Realized P&L
+$2.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.79K
Hit rate
89.7%
Resolved
9,989
Trades
33,958
lifetime
Volume
$1.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$179.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-22
last 10-26 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
72% 84% +$2,491
Politics
20% 83% +$66
Sports
5% 92% +$322
Tech
1% 75% -$666
Crypto
1% 85% +$103
Pop-Culture
0% 85% -$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1285 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +15,871 $15,640 100¢ $15.9K +$215 10-26 16:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +15,871 $15,763 100¢ $15.8K +$53 10-26 16:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +15,874 $10,611 94¢ $14.8K +$4,231 10-26 16:36
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +11,678 $8,925 80¢ $9.4K +$476 10-20 15:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +8,946 $8,744 99¢ $8.9K +$144 10-14 15:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +8,946 $8,903 99¢ $8.9K -$42 10-14 15:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +8,946 $8,776 97¢ $8.7K -$72 10-14 15:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +8,949 $5,988 80¢ $7.1K +$1,126 10-14 15:12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,153 $5,967 66¢ $6.7K +$683 10-19 17:54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +9,368 $6,130 68¢ $6.4K +$240 10-25 13:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9,679 $5,413 64¢ $6.2K +$830 10-19 03:06
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,766 $5,742 97¢ $5.6K -$166 10-12 11:40
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,436 $5,398 100¢ $5.4K +$30 10-12 11:40
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,175 $5,163 99¢ $5.1K -$16 10-12 11:40
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,660 $4,650 99¢ $4.6K -$39 10-25 21:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,779 $4,798 78¢ $4.5K -$299 10-12 11:40
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +6,292 $4,810 65¢ $4.1K -$745 10-21 14:48
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,494 $3,350 68¢ $3.7K +$387 10-25 21:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,171 $4,081 34¢ $3.5K -$572 10-19 18:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,821 $3,359 92¢ $3.5K +$138 10-07 00:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +5,141 $4,153 68¢ $3.5K -$683 10-03 10:16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9,686 $4,167 36¢ $3.4K -$728 10-19 03:06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +9,416 $3,183 32¢ $3.1K -$123 10-25 13:35
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +3,096 $2,831 99¢ $3.1K +$227 09-09 17:45
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,425 $2,607 56¢ $3.0K +$405 10-26 00:03
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,970 $2,965 100¢ $3.0K +$1 08-25 11:19
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,909 $2,903 100¢ $2.9K +$3 09-09 17:45
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,909 $2,901 100¢ $2.9K +$4 09-09 17:45
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,909 $2,825 100¢ $2.9K +$78 09-09 17:45
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,909 $2,894 100¢ $2.9K +$8 09-09 17:45