Melodic-Giggle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.52K

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

260

Trades

1,092

lifetime

Volume

$536.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$491

Open exposure

$116.5K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Other

68% 52% +$12,405

Sports

19% 63% +$4,323

Politics

10% 39% -$5,868

Crypto

3% 66% -$663

Tech

0% 0% -$300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	-32,931	-$12,485	94¢	$-31120	-$18,635	10-24 20:36
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	-21,553	-$21,882	93¢	$-20023	+$1,859	10-24 19:46
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+16,589	$11,096	91¢	$15.1K	+$4,000	09-27 12:46
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	+15,079	$8,692	90¢	$13.6K	+$4,955	09-06 23:48
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	+7,779	$5,401	74¢	$5.7K	+$317	10-25 22:53
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	+6,832	$4,401	74¢	$5.1K	+$655	10-20 12:11
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	No	+5,723	$4,401	84¢	$4.8K	+$406	10-17 07:34
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,271	$4,401	77¢	$4.1K	-$343	10-18 15:20
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,422	$2,720	80¢	$3.5K	+$796	10-03 17:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,565	$3,248	88¢	$3.1K	-$129	09-03 00:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-2,918	-$7,292	100¢	$-2910	+$4,381	10-17 07:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	-3,038	-$2,524	94¢	$-2869	-$346	07-26 21:31
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,141	$2,101	74¢	$2.3K	+$207	10-18 16:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+897	$476	94¢	$844	+$368	10-12 17:58
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	+677	$500	87¢	$587	+$87	10-23 12:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+716	$501	76¢	$541	+$40	10-16 18:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+745	$430	40¢	$294	-$136	10-11 11:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	31	$49.0K	31,475	64,406	-32,931	open	—	10-24 20:36
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	22	$35.9K	9,589	31,142	-21,553	open	—	10-24 19:46
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	38	$34.2K	21,311	21,311	+0	No	+$5,592	04-28 18:35
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	38	$31.4K	19,136	22,054	-2,918	open	—	10-17 07:18
nba nop cha 2026 02 02	3	$22.3K	11,633	11,633	+0	Hornets	+$923	02-02 22:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	19	$20.3K	19,121	11,951	+7,170	No	+$2,526	06-16 14:52
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	21	$17.1K	16,682	12,164	+4,518	No	-$1,860	02-03 17:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	11	$12.6K	13,802	10,238	+3,565	open	—	09-03 00:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$11.9K	9,387	9,387	+0	Yes	-$2,123	01-29 20:57
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	5	$11.1K	16,589	0	+16,589	open	—	09-27 12:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	4	$11.0K	0	12,123	-12,123	No	-$1,085	06-16 22:26
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	14	$11.0K	17,179	2,100	+15,079	open	—	09-06 23:48
ice shooter charged by march 31	20	$9.3K	5,865	5,865	+0	No	+$837	03-19 19:39
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	6	$8.9K	8,558	4,750	+3,808	Max Holloway	+$1,328	07-12 03:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	36	$8.3K	5,204	5,204	+0	Yes	+$717	04-04 10:33
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6	$8.1K	5,688	5,688	+0	No	-$528	01-15 11:17
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	5	$6.0K	8,010	0	+8,010	Islam Makhachev	+$1,993	08-15 18:31
will andr ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$5.9K	4,754	3,750	+1,004	Yes	+$106	01-18 16:22
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	5	$5.8K	4,012	4,012	+0	open	—	09-03 00:50
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	7	$5.4K	7,779	0	+7,779	open	—	10-25 22:53
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$5.3K	4,414	4,414	+0	Yes	-$82	07-31 11:23
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	18	$4.9K	4,379	1,901	+2,478	No	+$1,203	03-31 23:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$4.4K	4,368	1,501	+2,866	Yes	+$856	07-29 17:14
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	7	$4.4K	4,276	4,276	+0	open	—	09-01 18:36
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	2	$4.4K	5,723	0	+5,723	open	—	10-17 07:34
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	2	$4.4K	6,832	0	+6,832	open	—	10-20 12:11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	6	$4.4K	7,115	0	+7,115	open	—	10-24 16:48
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	4	$4.4K	5,271	0	+5,271	open	—	10-18 15:20
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	5	$4.2K	3,579	3,579	+0	open	—	10-23 06:20
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	8	$4.2K	4,882	0	+4,882	No	+$681	01-19 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:57:56	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	460	70¢	$320	0x2fdaa6…
10-25 22:58:44	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	SELL	413	99¢	$411	0x1095c5…
10-25 22:53:39	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	BUY	1,398	72¢	$1,000	0xcaf460…
10-25 20:42:56	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,194	53¢	$634	0xbbf568…
10-25 20:08:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	915	69¢	$635	0x85bf16…
10-24 22:04:00	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xa830e9…
10-24 22:03:51	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9300ef…
10-24 22:03:29	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x2dc2d3…
10-24 22:03:18	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x783166…
10-24 22:02:59	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	120	73¢	$88	0xf48833…
10-24 21:54:48	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0xf58fe4…
10-24 21:02:18	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	456	100¢	$455	0x405d49…
10-24 20:37:06	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	294	65¢	$189	0x55d78b…
10-24 20:36:44	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	209	92¢	$192	0x6b6d01…
10-24 19:47:48	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	456	59¢	$269	0x8c1eea…
10-24 19:46:08	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	297	93¢	$275	0x698fef…
10-24 17:02:51	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	444	52¢	$231	0xf1e30c…
10-24 16:48:15	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2,179	64¢	$1,400	0x20509f…
10-24 16:47:45	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,511	93¢	$1,400	0x038a09…
10-24 12:50:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	306	71¢	$217	0x871bc2…
10-24 09:25:56	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,416	62¢	$880	0xdcd89e…
