Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.13K

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

1,917

Trades

24,409

lifetime

Volume

$1.91M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$33.0K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 274 days

Categories

Other

55% 50% +$31,868

Politics

43% 53% +$18,897

Tech

1% 33% +$349

Crypto

0% 38% +$61

Sports

0% 0% -$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	+8,809	$8,366	96¢	$8.5K	+$121	11-01 10:01
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	+6,775	$5,050	75¢	$5.1K	+$49	10-31 22:46
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	Yes	+9,865	$1,475	23¢	$2.2K	+$775	10-31 18:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-1,847	-$1,460	97¢	$-1786	-$327	06-14 01:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,782	$381	57¢	$1.6K	+$1,217	10-31 16:23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+1,609	$1,482	95¢	$1.5K	+$50	10-16 14:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+2,368	$1,653	64¢	$1.5K	-$150	10-31 16:23
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+1,734	$1,060	66¢	$1.1K	+$76	11-01 09:55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	+819	$564	97¢	$795	+$231	08-05 16:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	+11,854	$839	6¢	$711	-$128	11-01 03:17
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	+2,698	$446	22¢	$607	+$161	10-29 17:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+1,734	$550	34¢	$598	+$48	10-31 16:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,852	$362	20¢	$582	+$219	10-18 23:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	+599	$245	96¢	$575	+$330	09-28 10:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+3,366	$413	16¢	$522	+$109	11-01 10:26
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	+636	$390	78¢	$499	+$109	10-18 22:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-513	-$519	92¢	$-472	+$47	07-21 03:48
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	+667	$450	68¢	$457	+$7	11-01 14:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	-493	-$432	93¢	$-456	-$24	10-30 11:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	-420	-$406	98¢	$-413	-$7	07-27 05:41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	+422	$319	90¢	$381	+$63	10-18 22:58
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	+400	$220	81¢	$324	+$104	10-29 14:54
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,248	$200	26¢	$318	+$119	10-07 05:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	-299	-$304	99¢	$-295	+$9	08-20 21:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	-291	-$312	99¢	$-288	+$25	07-29 04:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,080	$173	26¢	$275	+$103	10-07 04:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-280	-$249	97¢	$-272	-$22	05-25 20:48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	+397	-$332	65¢	$258	+$590	10-28 11:22
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+2,142	$1,010	12¢	$246	-$764	10-29 17:37
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	-245	-$228	98¢	$-240	-$12	05-25 20:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	106	$40.7K	28,340	26,634	+1,706	No	+$1,227	09-29 00:54
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?	20	$32.8K	18,659	17,856	+802	open	—	10-19 21:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	547	$32.2K	71,413	70,422	+991	Yes	+$981	03-29 16:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	72	$22.8K	16,365	16,858	-493	open	—	10-30 11:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	46	$21.7K	12,132	11,582	+550	No	+$165	07-28 13:58
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	381	$21.5K	48,376	48,482	-107	No	+$1,342	03-31 09:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	83	$20.1K	23,102	22,888	+215	No	+$431	10-24 21:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	103	$19.6K	26,922	24,141	+2,782	open	—	10-31 16:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	48	$19.3K	18,028	13,020	+5,008	Yes	+$262	09-29 22:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	526	$18.6K	116,857	115,941	+916	No	+$1,094	03-29 21:04
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	289	$17.9K	59,388	60,737	-1,349	No	+$621	03-30 02:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	77	$17.1K	17,894	17,394	+500	No	+$747	08-28 21:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	70	$16.2K	15,988	15,331	+657	Yes	-$50	10-28 04:12
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	261	$15.7K	26,714	25,959	+756	No	+$1,488	03-31 15:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	99	$15.5K	18,209	18,209	+0	No	+$592	09-20 12:34
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	201	$14.9K	19,668	19,668	+0	No	+$331	03-31 16:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	55	$14.2K	19,042	18,839	+204	open	—	10-26 00:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	311	$13.7K	61,874	60,174	+1,700	No	+$537	03-30 11:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	16	$12.2K	8,855	3,730	+5,125	Yes	+$147	09-15 21:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	96	$11.9K	14,792	14,627	+165	No	+$931	06-14 19:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	9	$11.5K	6,566	6,107	+459	No	+$363	09-08 12:24
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	600	$10.9K	152,157	154,146	-1,989	No	+$269	03-28 13:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	38	$10.8K	11,443	11,443	+0	Yes	+$220	09-22 18:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415	62	$10.8K	14,739	14,095	+644	open	—	10-29 03:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	38	$10.7K	15,726	15,726	+0	open	—	10-21 22:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	11	$10.6K	6,698	6,698	+0	No	+$162	10-23 09:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	53	$10.4K	9,754	9,754	+0	No	+$911	05-28 11:09
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	27	$10.4K	9,892	3,117	+6,775	open	—	10-31 22:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	69	$10.0K	9,225	9,312	-87	Yes	-$398	06-15 03:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	59	$9.8K	19,293	17,683	+1,610	No	+$308	08-04 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:04:45	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	106	65¢	$69	0x95eb7d…
11-01 13:55:57	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x4fee6f…
11-01 13:49:43	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	SELL	257	27¢	$69	0x0779ca…
11-01 13:47:22	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	SELL	771	27¢	$208	0xe0c533…
11-01 13:42:12	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1ab7bd…
11-01 13:35:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	699	4¢	$31	0x36bca0…
11-01 12:53:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,720	1¢	$24	0xa419ca…
11-01 12:43:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes	BUY	3,660	4¢	$134	0x10144d…
11-01 12:33:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,030	1¢	$13	0x29b94a…
11-01 12:24:21	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x22160b…
11-01 12:18:00	Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	617	100¢	$616	0xff9f3e…
11-01 12:09:43	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	9¢	$26	0x76703f…
11-01 12:07:27	Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x527089…
11-01 12:06:25	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	6¢	$28	0xd7e0ef…
