Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?
open
Total volume
$4,888
$13 in 24h
Trades
145
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$13,171
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-08-28
last 10-26 11:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.3¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $3.6K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $4.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $33 | $3.5K | $3.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $158 | $383 | $225 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $282 | $222 | +$60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $13 | $177 | $164 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $176 | $3.4K | $3.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $222 | $219 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $130 | $126 |
| Below median | 7 | $7 | $72 | $66 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $286 | $428 | $142 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pink-Making-Leap 0xcc3e…0e8d | Yes | +3,352 | $272 | $272 | 5 | 10-15 08:46 |
| Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | +2,673 | $2,432 | $2,432 | 5 | 10-15 08:46 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +871 | $834 | $834 | 4 | 10-13 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | +494 | $155 | $158 | 27 | 08-31 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x991d…74b4 | No | +494 | $344 | $344 | 25 | 08-31 12:44 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +353 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-13 19:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +290 | $14 | $14 | 10 | 10-26 08:50 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +128 | $117 | $117 | 4 | 10-15 19:12 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +125 | $120 | $120 | 4 | 10-06 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5be2…55e9 | No | +98 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 10-21 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8c2…105e | No | +66 | $61 | $61 | 5 | 10-15 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bc5…5b4c | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-22 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e1d…712b | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 3 | 09-24 23:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 09-24 23:09 |
| Pleasing-Watchmaker 0x7b86…3a4b | Yes | +37 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf419…ece5 | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 10-19 09:31 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-24 09:51 |
| Medium-Synergy 0xb418…7389 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 10-24 09:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $4 | 3 | 10-22 09:25 |
| Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 09-04 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-26 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb443…1090 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 08:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 11:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3630b7… |
| 10-26 11:32:48 | (anonymous) 0xdceb…6e87 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3630b7… |
| 10-26 08:50:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd05f2c… |
| 10-26 08:50:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd05f2c… |
| 10-26 08:05:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xef79e3… |
| 10-26 08:05:32 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xef79e3… |
| 10-24 09:51:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc27762… |
| 10-24 09:51:59 | Medium-Synergy 0xb418…7389 | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0xc27762… |
| 10-22 09:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x8bc5…5b4c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x18f54c… |
| 10-22 09:25:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x18f54c… |
| 10-22 09:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x18f54c… |
| 10-21 10:32:39 | (anonymous) 0xf8c1…e071 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0c134a… |
| 10-21 10:32:39 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0c134a… |
| 10-21 07:54:05 | (anonymous) 0x5be2…55e9 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf352c6… |
| 10-21 07:54:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xf352c6… |
| 10-21 07:54:05 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf352c6… |
| 10-21 07:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd9ee8e… |
| 10-21 07:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x5be2…55e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd9ee8e… |
| 10-21 07:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x5be2…55e9 | No | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $37 | 0x0bb253… |
| 10-21 07:47:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0bb253… |
| 10-19 09:31:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0c2799… |
| 10-19 09:31:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x0c2799… |
| 10-19 09:31:29 | (anonymous) 0xf419…ece5 | No | BUY | 37 | 96¢ | $36 | 0x0c2799… |
| 10-15 19:12:37 | (anonymous) 0xd8c2…105e | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $12 | 0x68ef22… |
| 10-15 19:12:37 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x68ef22… |
| 10-15 19:12:37 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x68ef22… |
| 10-15 19:12:37 | Pleasing-Watchmaker 0x7b86…3a4b | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x68ef22… |
| 10-15 08:46:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x539ad6… |
| 10-15 08:46:35 | (anonymous) 0xb443…1090 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x539ad6… |
| 10-15 08:46:32 | Pink-Making-Leap 0xcc3e…0e8d | Yes | BUY | 559 | 9¢ | $50 | 0x1570a0… |
| 10-15 08:46:32 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 507 | 91¢ | $462 | 0x1570a0… |
| 10-15 08:46:32 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 39 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x1570a0… |
| 10-15 08:46:32 | (anonymous) 0xd8c2…105e | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $12 | 0x1570a0… |
