Charming-Grape 0xac4a1f…a0bf1e
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$165.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$65.0K
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
7,864
Trades
238,786
lifetime
Volume
$13.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$416.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-28 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Politics
56% 45% +$178,500
Other
38% 45% -$22,071
Tech
4% 37% +$3,008
Crypto
1% 33% +$645
Sports
0% 49% +$6,733
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1,426
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 748 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +26,153 $23,435 97¢ $25.3K +$1,895 10-11 23:15
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +25,531 $20,694 90¢ $22.9K +$2,157 07-30 14:50
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +24,573 $12,043 92¢ $22.5K +$10,441 07-25 11:32
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +23,307 $20,349 94¢ $21.8K +$1,466 10-28 02:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +21,224 $10,586 88¢ $18.6K +$7,985 10-13 05:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +37,017 $22,793 46¢ $17.2K -$5,580 10-28 02:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +21,700 $18,032 79¢ $17.1K -$889 10-22 10:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +20,002 $15,472 83¢ $16.7K +$1,220 09-15 16:37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +26,416 $16,239 61¢ $16.2K -$59 08-11 06:02
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +16,948 $15,673 85¢ $14.3K -$1,344 10-05 15:02
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +13,980 $9,177 100¢ $13.9K +$4,755 09-27 21:57
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14,424 $11,479 96¢ $13.8K +$2,361 07-27 15:13
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +13,800 $11,259 92¢ $12.7K +$1,485 10-28 02:18
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +12,686 $11,993 100¢ $12.7K +$674 08-27 08:34
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +12,654 $12,036 97¢ $12.3K +$238 08-07 05:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +12,626 $4,468 97¢ $12.2K +$7,779 10-11 16:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15,809 $7,973 77¢ $12.2K +$4,256 10-28 01:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +11,954 $4,942 94¢ $11.3K +$6,354 10-25 21:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +17,411 $4,204 65¢ $11.3K +$7,052 10-12 13:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +13,381 $9,096 84¢ $11.2K +$2,077 10-12 07:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +12,270 $10,319 90¢ $11.1K +$755 09-21 23:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +12,940 $9,270 84¢ $10.8K +$1,535 09-21 13:04
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +11,125 $10,275 95¢ $10.5K +$271 09-09 07:59
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +26,472 $10,509 39¢ $10.3K -$251 10-25 17:40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +15,049 $9,980 68¢ $10.2K +$253 10-22 19:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +10,570 $9,517 95¢ $10.0K +$498 09-08 07:42
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +9,761 $8,606 100¢ $9.7K +$1,141 06-05 00:56
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +9,914 $4,612 94¢ $9.3K +$4,658 08-20 23:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +9,550 $7,663 96¢ $9.1K +$1,457 09-22 12:32
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9,092 $8,696 100¢ $9.1K +$382 08-27 11:18