Realized P&L
+$50.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.48K
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
1,873
Trades
24,301
lifetime
Volume
$1.88M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$24.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 23:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 273 days
Categories
Other
55% 50% +$31,365
Politics
43% 53% +$18,835
Tech
1% 32% +$136
Crypto
0% 38% +$61
Sports
0% 0% -$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +5,979 $4,458 78¢ $4.7K +$223 10-30 12:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,603 $2,494 64¢ $2.3K -$170 10-20 19:26
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +2,018 $1,761 100¢ $2.0K +$252 10-10 21:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1,847 -$1,460 96¢ $-1780 -$320 06-14 01:35
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +8,649 $1,226 20¢ $1.7K +$500 10-30 18:37
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +1,609 $1,482 95¢ $1.5K +$48 10-16 14:54
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +819 $564 97¢ $795 +$231 08-05 16:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +1,932 $647 38¢ $744 +$97 10-30 18:42
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +2,002 $602 34¢ $691 +$89 10-30 23:23
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +682 $512 99¢ $673 +$161 10-14 00:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +2,698 $446 22¢ $607 +$161 10-29 17:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,852 $362 20¢ $583 +$221 10-18 23:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +599 $245 96¢ $578 +$333 09-28 10:46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +636 $390 78¢ $493 +$103 10-18 22:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -513 -$519 94¢ $-485 +$34 07-21 03:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -493 -$432 93¢ $-461 -$28 10-30 11:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -420 -$406 98¢ $-414 -$8 07-27 05:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +412 $326 98¢ $404 +$78 10-28 04:12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +562 $381 68¢ $385 +$4 10-30 12:55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +422 $319 89¢ $376 +$57 10-18 22:58
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,248 $200 28¢ $343 +$144 10-07 05:17
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +342 $287 99¢ $340 +$53 09-29 18:11
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +397 -$332 78¢ $311 +$643 10-28 11:22
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +400 $220 78¢ $310 +$90 10-29 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +4,660 $345 6¢ $303 -$42 10-20 16:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -299 -$304 99¢ $-295 +$9 08-20 21:39
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,080 $173 27¢ $292 +$119 10-07 04:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No -291 -$312 99¢ $-287 +$25 07-29 04:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +284 $176 100¢ $284 +$108 10-29 15:58
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +273 $6 100¢ $273 +$266 09-06 09:17