Realized P&L
+$54.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.96K
Hit rate
96.6%
Resolved
373
Trades
6,032
lifetime
Volume
$2.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$468
Open exposure
$94.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-30 03:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Politics
62%
80%
+$29,079
Other
37%
75%
+$24,552
Sports
0%
91%
+$1,031
Crypto
0%
67%
-$87
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk
• peak 108 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 130 | $192.7K | 151,240 | 48,145 | +103,095 | No | +$6,063 | 03-31 14:11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | 207 | $130.8K | 80,785 | 59,481 | +21,304 | No | +$3,045 | 09-30 21:19 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | 121 | $117.6K | 65,890 | 55,365 | +10,525 | No | +$1,701 | 05-31 02:43 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | 32 | $103.5K | 63,807 | 40,745 | +23,062 | No | +$805 | 04-26 21:45 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 34 | $100.9K | 70,132 | 32,258 | +37,874 | No | +$1,340 | 06-17 17:06 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | 15 | $73.9K | 57,462 | 18,550 | +38,912 | No | +$1,659 | 09-01 02:32 |
| Netanyahu out by May 31? | 25 | $57.6K | 46,586 | 11,647 | +34,940 | No | +$546 | 05-25 16:28 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 318 | $47.4K | 23,569 | 25,967 | -2,398 | No | +$795 | 03-08 23:39 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | 32 | $44.6K | 45,793 | 0 | +45,793 | No | +$1,150 | 09-13 14:52 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | 26 | $44.1K | 48,017 | 0 | +48,017 | No | +$3,910 | 09-01 01:17 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | 27 | $41.9K | 41,545 | 4,960 | +36,585 | Yes | +$3,993 | 10-23 19:26 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | 42 | $41.3K | 28,585 | 15,600 | +12,984 | No | +$1,710 | 10-15 14:05 |
| will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28 | 128 | $40.2K | 21,216 | 21,330 | -114 | Yes | +$592 | 03-01 21:21 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 71 | $38.6K | 19,927 | 19,706 | +221 | No | +$350 | 03-14 05:03 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24 | 11 | $38.0K | 19,208 | 19,208 | +0 | Yes | +$292 | 07-26 11:17 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | 11 | $36.4K | 28,141 | 9,310 | +18,832 | Yes | +$184 | 10-12 19:51 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | 61 | $34.4K | 25,610 | 9,300 | +16,310 | Yes | +$357 | 10-27 20:46 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 67 | $33.6K | 20,091 | 20,091 | +0 | No | +$2,180 | 06-19 19:42 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29 | 10 | $33.3K | 16,798 | 16,798 | +0 | Yes | +$185 | 07-31 21:43 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | 86 | $31.8K | 23,000 | 11,527 | +11,473 | open | — | 10-23 06:09 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | 33 | $30.4K | 29,413 | 1,615 | +27,798 | Yes | +$530 | 09-20 20:22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | 8 | $29.6K | 29,972 | 0 | +29,972 | Yes | +$374 | 09-30 18:37 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 22 | $28.0K | 14,222 | 14,222 | +0 | No | +$255 | 03-08 05:00 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 67 | $28.0K | 15,201 | 15,164 | +37 | No | +$852 | 05-12 15:15 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026 | 77 | $27.9K | 14,335 | 14,551 | -216 | No | +$800 | 03-08 22:32 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | 13 | $27.9K | 13,173 | 14,973 | -1,800 | No | +$138 | 05-09 00:07 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 40 | $26.6K | 15,000 | 15,000 | +0 | open | — | 07-28 18:14 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | 78 | $26.6K | 15,919 | 14,919 | +1,000 | No | -$1,854 | 10-01 05:04 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 13 | $26.3K | 13,197 | 13,197 | +0 | Yes | +$55 | 03-08 22:35 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 10 | $25.4K | 13,052 | 13,052 | +0 | No | +$114 | 05-09 21:56 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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