Melodic-Giggle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

701

lifetime

Volume

$301.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$429

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-10 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-237

Sports

19% — —

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

5% 86% $-14

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	38	$34.2K	21,311	21,311	+0	open	—	04-28 18:35
nba nop cha 2026 02 02	3	$22.3K	11,633	11,633	+0	open	—	02-02 22:29
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	10	$19.0K	19,167	42,195	-23,028	open	—	07-04 16:41
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	21	$17.1K	16,682	12,164	+4,518	open	—	02-03 17:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$11.9K	9,387	9,387	+0	open	—	01-29 20:57
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	7	$10.5K	10,238	10,238	+0	open	—	07-31 09:57
ice shooter charged by march 31	20	$9.3K	5,865	5,865	+0	open	—	03-19 19:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	6	$9.2K	1,828	11,951	-10,123	open	—	06-16 14:52
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	5	$8.6K	8,051	4,750	+3,300	open	—	07-12 03:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	36	$8.3K	5,204	5,204	+0	open	—	04-04 10:33
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6	$8.1K	5,688	5,688	+0	open	—	01-15 11:17
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	5	$7.0K	9,589	0	+9,589	open	—	07-01 08:35
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	2	$7.0K	0	7,617	-7,617	open	—	06-16 22:26
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	7	$6.2K	11,223	0	+11,223	open	—	08-03 15:58
will andr ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$5.9K	4,754	3,750	+1,004	open	—	01-18 16:22
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	18	$4.9K	4,379	1,901	+2,478	open	—	03-31 23:39
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	8	$4.2K	4,882	0	+4,882	open	—	01-19 23:04
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	17	$4.0K	2,577	2,577	+0	open	—	02-13 07:21
will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	3	$3.4K	2,404	2,404	+0	open	—	07-29 17:12
will trump visit china by march 31	8	$3.4K	4,551	4,551	+0	open	—	03-16 21:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	11	$3.4K	1,957	1,957	+0	open	—	04-28 18:35
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	10	$2.9K	1,712	1,712	+0	open	—	03-11 19:51
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	12	$2.9K	9,278	9,278	+0	open	—	05-02 22:04
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.5K	3,530	78	+3,451	open	—	04-03 10:13
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	10	$2.5K	2,927	560	+2,367	open	—	02-24 14:25
nba dal ind 2026 02 22	1	$2.4K	2,523	0	+2,523	open	—	02-23 00:14
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	1	$2.2K	2,751	0	+2,751	open	—	02-02 20:40
nba mia okc 2026 01 11	1	$1.8K	1,891	0	+1,891	open	—	01-12 01:49
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	5	$1.8K	1,923	0	+1,923	open	—	01-18 18:41
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	3	$1.8K	0	2,024	-2,024	open	—	07-26 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:50:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	476	59¢	$280	0x04dbf9…
08-10 17:33:43	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	653	31¢	$200	0xe9ad46…
08-10 01:46:46	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	844	30¢	$252	0xacf7c8…
08-09 19:31:04	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	107	69¢	$74	0xfb3c6b…
08-09 17:13:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	369	75¢	$277	0x3c6222…
08-09 17:12:21	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	441	75¢	$330	0x9885a4…
08-09 08:13:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	421	76¢	$321	0xd32468…
08-07 18:00:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	748	53¢	$396	0xd2835d…
08-03 15:58:15	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	1,782	62¢	$1,100	0x61130c…
08-02 23:09:47	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xae6a07…
08-02 20:07:27	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	BUY	280	82¢	$230	0x9134d0…
08-02 19:19:42	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x7f08fc…
08-02 07:01:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1,198	52¢	$628	0x94380d…
08-01 18:39:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x148545…
08-01 16:24:39	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbda48a…
07-31 22:36:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6a2651…
07-31 22:35:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0x4d3059…
07-31 22:27:11	will russia enter ternuvate again by august 31	No	BUY	101	53¢	$54	0x90c286…
07-31 21:24:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	908	66¢	$601	0x78a5a5…
07-31 18:43:30	atp acosta prado 2026 07 30	Facundo Acosta	BUY	307	65¢	$201	0x83afb2…
07-31 18:18:50	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x09ff16…
07-31 18:18:14	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0xba8819…
07-31 09:57:36	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,119	44¢	$2,234	0x9c10ee…
07-30 21:49:23	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbcd84d…
07-30 21:48:00	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	1,212	66¢	$800	0x12b156…
07-30 16:43:11	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,119	48¢	$2,460	0x1f412b…
07-30 06:07:12	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf2917d…
07-29 22:37:44	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2,500	60¢	$1,500	0x7fe3e1…
07-29 22:31:44	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	211	57¢	$120	0x16a60f…
07-29 17:12:44	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,226	84¢	$1,032	0x1c75f6…
07-26 21:47:46	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	6,533	52¢	$3,375	0xae6721…
07-26 21:35:25	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,178	86¢	$1,016	0xe3ec30…
07-26 21:31:18	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1,226	88¢	$1,083	0x387649…
