39	$22.2K	11,851	11,851	+0	open	—	04-02 17:22
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	3	$19.4K	20,187	4	+20,183	open	—	04-25 21:28
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	27	$19.4K	11,931	9,931	+2,000	open	—	03-30 18:35
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	8	$18.6K	19,140	0	+19,140	open	—	04-12 19:07
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	21	$16.6K	9,721	9,721	+0	open	—	03-29 17:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$15.6K	10,561	10,561	+0	open	—	04-07 22:34
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	5	$14.7K	7,701	7,701	-0	open	—	04-21 17:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	12	$14.4K	9,820	9,820	+0	open	—	04-21 21:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	19	$13.3K	10,638	10,638	+0	open	—	04-07 22:39
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	17	$13.0K	7,922	6,422	+1,500	open	—	04-02 17:03
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	25	$11.6K	4,932	17,012	-12,080	open	—	04-08 18:18
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	41	$11.2K	6,250	5,193	+1,057	open	—	03-27 22:23
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	14	$10.8K	6,131	5,743	+388	open	—	04-01 10:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$10.0K	5,758	5,758	+0	open	—	05-29 17:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$9.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	05-20 15:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	24	$8.8K	9,853	10,353	-500	open	—	04-07 22:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	10	$8.8K	4,499	4,499	+0	open	—	03-30 15:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	36	$8.5K	8,055	8,055	+0	open	—	04-01 14:27
will trump praise allah again by april 15	8	$8.1K	4,107	4,107	+0	open	—	04-11 13:16
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	9	$7.9K	3,925	5,809	-1,884	open	—	03-20 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 21:41:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,450	99¢	$5,406	0x4d42b7…
05-29 17:22:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5,758	86¢	$4,972	0xfbbe42…
05-23 21:34:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	143	80¢	$115	0x36f291…
05-23 19:17:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0x3f5503…
05-23 19:16:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	615	88¢	$538	0x4ae5ec…
05-20 15:16:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	6,000	80¢	$4,800	0xcbe253…
05-20 14:18:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3,000	72¢	$2,160	0xfb661b…
05-20 14:03:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3,000	69¢	$2,070	0x056d19…
05-07 19:49:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	1,428	3¢	$45	0xd2745d…
05-06 23:30:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	249	80¢	$199	0x54c42e…
05-06 23:29:33	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0de276…
05-06 23:29:31	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x5b9315…
05-06 23:29:05	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x0e3c0d…
05-06 23:28:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x43c8c8…
05-06 23:28:35	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	33	80¢	$27	0x636b6b…
05-06 23:28:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xa1414f…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xee4d28…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbd5773…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa2d015…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x5cf8c5…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x216a65…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x210a7a…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1bfef3…
05-06 23:28:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0f238f…
05-06 23:28:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xae825d…
05-06 23:26:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x2204c9…
05-06 23:22:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0xae02a4…
05-06 23:09:20	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	341	16¢	$56	0x7bd55d…
05-06 22:58:12	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	326	23¢	$74	0x03eeed…
05-06 22:58:08	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0x6badb7…
05-06 22:52:25	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xcc006b…
05-06 22:46:18	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x0fe293…
05-06 22:45:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0x72ed1c…
05-06 22:26:12	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	521	18¢	$92	0x45d527…
05-06 22:23:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x368682…
05-06 22:22:23	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	315	2¢	$7	0x406762…
05-06 09:26:38	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1,025	19¢	$195	0xc33c71…
05-05 23:24:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	3,000	3¢	$96	0xc3cd75…
05-05 23:21:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	325	7¢	$23	0xa4952a…
05-05 23:17:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xed594b…
05-05 23:16:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x7ff61e…
05-05 23:16:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x44b9fc…
05-05 23:16:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	555	7¢	$39	0x972e95…
05-05 23:16:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xc9bccb…
05-05 23:15:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xab1475…
05-05 23:15:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x56f1bc…
05-05 23:15:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x33fff2…
05-05 23:15:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe97706…
05-05 23:15:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xbe536a…
05-05 23:15:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x98fa4c…
05-05 23:15:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x3e3f21…
05-05 23:15:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x292e09…
05-05 23:15:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf396b4…
05-05 23:15:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc80c9d…
05-05 23:15:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xc2e312…
05-05 23:15:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa9a01f…
05-05 23:15:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x56a27b…
05-05 23:15:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x4696ee…
05-05 23:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe67cfd…
05-05 23:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd1bd2e…
05-05 23:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xcc1ee7…
05-05 23:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc96a0e…
05-05 23:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x1a2e00…
05-05 23:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x16a0d9…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xf189b7…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xee687e…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe9971f…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x91fc74…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x84c392…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x7c3b05…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x66fafd…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x34f9a6…
05-05 23:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x00aca7…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xdeeead…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0xd4ef2d…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0xbb557d…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xa8575d…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa1349d…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x428a29…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x420179…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x32fcf5…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	292	7¢	$20	0x213a3a…
05-05 23:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x048cf0…
04-29 16:52:28	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x316971…
04-27 03:57:36	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	542	97¢	$526	0x0256b4…
04-26 20:52:34	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x9f5806…
04-26 20:40:12	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x982398…
04-26 19:06:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	1,400	34¢	$477	0xc2ad99…
04-26 19:04:12	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5765e3…
04-26 19:04:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	134	18¢	$25	0x16a67b…
04-26 16:49:10	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x9eceeb…
04-26 16:49:08	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x09554a…
04-26 16:48:12	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	151	95¢	$143	0xfdf1c5…
04-26 15:32:56	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	332	71¢	$236	0xfc61ba…
04-26 15:31:44	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	550	66¢	$365	0x0cff6d…
04-25 21:28:18	Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x768c37…
04-25 07:51:14	Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	545	98¢	$535	0xff50c6…
04-24 16:40:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	SELL	364	98¢	$357	0xd2058b…
04-24 15:56:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	108	88¢	$95	0xe60299…
04-24 15:56:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	256	87¢	$223	0x185195…