Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
95
Trades
774
lifetime
Volume
$511
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$25
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 11-13 10:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
58% 67% -$8
Politics
33% 77% +$4
Tech
6% 71% +$0
Sports
2% 50% -$4
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 11-09 20:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$0 11-05 05:07
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 11-08 13:10
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 11-11 15:08
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-15 05:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $0 11-12 16:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $0 82¢ $1 +$2 11-10 14:36
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-15 08:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 $0 11-08 13:53
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 11-13 10:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 11-03 15:50
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 08-04 19:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 11-04 16:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $4 4¢ $0 -$4 08-10 11:01