Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
24
Trades
38
lifetime
Volume
$662
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$83
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-26 02:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 100% +$2
Other
35% 91% +$0
Politics
10% 100% +$1
Tech
4% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +25 $22 88¢ $22 $0 10-26 02:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-26 02:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 $0 10-26 02:36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +8 $7 87¢ $7 +$0 10-26 02:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 10-26 02:43