07-26 20:34:39	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	BUY	198	31¢	$61	0x247eda…
07-26 20:32:09	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0xfe8d31…
07-23 17:35:16	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	648	85¢	$548	0x60ba7c…
07-22 21:17:04	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0xf3fea4…
07-16 21:14:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	Yes	BUY	409	73¢	$300	0x836fd8…
07-16 20:44:13	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,178	57¢	$670	0x2ca8ae…
07-12 03:21:14	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	1,269	71¢	$901	0x2ed314…
07-06 12:08:59	atp dimitro fery 2026 07 06	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	79	68¢	$53	0xbbd5ec…
07-06 12:00:10	atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	Alexander Zverev	BUY	192	73¢	$140	0xfc298a…
07-06 11:43:22	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xc3c7e5…
07-04 16:41:05	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,900	35¢	$657	0x0a1b73…
07-04 01:31:04	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,227	51¢	$1,140	0xd0ce2a…
07-03 19:54:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,705	55¢	$1,500	0x405f83…
07-02 22:30:34	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	846	59¢	$501	0x031bd3…
07-02 11:52:17	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,609	61¢	$1,600	0x33cf75…
07-01 13:46:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,851	59¢	$1,100	0x663fbc…
07-01 09:21:41	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	5,077	65¢	$3,300	0xd0cf7a…
07-01 08:35:19	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,691	76¢	$2,800	0xa9bf78…
07-01 01:50:47	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	378	67¢	$254	0x6f17dd…
06-30 23:26:13	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x70cbef…
06-27 10:52:56	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,531	21¢	$1,185	0x25f2c6…
06-26 18:27:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	22¢	$1,099	0xfa3303…
06-26 10:26:19	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,042	20¢	$1,807	0x6aa334…
06-25 22:40:14	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2,404	58¢	$1,400	0xed1745…
06-25 20:17:43	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,477	22¢	$965	0xd60bdd…
06-25 20:17:43	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,023	15¢	$306	0xc252ef…
06-25 13:20:37	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,847	73¢	$2,820	0xe259ed…
06-25 13:15:40	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14,222	28¢	$3,989	0xa0e3cb…
06-20 17:40:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	3,481	67¢	$2,322	0x2b8cbb…
06-16 22:26:20	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,904	95¢	$1,813	0x4f82cb…
06-16 22:04:13	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	2,031	69¢	$1,401	0x593eb9…
06-16 17:57:16	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,230	48¢	$590	0x4bfdea…
06-16 17:32:01	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	943	69¢	$651	0x41053a…
06-16 14:52:59	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	2,390	66¢	$1,585	0xf39f1a…
06-15 03:48:12	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	442	52¢	$230	0xcb5499…
06-14 16:26:54	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,947	50¢	$2,998	0x357037…
06-12 18:25:22	atp shelton shimabu 2026 06 12	Ben Shelton	BUY	431	72¢	$310	0x1d0aff…
06-11 08:29:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	9,561	65¢	$6,244	0xb028cc…
06-10 22:06:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,777	16¢	$444	0xdbd260…
06-09 07:06:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,991	45¢	$5,396	0x6dfa86…
06-09 07:05:52	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,713	91¢	$5,170	0x6936a2…
06-08 08:41:15	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	181	73¢	$132	0xcf9bb3…
06-02 19:41:15	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	505	29¢	$146	0xc55f13…
06-02 18:36:58	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	191	70¢	$134	0x7b0c09…
06-02 14:40:08	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	401	75¢	$300	0xe95f6e…
06-02 13:14:14	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x0f030b…
06-02 10:57:02	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	926	23¢	$213	0xb66682…
06-01 13:26:02	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	313	67¢	$210	0x24a290…
05-31 22:15:50	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	474	95¢	$452	0x546e04…
05-31 19:39:37	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	256	62¢	$159	0xda069f…
05-31 18:54:38	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x787165…
05-30 15:59:34	Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	Moise Kouame	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0xd36962…
05-29 23:13:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe05894…
05-29 23:11:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xb90783…
05-29 18:37:22	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x5ef77b…
05-29 17:57:16	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x56e468…
05-29 17:05:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1,396	72¢	$1,000	0xc23489…
05-29 16:47:24	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	357	39¢	$139	0x81dffd…
05-29 16:25:37	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x1cb347…
05-29 05:08:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,702	23¢	$845	0xf7e3c5…
05-28 10:21:24	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	167	36¢	$60	0xf8b56f…
05-27 18:54:59	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	185	74¢	$137	0x5baf53…
05-27 18:38:53	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	351	61¢	$214	0x6423c7…
05-27 18:37:29	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	204	61¢	$124	0xf1d09a…
05-27 14:30:16	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x6e0cea…
05-10 23:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xadb36c…
05-10 22:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x44ccac…