Charming-Grape 0xac4a1f…a0bf1e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$577
Unrealized P&L
+$3.10K
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
135
Trades
120,684
lifetime
Volume
$6.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$101.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-20 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
65% 36% +$945
Other
29% 37% $-376
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
1% 67% +$8
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3511 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +12,840 $10,118 77¢ $9.9K $-231 07-20 17:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,504 $8,541 88¢ $8.3K $-215 07-20 18:13
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +8,857 $7,231 88¢ $7.8K +$607 07-19 08:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +7,727 $7,233 98¢ $7.5K +$309 06-17 16:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6,926 $5,557 80¢ $5.5K $-17 07-18 11:33
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +5,214 $4,906 100¢ $5.2K +$284 07-15 03:34
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,409 $3,423 88¢ $4.8K +$1,364 07-09 03:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4,586 $399 99¢ $4.5K +$4,120 07-11 23:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -4,674 $-3,768 88¢ $-4090 $-322 06-08 16:37
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +4,377 $4,075 93¢ $4.1K $-7 07-20 16:02
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +7,352 $4,204 55¢ $4.0K $-197 07-14 12:33
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -3,657 $-3,520 98¢ $-3575 $-56 06-16 12:12
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +7,386 $3,687 46¢ $3.4K $-253 07-14 12:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,563 $1,607 82¢ $2.9K +$1,315 07-12 09:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +25,031 $3,119 12¢ $2.9K $-241 07-19 10:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +4,158 $3,058 66¢ $2.7K $-314 07-20 14:02
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +2,803 $2,435 92¢ $2.6K +$130 07-10 11:56
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,401 $1,800 61¢ $2.1K +$275 07-06 14:07
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,633 $6,392 12¢ $2.0K $-4,364 07-08 20:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,620 $2,775 74¢ $1.9K $-849 07-19 08:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +6,409 $1,248 23¢ $1.5K +$226 07-13 09:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,499 $562 86¢ $1.3K +$735 07-01 13:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2,806 $180 46¢ $1.3K +$1,097 07-14 12:32
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,008 $567 60¢ $1.2K +$648 07-13 20:01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -1,307 $-1,141 88¢ $-1143 $-2 07-12 04:01
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +2,930 $1,725 39¢ $1.1K $-582 07-06 13:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,849 $1,176 40¢ $1.1K $-51 07-15 14:19
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -1,563 $-720 70¢ $-1086 $-366 06-09 12:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,585 $1,055 68¢ $1.1K +$14 07-12 09:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,354 $996 76¢ $1.0K +$40 07-19 08:51