Charming-Grape 0xac4a1f…a0bf1e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$577
Unrealized P&L
+$38.8K
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
135
Trades
112,833
lifetime
Volume
$6.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$180.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 06-30 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
68% 36% +$945
Other
26% 37% $-376
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
1% 67% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 3683 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +36,506 $18,998 100¢ $36.4K +$17,380 06-19 21:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +22,624 $19,721 100¢ $22.6K +$2,847 06-17 13:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12,381 $10,694 99¢ $12.3K +$1,619 06-26 16:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +12,121 $11,394 100¢ $12.1K +$715 06-16 03:45
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +11,007 $10,510 100¢ $11.0K +$480 06-30 00:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +9,531 $7,874 100¢ $9.5K +$1,633 06-11 21:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +7,872 $3,663 100¢ $7.9K +$4,189 06-23 23:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +7,727 $7,233 96¢ $7.4K +$205 06-17 16:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +6,943 $4,451 77¢ $5.4K +$909 06-30 01:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +5,103 $2,228 100¢ $5.1K +$2,869 06-29 17:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -4,674 $-3,768 88¢ $-4090 $-322 06-08 16:37
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +4,105 $2,696 99¢ $4.1K +$1,356 06-12 07:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -3,837 $-3,707 99¢ $-3816 $-109 06-17 03:58
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -3,657 $-3,520 97¢ $-3542 $-23 06-16 12:12
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +13,956 $5,665 23¢ $3.2K $-2,484 06-30 01:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4,586 $648 62¢ $2.8K +$2,173 06-25 15:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -2,767 $-2,888 100¢ $-2765 +$124 06-07 20:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +6,694 $2,834 38¢ $2.6K $-257 06-28 09:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +18,993 $2,750 14¢ $2.6K $-186 06-29 17:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,563 $1,646 72¢ $2.5K +$902 06-19 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,911 $-3,070 82¢ $-2401 +$669 06-13 16:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -4,257 $-1,898 48¢ $-2022 $-124 06-20 20:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -1,967 $-1,873 100¢ $-1964 $-90 06-11 17:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +1,986 $1,276 95¢ $1.9K +$607 06-13 15:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No -1,838 $-1,818 100¢ $-1835 $-17 06-29 14:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2,258 $1,182 80¢ $1.8K +$636 06-28 21:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,022 $1,203 89¢ $1.8K +$596 06-18 05:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1,640 $-1,614 100¢ $-1639 $-24 06-08 11:16
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +1,610 $-589 100¢ $1.6K +$2,191 06-26 18:49
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +1,566 $1,188 99¢ $1.5K +$355 06-25 18:22