| 10-14 12:00:15 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xcd51ae… |
| 10-14 12:00:15 | (anonymous) 0xd8c2…105e | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xcd51ae… |
| 10-14 12:00:15 | Pink-Making-Leap 0xcc3e…0e8d | Yes | BUY | 559 | 9¢ | $50 | 0xcd51ae… |
| 10-14 12:00:15 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 506 | 91¢ | $460 | 0xcd51ae… |
| 10-14 04:42:41 | Pink-Making-Leap 0xcc3e…0e8d | Yes | BUY | 558 | 9¢ | $50 | 0x425a1b… |
| 10-14 04:42:41 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 29 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x425a1b… |
| 10-14 04:42:41 | (anonymous) 0xd8c2…105e | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x425a1b… |
| 10-14 04:42:41 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 520 | 91¢ | $473 | 0x425a1b… |
| 10-13 19:05:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x3ffedf… |
| 10-13 19:05:27 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 335 | 5¢ | $17 | 0x3ffedf… |
| 10-13 19:05:27 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3ffedf… |
| 10-13 19:05:27 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 300 | 95¢ | $285 | 0x3ffedf… |
| 10-13 17:07:01 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 374 | 91¢ | $341 | 0x58fba7… |
| 10-13 17:07:01 | Pink-Making-Leap 0xcc3e…0e8d | Yes | BUY | 393 | 9¢ | $35 | 0x58fba7… |
| 10-13 17:07:01 | (anonymous) 0xd8c2…105e | No | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x58fba7… |
| 10-13 17:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfd5179… |
| 10-13 17:05:33 | Pink-Making-Leap 0xcc3e…0e8d | Yes | BUY | 1,283 | 7¢ | $87 | 0xfd5179… |
| 10-13 17:05:33 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 500 | 96¢ | $482 | 0xfd5179… |
| 10-13 17:05:33 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 765 | 91¢ | $696 | 0xfd5179… |
| 10-13 17:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfd5179… |
| 10-06 08:19:00 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x4b7c67… |
| 10-06 08:19:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4b7c67… |
| 10-04 20:56:28 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x44b426… |
| 10-04 20:56:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x44b426… |
| 10-04 20:56:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x44b426… |
| 10-04 19:20:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x86fc44… |
| 10-04 19:20:10 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x86fc44… |
| 10-03 16:00:20 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xdd94c5… |
| 10-03 16:00:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdd94c5… |
| 09-24 23:14:35 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9cd7b8… |
| 09-24 23:14:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9cd7b8… |
| 09-24 23:09:39 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x65f1ca… |
| 09-24 23:09:39 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x65f1ca… |
| 09-24 23:09:39 | (anonymous) 0xdceb…6e87 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x65f1ca… |
| 09-24 23:09:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x53d465… |
| 09-24 23:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xdceb…6e87 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x53d465… |
| 09-24 23:09:24 | (anonymous) 0xdceb…6e87 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3a2290… |
| 09-24 23:09:24 | (anonymous) 0x9e1d…712b | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x3a2290… |
| 09-24 22:55:09 | (anonymous) 0x9e1d…712b | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x1138ad… |
| 09-24 22:55:09 | (anonymous) 0xf8c1…e071 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x1138ad… |
| 09-18 13:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x937a25… |
| 09-18 13:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x9e1d…712b | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x937a25… |
| 09-05 17:01:45 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 28 | 93¢ | $26 | 0xc4afe8… |
| 09-05 17:01:45 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | SELL | 28 | 93¢ | $26 | 0xc4afe8… |
| 09-05 09:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x743293… |
| 09-05 09:40:19 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 43 | 93¢ | $40 | 0x743293… |
| 09-05 09:40:19 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x743293… |
| 09-05 03:44:12 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdc1b0c… |
| 09-05 03:44:12 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdc1b0c… |
| 09-05 03:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xdc1b0c… |
| 09-04 17:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x44b1ec… |
| 09-04 17:06:46 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x44b1ec… |
| 09-04 17:06:46 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x44b1ec… |
| 08-31 18:58:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x63354c… |
| 08-31 18:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x63354c… |
| 08-31 18:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x63354c… |
| 08-31 12:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xfa2ccf… |
| 08-31 12:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x991d…74b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xfa2ccf… |
| 08-31 12:43:45 | (anonymous) 0x991d…74b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xd60945… |
| 08-31 12:43:45 | (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xd60945… |
| 08-31 12:43:28 | (anonymous) 0x991d…74b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xfedcea… |
| 08-31 12:43:28 | (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xfedcea… |
| 08-31 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x991d…74b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x338417… |
| 08-31 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x338417… |
| 08-31 12:42:57 | (anonymous) 0x991d…74b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xffe515… |
| 08-31 12:42:57 | (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xffe515… |
| 08-31 12:42:42 | (anonymous) 0x2d71…bffb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x97e7fa… |