Realized P&L
+$60
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
660
lifetime
Volume
$25.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$1.11K
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 07-23 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
40% 100% +$50
Sports
30% 100% +$3
Other
29% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -305 $-296 98¢ $-298 $-2 07-20 07:10
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -218 $-220 97¢ $-211 +$10 07-11 19:19
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +200 $192 100¢ $200 +$8 05-06 08:19
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -200 $-194 96¢ $-191 +$3 07-12 15:42
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -161 $-159 98¢ $-159 +$0 07-05 23:33
Will Alberta join the US? No -50 $-50 97¢ $-49 +$1 06-27 15:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 +$0 07-23 07:48