Naive-Soulmate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$536

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$1.09M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$599

Open exposure

$1.74K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-03 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

70% 33% $-114

Other

30% 33% $-180

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$830

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		+974	$874	91¢	$887	+$12	06-24 10:18
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	No		+974	$832	88¢	$852	+$20	07-02 13:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	119	$146.8K	86,825	81,092	+5,734	open	—	04-07 22:55
will trump visit china by march 31	22	$83.4K	40,338	44,089	-3,751	open	—	03-25 18:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	74	$79.1K	43,578	43,711	-134	open	—	03-27 08:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	109	$74.0K	107,254	91,314	+15,940	open	—	04-04 17:02
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$62.7K	33,230	33,230	+0	Yes	$-180	04-16 08:55
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	22	$60.9K	31,747	31,747	+0	open	—	04-11 18:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	15	$39.2K	20,568	20,568	+0	open	—	04-12 07:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$37.6K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	03-15 10:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	93	$33.0K	18,122	17,622	+500	open	—	03-27 07:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	50	$29.2K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	03-29 19:54
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	39	$22.2K	11,851	11,851	+0	open	—	04-02 17:22
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	3	$19.4K	20,187	4	+20,183	open	—	04-25 21:28
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	27	$19.4K	11,931	9,931	+2,000	open	—	03-30 18:35
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	8	$18.6K	19,140	0	+19,140	open	—	04-12 19:07
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	21	$16.6K	9,721	9,721	+0	open	—	03-29 17:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$15.6K	10,561	10,561	+0	open	—	04-07 22:34
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	5	$14.7K	7,701	7,701	-0	open	—	04-21 17:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	12	$14.4K	9,820	9,820	+0	open	—	04-21 21:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	19	$13.3K	10,638	10,638	+0	open	—	04-07 22:39
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	17	$13.0K	7,922	6,422	+1,500	open	—	04-02 17:03
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	25	$11.6K	4,932	17,012	-12,080	open	—	04-08 18:18
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	41	$11.2K	6,250	5,193	+1,057	open	—	03-27 22:23
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	14	$10.8K	6,131	5,743	+388	open	—	04-01 10:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$10.0K	5,758	5,758	+0	open	—	05-29 17:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$9.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	05-20 15:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	24	$8.8K	9,853	10,353	-500	open	—	04-07 22:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	10	$8.8K	4,499	4,499	+0	open	—	03-30 15:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	36	$8.5K	8,055	8,055	+0	open	—	04-01 14:27
will trump praise allah again by april 15	8	$8.1K	4,107	4,107	+0	open	—	04-11 13:16
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	9	$7.9K	3,925	5,809	-1,884	open	—	03-20 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 07:41:28	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	719	98¢	$708	0x7625d6…
07-03 07:41:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,352	29¢	$682	0x91bd11…
07-03 05:24:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	51	30¢	$15	0xbeeb78…
07-02 22:32:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xf0972a…
07-02 20:52:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xac7e0e…
07-02 15:50:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	124	30¢	$37	0xc0be9a…
07-02 13:25:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	428	30¢	$128	0x5f13de…
07-02 13:24:19	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	No	BUY	190	80¢	$152	0x478ec1…
06-29 09:28:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,070	0¢	$12	0x4c7035…
06-29 08:58:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0x2b5421…
06-29 08:48:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0xa2a7b3…
06-29 08:41:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x6a871d…
06-29 08:35:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0x4004fc…
06-29 08:31:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0xa38089…
06-29 08:09:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	915	0¢	$4	0x3da694…
06-29 07:33:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$1	0x8f98e5…
06-29 07:33:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x025266…
06-29 07:32:20	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	300	78¢	$234	0x79bcac…
06-28 20:35:11	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xecc82e…
06-28 08:39:19	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in july 20260626154217434	No	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x832719…
06-27 17:22:26	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	BUY	249	84¢	$209	0x66d232…
06-27 17:21:22	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	BUY	1,177	85¢	$1,000	0x2175b8…
06-27 10:10:55	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in july 20260626154217434	No	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x18a1fe…
06-27 07:15:55	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	305	97¢	$297	0xada7e9…
06-27 07:05:14	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$6	0x0dd99a…
06-27 07:04:55	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x56fe33…
06-26 17:45:44	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xe08159…
06-26 09:14:17	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x9b7561…
06-26 09:14:08	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	95¢	$760	0xde7c5a…
06-26 08:30:37	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	90¢	$198	0x5e1194…
06-25 16:16:52	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xbd7386…
06-25 07:08:58	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	No	BUY	730	87¢	$635	0xa0e231…
06-25 07:00:19	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xafbc7e…
06-24 16:31:35	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	SELL	5,000	2¢	$105	0x63476d…
06-24 10:18:07	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	974	90¢	$874	0xe764ef…
06-21 11:41:58	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	BUY	305	66¢	$201	0x56bb70…
06-21 11:41:34	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	719	68¢	$486	0x166a4a…
06-21 08:09:13	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8,841	0¢	$35	0x32a2ed…
06-21 08:07:55	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,158	0¢	$6	0x778e7b…
06-20 18:35:31	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9,999	0¢	$50	0x90a00c…
06-20 18:35:13	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	4¢	$179	0x6613c5…
06-19 22:58:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,621	30¢	$786	0xef9ac9…
06-19 22:48:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	196	30¢	$59	0x489dbf…
06-19 22:39:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xc4a424…
06-19 22:39:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2701af…
06-19 22:39:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xa382dc…
06-19 22:22:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x99ff3d…
06-19 22:22:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x180c51…
06-19 22:22:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xa13fec…
06-19 22:22:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5fec26…
06-19 22:22:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xb4a634…
06-19 22:22:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x1aeee6…
06-19 22:22:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x4dbb94…
06-19 22:22:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x258a01…
06-19 22:22:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x147ad1…
06-19 22:22:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x14647f…
06-19 22:22:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xcee9bf…
06-19 22:22:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc94106…
06-19 22:22:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x39983b…
06-19 22:22:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x265842…
06-19 22:22:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x03c73c…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xfab636…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdadf14…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa66619…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x659c43…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x5c1e45…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x598643…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x3d7ca7…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0c4dd5…
06-19 22:22:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x02e74c…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd95ea0…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xb4484f…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xac9118…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa4b70d…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9e5308…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x8d55fb…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x6fd891…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x6f0489…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x58f0d3…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x228e57…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x219537…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x121aba…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x1168d9…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0e76ef…
06-19 22:22:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0ba311…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xf761fd…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xe60247…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x5c39bb…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x41a85a…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x3eb34a…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x365232…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x25505f…
06-19 22:22:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x1bf333…
06-19 22:22:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd939c9…
06-19 22:22:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x391df0…
06-19 22:22:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x18984e…
06-19 22:21:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x87611e…
06-19 22:21:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x9ab935…
06-19 22:21:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x08c33f…
06-19 22:21:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9f9753…