Pleasing-Watchmaker 0x7b86c6…4d3a4b
16L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$216
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
19.6%
Resolved
62
Trades
92
lifetime
Volume
$449
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$56
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 10-15 19:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
51% 4% -$152
Politics
44% 23% +$362
Sports
6% 20% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +207 $13 7¢ $15 +$2 10-15 19:07
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +21 $10 40¢ $8 -$2 08-02 05:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +134 $12 6¢ $7 -$5 09-20 03:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +56 $5 10¢ $5 +$0 10-15 19:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +115 $5 4¢ $5 +$0 10-15 19:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +132 $5 4¢ $5 +$0 09-12 03:54
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 09-20 03:58
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +84 $10 4¢ $3 -$7 10-15 19:11
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +138 $15 2¢ $2 -$13 10-15 19:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? Yes +133 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-15 19:09
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? Yes +69 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-15 19:13