Realized P&L
+$416
Unrealized P&L
+$991
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved
11
Trades
30,930
lifetime
Volume
$2.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$44.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55% 0% $-12
Other
45% 78% +$428
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 707 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -8,517 $-8,359 98¢ $-8372 $-13 06-08 01:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -4,914 $-4,274 88¢ $-4300 $-26 06-09 09:59
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -3,435 $-3,404 99¢ $-3413 $-9 06-07 06:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,635 $3,080 84¢ $3.1K $-8 06-08 16:44
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +3,141 $2,928 96¢ $3.0K +$99 06-05 17:16
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -2,621 $-2,584 99¢ $-2592 $-8 06-04 04:20
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +2,732 $1,687 88¢ $2.4K +$731 06-09 09:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,138 $1,939 92¢ $2.0K +$17 06-08 19:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,895 $1,750 92¢ $1.7K $-7 06-09 12:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -1,472 $-1,453 99¢ $-1456 $-3 06-01 04:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1,585 $1,383 92¢ $1.5K +$67 06-08 16:02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1,421 $-1,396 99¢ $-1409 $-13 06-01 02:22
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1,243 $-1,229 99¢ $-1232 $-2 06-03 05:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +872 $729 94¢ $815 +$86 06-09 07:59
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -833 $-775 92¢ $-771 +$4 06-03 05:37
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -708 $-699 99¢ $-701 $-2 06-01 02:33
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -710 $-714 96¢ $-682 +$32 06-09 18:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +695 $633 95¢ $661 +$27 05-31 16:51
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -525 $-472 88¢ $-462 +$9 06-05 01:01
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -540 $-464 86¢ $-462 +$3 06-01 22:54
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +493 $448 90¢ $446 $-1 06-02 17:35
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -463 $-433 92¢ $-428 +$5 06-09 09:07
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +500 $395 80¢ $398 +$2 06-08 10:22
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -405 $-369 94¢ $-379 $-10 06-05 22:49
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -390 $-367 94¢ $-367 $-0 06-06 06:08
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -331 $-307 96¢ $-316 $-8 06-05 05:48
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No -252 $-240 95¢ $-238 +$1 06-08 22:25
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No -230 $-227 98¢ $-224 +$3 06-08 08:37
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -250 $-240 88¢ $-220 +$20 05-28 22:54
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -243 $-210 88¢ $-214 $-3 06-08 12:05