Realized P&L
+$10.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.30K
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
262
Trades
1,093
lifetime
Volume
$536.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$491
Open exposure
$117.2K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-27 15:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 148 days
Categories
Other
68% 52% +$12,405
Sports
19% 63% +$4,323
Politics
10% 45% -$5,654
Crypto
3% 66% -$663
Tech
0% 0% -$300
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -32,931 -$12,485 96¢ $-31449 -$18,964 10-24 20:36
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -21,553 -$21,882 95¢ $-20508 +$1,374 10-24 19:46
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +16,589 $11,096 91¢ $15.1K +$4,000 09-27 12:46
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 No +15,079 $8,692 90¢ $13.6K +$4,879 09-06 23:48
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +7,779 $5,401 74¢ $5.7K +$317 10-25 22:53
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? No +6,832 $4,401 74¢ $5.1K +$689 10-20 12:11
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? No +5,723 $4,401 84¢ $4.8K +$377 10-17 07:34
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +5,271 $4,401 78¢ $4.1K -$290 10-18 15:20
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +4,422 $2,720 80¢ $3.5K +$796 10-03 17:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,565 $3,248 88¢ $3.1K -$129 09-03 00:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -2,918 -$7,292 100¢ $-2907 +$4,384 10-17 07:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -3,038 -$2,524 93¢ $-2818 -$294 07-26 21:31
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,141 $2,101 73¢ $2.3K +$192 10-18 16:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +897 $476 95¢ $853 +$377 10-12 17:58
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +677 $500 87¢ $587 +$87 10-23 12:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +716 $501 76¢ $541 +$40 10-16 18:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +745 $430 39¢ $291 -$140 10-11 11:28