Realized P&L
+$416
Unrealized P&L
+$1.67K
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved
11
Trades
32,496
lifetime
Volume
$2.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$84.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
54% 0% $-12
Other
46% 78% +$428
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 707 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -13,512 $-13,362 100¢ $-13499 $-136 06-27 15:42
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? No -10,909 $-10,879 100¢ $-10898 $-19 06-24 16:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,942 $5,819 86¢ $5.9K +$116 06-27 21:58
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -5,913 $-5,896 100¢ $-5901 $-5 06-27 22:06
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No -5,549 $-5,563 100¢ $-5538 +$25 06-28 18:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -4,952 $-4,413 90¢ $-4432 $-19 06-30 08:13
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -3,435 $-3,427 100¢ $-3432 $-5 06-13 18:50
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +2,989 $1,674 100¢ $3.0K +$1,301 06-30 10:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -2,791 $-2,814 100¢ $-2780 +$34 06-22 01:58
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +2,618 $2,461 94¢ $2.5K +$13 06-25 14:16
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +2,802 $2,417 87¢ $2.4K +$20 06-28 17:08
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -2,359 $-2,450 100¢ $-2352 +$99 06-26 08:12
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? No -1,906 $-1,899 100¢ $-1904 $-5 06-23 18:47
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -1,968 $-1,850 94¢ $-1860 $-10 06-19 13:36
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -1,985 $-1,875 94¢ $-1856 +$19 06-30 16:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,888 $1,590 86¢ $1.6K +$44 06-30 07:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,604 $-1,564 90¢ $-1451 +$113 06-14 21:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1,421 $-1,396 100¢ $-1420 $-24 06-01 02:22
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -1,401 $-1,393 100¢ $-1398 $-5 06-26 17:46
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1,249 $-1,235 100¢ $-1247 $-12 06-15 16:57
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? No -1,245 $-1,239 100¢ $-1244 $-5 06-25 02:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,313 $1,202 94¢ $1.2K +$27 06-29 12:25
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,151 $1,037 92¢ $1.1K +$27 06-30 07:01
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? No -1,050 $-1,046 100¢ $-1049 $-3 06-10 18:31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +984 $968 100¢ $983 +$15 06-26 05:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -900 $-849 94¢ $-847 +$2 06-16 14:19
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? No +772 $713 95¢ $737 +$23 06-29 04:17
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +777 $715 94¢ $726 +$12 06-15 00:50
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -562 $-545 94¢ $-526 +$20 06-29 04:36
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +548 $519 96¢ $524 +$5 06-28 09:44