Charming-Grape 0xac4a1f…a0bf1e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$577
Unrealized P&L
+$11.5K
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
135
Trades
73,750
lifetime
Volume
$3.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$84.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
68% 36% +$945
Other
25% 37% $-376
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
2% 67% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 3683 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -13,426 $-8,813 90¢ $-12150 $-3,337 05-31 03:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,519 $6,086 68¢ $6.4K +$340 06-08 22:54
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5,956 $3,460 89¢ $5.3K +$1,841 06-09 09:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +15,266 $2,013 32¢ $5.0K +$2,948 06-08 22:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -4,674 $-3,768 82¢ $-3833 $-65 06-08 16:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5,146 $1,701 74¢ $3.8K +$2,107 06-09 17:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +4,208 $3,268 89¢ $3.8K +$487 06-08 18:48
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +3,263 $2,379 99¢ $3.2K +$853 06-06 00:03
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +3,045 $2,428 100¢ $3.0K +$614 06-08 01:01
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +2,998 $1,224 99¢ $3.0K +$1,749 06-05 23:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -2,767 $-2,888 98¢ $-2698 +$190 06-07 20:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +3,409 $2,210 76¢ $2.6K +$364 06-09 20:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +3,915 $1,701 63¢ $2.5K +$765 06-09 23:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +3,015 $2,202 80¢ $2.4K +$225 06-09 07:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,764 $1,770 77¢ $2.1K +$358 06-09 23:15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +2,120 $2,053 99¢ $2.1K +$52 06-08 23:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +2,927 $1,835 64¢ $1.9K +$23 06-06 14:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +9,247 $1,494 18¢ $1.7K +$217 06-09 21:54
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +6,511 $3,268 26¢ $1.7K $-1,575 06-09 19:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +2,364 $1,154 70¢ $1.7K +$513 06-09 11:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,425 $1,232 37¢ $1.6K +$405 06-09 17:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1,640 $-1,614 99¢ $-1626 $-12 06-08 11:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +2,015 $1,237 76¢ $1.5K +$304 06-09 21:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +1,501 $1,181 94¢ $1.4K +$230 06-07 19:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +1,503 $1,166 92¢ $1.4K +$210 06-09 22:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,512 $1,300 37¢ $1.3K $-1 06-07 21:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -1,310 $-1,240 98¢ $-1280 $-40 06-09 22:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1,904 $571 63¢ $1.2K +$629 06-08 06:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +3,148 $429 36¢ $1.1K +$720 06-09 16:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +1,206 $791 94¢ $1.1K +$337 06-09 20:07