Realized P&L
+$1.97K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.10K
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
31
Trades
13,532
lifetime
Volume
$647.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$12.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
55% 47% +$64
Politics
44% 78% +$1,860
Crypto
1% 33% +$44
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -2,602 $-2,073 90¢ $-2355 $-282 05-31 12:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -1,519 $-1,327 90¢ $-1360 $-33 06-14 14:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1,472 $-1,193 88¢ $-1288 $-95 06-14 01:35
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +935 $847 90¢ $837 $-10 06-28 10:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +872 $769 82¢ $720 $-49 06-26 10:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +900 $575 66¢ $599 +$23 06-28 10:13
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +450 $422 97¢ $434 +$12 05-31 05:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No -434 $-419 100¢ $-434 $-15 05-30 13:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +430 $413 97¢ $416 +$3 06-23 06:58
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +2,501 $750 12¢ $313 $-438 06-25 17:46
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No -301 $-298 100¢ $-301 $-2 06-13 15:02
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +547 $295 55¢ $298 +$3 06-12 02:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +285 $225 98¢ $278 +$52 06-22 04:47
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +300 $246 86¢ $260 +$14 06-20 11:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +314 $151 80¢ $253 +$102 06-17 21:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -201 $-137 100¢ $-201 $-64 05-29 04:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -200 $-131 100¢ $-200 $-69 06-19 08:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -189 $-168 100¢ $-188 $-20 06-01 15:36
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -232 $-162 73¢ $-169 $-7 05-28 13:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +224 $633 70¢ $158 $-475 06-28 14:14
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -157 $-147 99¢ $-156 $-8 06-19 06:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,000 $91 15¢ $145 +$54 06-14 22:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -583 $-245 24¢ $-140 +$105 06-10 16:12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? No +260 $86 48¢ $126 +$40 06-05 19:36
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No -130 $-114 88¢ $-114 +$1 05-31 21:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No +149 $110 74¢ $110 +$0 06-24 06:13
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +123 $79 89¢ $110 +$30 06-05 18:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -100 $-94 94¢ $-94 $-1 05-28 11:01
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No -105 $-112 84¢ $-89 +$23 06-09 06:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -100 $-69 59¢ $-59 +$10 06-13 18:43