11-01 11:56:12	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x314513…
11-01 11:53:00	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	404	13¢	$52	0x030ba1…
11-01 11:50:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	395	2¢	$9	0x15135b…
11-01 11:47:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,277	1¢	$15	0x0eaca0…
11-01 11:47:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	Yes	BUY	707	2¢	$16	0x4875d8…
11-01 11:45:45	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x086574…
11-01 10:29:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xfbe52a…
11-01 10:26:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,906	12¢	$229	0x48912d…
11-01 10:22:16	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,300	1¢	$10	0x37034e…
11-01 10:11:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x446264…
11-01 10:05:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	2¢	$31	0xa30f24…
11-01 10:04:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,150	2¢	$24	0x6cf6c3…
11-01 10:02:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,719	4¢	$67	0x5fffc5…
11-01 10:01:22	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	8,809	95¢	$8,366	0xca3f70…
11-01 10:01:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,394	3¢	$49	0x12fa07…
11-01 10:01:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xcda37c…
11-01 09:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x64bfde…
11-01 09:55:15	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	1,852	65¢	$1,207	0xa8cfbc…
11-01 09:55:13	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	302	64¢	$194	0x505fba…
11-01 09:43:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x24a218…
11-01 09:21:51	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xa04e68…
11-01 09:14:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0xf5fa75…
11-01 09:13:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x2ce6e2…
11-01 09:12:22	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xeb6cbe…
11-01 09:09:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	618	2¢	$14	0x6b1305…
11-01 09:01:16	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x4e987e…
11-01 08:59:19	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	170	68¢	$116	0xd22277…
11-01 08:51:43	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	4,158	64¢	$2,644	0x88dfad…
11-01 08:48:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1,895	97¢	$1,830	0x281382…
11-01 08:45:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	13¢	$36	0xce7f8c…
11-01 08:43:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,183	13¢	$148	0xec6c58…
11-01 08:37:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	497	97¢	$483	0x0e465b…
11-01 06:42:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	223	2¢	$5	0x51a103…
11-01 03:17:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	3,668	7¢	$257	0x26fb27…
11-01 01:09:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x950ffe…
11-01 00:22:21	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xfce14f…
11-01 00:18:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	777	2¢	$16	0x27122d…
11-01 00:14:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	600	6¢	$34	0xbad87e…
10-31 23:09:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x546bca…
10-31 22:49:52	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	SELL	751	92¢	$693	0x4cd3e6…
10-31 22:46:24	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	937	76¢	$710	0x89e81c…
10-31 22:36:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	333	34¢	$113	0x566982…
10-31 22:30:49	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	682	51¢	$351	0x312e32…
10-31 22:26:16	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,206	31¢	$372	0x1015c3…
10-31 22:25:01	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	156	82¢	$127	0x25b104…
10-31 22:22:07	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	634	78¢	$491	0xb31d7f…
10-31 22:13:28	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	121	28¢	$34	0xb77bd9…
10-31 22:13:07	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	534	41¢	$221	0xd421d1…
10-31 22:10:19	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	220	84¢	$185	0x0e96bd…
10-31 21:39:15	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0xca1bde…
10-31 21:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	277	7¢	$19	0x381de8…
10-31 21:04:37	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	994	5¢	$50	0xa85951…
10-31 19:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes	BUY	6,587	4¢	$232	0x43e459…
10-31 18:43:16	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	Yes	SELL	459	23¢	$104	0x72d251…
10-31 18:40:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	1,294	4¢	$47	0x1c3810…
10-31 18:38:33	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	Yes	BUY	1,675	21¢	$353	0xf27a93…
10-31 18:38:31	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,733	75¢	$1,301	0x8f9f1e…
10-31 16:32:31	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	94¢	$56	0x0420a6…
10-31 16:29:10	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	136	96¢	$131	0xe2d16e…
10-31 16:23:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	417	64¢	$267	0x33614d…
10-31 16:23:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	59¢	$203	0xfa1e43…
10-31 16:18:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,436	59¢	$1,428	0x6adb4a…
10-31 16:16:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	243	32¢	$78	0xebe3e5…
10-31 15:42:57	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	117	28¢	$33	0xa5fa8d…
10-31 15:42:48	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,002	33¢	$653	0x023366…
10-31 15:24:43	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe90816…
10-31 15:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	541	6¢	$32	0x1afe9a…
10-31 15:16:16	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	218	82¢	$179	0x51eae7…
10-31 15:08:52	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	No	BUY	632	32¢	$203	0x1a67c9…
10-31 14:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x812d89…
10-31 14:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc17fc5…
10-31 11:12:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	258	6¢	$15	0x05051d…
10-31 10:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,142	7¢	$80	0x62c62b…
10-31 10:11:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,738	7¢	$122	0x617b11…
10-31 09:45:40	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	439	87¢	$381	0x61ef94…
10-31 09:29:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	441	40¢	$175	0x5e87d5…
10-31 09:09:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	791	64¢	$506	0x85f30b…
10-31 09:09:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,443	66¢	$1,614	0xb4c2bc…
10-31 09:09:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,584	7¢	$111	0x11ae59…
10-31 09:05:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,509	7¢	$106	0x24761b…
10-31 09:05:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4,272	7¢	$299	0xe6d46e…
10-31 08:26:45	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	291	93¢	$272	0x73e810…
10-31 08:25:58	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,337	2¢	$23	0x18e7f1…
10-31 08:22:45	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	1,127	8¢	$93	0x5413a8…
10-31 08:22:45	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3f3980…
10-31 08:22:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2,392	87¢	$2,081	0x98f0b3…