Realized P&L
+$1.97K
Unrealized P&L
+$102
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
31
Trades
12,361
lifetime
Volume
$547.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$10.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
62% 47% +$64
Politics
37% 78% +$1,860
Crypto
1% 33% +$44
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -2,602 $-2,073 84¢ $-2199 $-126 05-31 12:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,253 $987 86¢ $1.1K +$96 06-09 17:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -1,519 $-1,206 70¢ $-1071 +$135 06-09 00:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -976 $-671 64¢ $-630 +$41 06-09 14:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,095 $558 55¢ $597 +$39 06-06 04:40
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +2,330 $680 26¢ $594 $-86 06-10 00:42
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes -502 $-466 92¢ $-464 +$2 06-05 00:07
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +450 $422 96¢ $432 +$9 05-31 05:47
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +474 $422 90¢ $429 +$7 06-05 22:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No -434 $-419 97¢ $-422 $-3 05-30 13:14
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +600 $416 66¢ $393 $-23 06-08 04:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -1,359 $-516 20¢ $-265 +$251 05-30 05:20
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -232 $-162 76¢ $-176 $-14 05-28 13:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -189 $-168 89¢ $-169 $-0 06-01 15:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +440 $166 36¢ $156 $-10 06-05 17:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -201 $-137 77¢ $-155 $-18 05-29 04:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $102 62¢ $123 +$21 05-28 10:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +484 $186 23¢ $111 $-75 06-08 17:54
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No -130 $-114 85¢ $-110 +$4 05-31 21:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? No +260 $86 41¢ $106 +$20 06-05 19:36
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +123 $79 79¢ $98 +$18 06-05 18:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -100 $-94 94¢ $-94 $-0 05-28 11:01
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No -96 $-94 97¢ $-93 +$1 05-28 10:57
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No -105 $-112 84¢ $-88 +$24 06-09 06:13
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +500 $160 16¢ $82 $-78 06-01 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +259 $166 32¢ $82 $-84 05-29 16:13
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +124 $81 64¢ $80 $-1 06-10 00:43
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +267 $126 26¢ $68 $-58 06-08 04:13
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +266 $56 25¢ $67 +$11 06-09 23:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +300 $54 18¢ $52 $-2 06-10 01:42