10-23 18:59:36	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	89	48¢	$43	0x71009e…
10-23 17:11:26	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	53¢	$47	0x8d84a9…
10-23 12:32:51	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xc1e145…
10-23 12:31:03	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x6b98f9…
10-23 12:27:54	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0x0d898a…
10-23 12:27:24	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x577862…
10-23 06:20:15	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	SELL	2,424	43¢	$1,032	0xef1c12…
10-23 06:12:38	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	360	78¢	$280	0x9d5aab…
10-22 22:59:33	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	113	63¢	$71	0xbc36c2…
10-22 22:53:42	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7df601…
10-22 22:53:23	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x33a057…
10-22 22:20:00	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	650	70¢	$455	0x56c4b7…
10-22 21:27:02	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	SELL	260	45¢	$117	0x8ee631…
10-22 21:13:57	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	SELL	895	50¢	$452	0x8ae9ee…
10-22 20:16:39	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	SELL	775	36¢	$277	0xf27d3c…
10-21 22:35:09	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5df109…
10-21 22:34:45	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5eb4b1…
10-21 22:33:51	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xae4e7c…
10-21 22:23:32	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	3,803	74¢	$2,800	0xe934d6…
10-21 22:19:23	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,050	92¢	$2,811	0x71adbb…
10-21 21:25:33	will russia capture svitle by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x1cfbba…
10-21 21:25:17	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xe6c466…
10-21 17:44:18	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,081	68¢	$730	0x52e09a…
10-21 17:43:39	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	755	93¢	$705	0xfd1522…
10-20 12:11:17	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa0e9a3…
10-20 12:09:38	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6,831	64¢	$4,400	0x941e2f…
10-20 12:05:42	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	753	93¢	$700	0x4879ab…
10-20 12:04:02	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,900	95¢	$3,709	0xaff255…
10-19 21:17:00	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x7a8fed…
10-19 21:08:43	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	961	63¢	$607	0x166555…
10-19 21:03:39	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	629	95¢	$600	0xc3e9bc…
10-19 20:15:33	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$163	0x4e384a…
10-19 20:15:15	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	171	95¢	$163	0x1330ea…
10-19 19:58:26	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x914cd0…
10-19 18:41:18	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0xc9f32c…
10-19 18:41:05	Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x476e51…
10-19 18:32:11	Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc6219c…
10-19 18:24:51	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	BUY	384	62¢	$240	0x357ef9…
10-19 18:24:14	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x6d256d…
10-18 16:33:17	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,040	67¢	$700	0x739258…
10-18 16:32:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	750	94¢	$702	0x98955c…
10-18 15:20:35	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,403	83¢	$2,000	0xf51d35…
10-18 15:20:17	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,101	95¢	$2,000	0x53baa3…
10-18 06:08:21	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	413	85¢	$349	0xe611bf…
10-17 13:41:03	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	154	84¢	$130	0xcf2fed…
10-17 12:45:27	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0xf75338…
10-17 12:39:54	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xf29209…
10-17 12:33:11	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,659	84¢	$1,400	0xb66bbd…
10-17 12:27:33	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x41f29f…
10-17 12:14:06	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	510	78¢	$400	0x7e5d13…
10-17 12:12:33	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe250c5…
10-17 12:10:38	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	697	86¢	$600	0x301e90…
10-17 07:34:41	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfc0e20…
10-17 07:34:15	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5,721	77¢	$4,400	0x24d642…
10-17 07:23:03	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,400	94¢	$5,052	0xee89b7…
10-17 07:19:15	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	370	95¢	$352	0x2323c9…
10-17 07:18:11	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2,020	97¢	$1,969	0x1baa39…
10-16 18:24:36	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x858113…
10-16 18:23:24	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,208	83¢	$1,000	0x4c4fbd…
10-16 18:21:24	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,027	97¢	$1,001	0x06f335…
10-16 18:07:24	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xb17bda…
10-16 18:03:38	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	703	70¢	$492	0xb5a2c8…
10-16 18:03:18	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	503	98¢	$491	0x7a7dc2…
10-16 14:11:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3870aa…
10-16 14:10:39	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	953	69¢	$655	0xfd6a2c…
10-16 14:10:03	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	210	98¢	$205	0x9ab46a…
10-16 13:59:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	914	77¢	$700	0x048ede…
10-16 13:57:49	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	616	98¢	$601	0x55accb…
10-16 13:56:48	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	616	98¢	$601	0x751f57…
10-13 20:43:39	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaa5037…
10-13 20:43:10	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	1,752	57¢	$1,000	0x244618…
10-13 20:42:34	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,053	95¢	$1,002	0xacec08…
10-13 20:18:57	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	318	25¢	$79	0x469620…
10-13 19:42:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	318	62¢	$197	0xdb713e…
10-13 19:41:42	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	207	97¢	$201	0xb84945…
10-13 17:32:28	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	BUY	1,546	71¢	$1,100	0xbc8b97…
10-13 17:32:00	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,147	96¢	$1,102	0xabfe65…
10-13 16:48:19	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x384e0e…
10-13 16:48:00	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x84dd62…