Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.06K

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

1,839

Trades

24,273

lifetime

Volume

$1.88M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$26.5K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 272 days

Categories

Other

55% 49% +$29,699

Politics

43% 53% +$18,631

Tech

1% 32% +$136

Crypto

0% 38% +$61

Sports

0% 0% -$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	+5,979	$4,458	79¢	$4.7K	+$256	10-30 12:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	+2,611	$2,407	100¢	$2.6K	+$204	10-25 22:14
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	Yes	+10,077	$1,533	22¢	$2.3K	+$734	10-28 11:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+3,603	$2,494	62¢	$2.2K	-$278	10-20 19:26
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+2,018	$1,761	100¢	$2.0K	+$247	10-10 21:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-1,847	-$1,460	96¢	$-1780	-$320	06-14 01:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+1,609	$1,482	95¢	$1.5K	+$46	10-16 14:54
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	+819	$564	97¢	$795	+$231	08-05 16:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	+682	$512	98¢	$671	+$159	10-14 00:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	+2,698	$446	22¢	$580	+$134	10-29 17:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	+599	$245	96¢	$578	+$333	09-28 10:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,852	$362	19¢	$549	+$187	10-18 23:15
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	No	+636	$390	78¢	$496	+$106	10-18 22:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-513	-$519	94¢	$-485	+$34	07-21 03:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	-493	-$432	94¢	$-462	-$30	10-30 11:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	-420	-$406	98¢	$-414	-$8	07-27 05:41
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	+562	$381	70¢	$396	+$15	10-30 12:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+412	$326	96¢	$396	+$70	10-28 04:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	+422	$319	89¢	$376	+$57	10-18 22:58
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	+342	$287	99¢	$337	+$51	09-29 18:11
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,248	$200	26¢	$324	+$125	10-07 05:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	-299	-$304	99¢	$-295	+$9	08-20 21:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	-291	-$312	99¢	$-287	+$25	07-29 04:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,080	$173	26¢	$286	+$113	10-07 04:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+284	$176	100¢	$283	+$106	10-29 15:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+510	$262	54¢	$278	+$16	10-30 15:33
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	+414	$133	66¢	$275	+$142	10-29 17:48
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+273	$6	100¢	$273	+$266	09-06 09:17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-280	-$249	97¢	$-271	-$21	05-25 20:48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	+400	$220	67¢	$268	+$48	10-29 14:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	106	$40.7K	28,340	26,634	+1,706	No	+$1,227	09-29 00:54
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?	20	$32.8K	18,659	17,856	+802	open	—	10-19 21:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	547	$32.2K	71,413	70,422	+991	Yes	+$981	03-29 16:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	72	$22.8K	16,365	16,858	-493	open	—	10-30 11:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	46	$21.7K	12,132	11,582	+550	No	+$165	07-28 13:58
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	381	$21.5K	48,376	48,482	-107	No	+$1,342	03-31 09:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	83	$20.1K	23,102	22,888	+215	open	—	10-24 21:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	48	$19.3K	18,028	13,020	+5,008	Yes	+$262	09-29 22:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	526	$18.6K	116,857	115,941	+916	No	+$1,094	03-29 21:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	101	$18.0K	24,141	24,141	+0	open	—	10-19 19:34
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	289	$17.9K	59,388	60,737	-1,349	No	+$621	03-30 02:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	77	$17.1K	17,894	17,394	+500	No	+$747	08-28 21:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	70	$16.2K	15,988	15,331	+657	open	—	10-28 04:12
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	261	$15.7K	26,714	25,959	+756	No	+$1,488	03-31 15:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	99	$15.5K	18,209	18,209	+0	No	+$592	09-20 12:34
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	201	$14.9K	19,668	19,668	+0	No	+$331	03-31 16:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	55	$14.2K	19,042	18,839	+204	open	—	10-26 00:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	311	$13.7K	61,874	60,174	+1,700	No	+$537	03-30 11:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	16	$12.2K	8,855	3,730	+5,125	Yes	+$147	09-15 21:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	96	$11.9K	14,792	14,627	+165	No	+$931	06-14 19:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	9	$11.5K	6,566	6,107	+459	No	+$363	09-08 12:24
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	600	$10.9K	152,157	154,146	-1,989	No	+$269	03-28 13:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	38	$10.8K	11,443	11,443	+0	Yes	+$220	09-22 18:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415	62	$10.8K	14,739	14,095	+644	open	—	10-29 03:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	38	$10.7K	15,726	15,726	+0	open	—	10-21 22:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	11	$10.6K	6,698	6,698	+0	open	—	10-23 09:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	53	$10.4K	9,754	9,754	+0	No	+$911	05-28 11:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	69	$10.0K	9,225	9,312	-87	Yes	-$398	06-15 03:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	59	$9.8K	19,293	17,683	+1,610	No	+$308	08-04 20:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	24	$9.7K	8,907	6,111	+2,795	No	+$532	10-15 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:56:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	801	24¢	$192	0x389712…
10-30 15:33:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x71e553…
10-30 15:33:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	124	77¢	$95	0x55a067…
10-30 15:26:09	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	SELL	441	96¢	$423	0x750780…
10-30 15:21:30	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	SELL	176	96¢	$168	0x7a2ee7…
10-30 12:56:15	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	761	80¢	$606	0xc97af7…
10-30 12:55:37	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	80	69¢	$55	0x8e66a6…
10-30 12:01:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	323	43¢	$140	0x3b6480…
10-30 11:55:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	1,157	94¢	$1,087	0x100b11…
10-30 11:36:25	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	480	24¢	$115	0x3e3199…
10-30 10:58:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	817	5¢	$43	0x40a941…
10-30 10:43:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	264	65¢	$171	0x341a1b…
10-30 10:42:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xe88917…
10-30 10:32:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	150	65¢	$98	0x14d23d…
10-30 10:17:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb366ea…
10-30 10:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x04caaf…
10-30 10:17:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	700	95¢	$665	0xc417b4…
10-30 09:49:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	94	51¢	$48	0xf97578…
10-30 09:46:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	61	54¢	$33	0xcfb931…
10-30 09:45:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	188	58¢	$109	0x8c2c3c…
10-30 09:26:27	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?	No	SELL	379	99¢	$375	0xeca9ef…
10-30 09:18:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	418	59¢	$247	0x2e5c5b…
10-30 09:06:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	366	60¢	$220	0x1d4ce1…
10-30 08:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	980	58¢	$567	0x50a83a…
10-30 08:49:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x51f105…
10-30 08:49:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	79	56¢	$44	0x10d8b5…
10-30 08:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x74a3d3…
10-30 08:22:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5dead4…
10-30 07:59:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x376b26…
10-30 07:55:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,124	0¢	$2	0x4dba40…
10-30 06:51:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,444	0¢	$9	0x298909…
10-30 06:36:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	193	65¢	$126	0xa7ef19…
10-30 05:59:28	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	SELL	639	79¢	$505	0x09d728…
10-30 05:07:16	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x579e5e…
10-30 05:05:52	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xa407ee…
10-30 05:05:46	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xa63e39…
10-30 05:05:46	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x54c1e5…
10-30 05:05:46	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	370	5¢	$19	0x4978da…
10-30 05:05:46	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	152	5¢	$8	0x2b81b3…
10-30 04:53:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	SELL	222	3¢	$6	0xdd3257…
10-30 04:53:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	SELL	160	3¢	$4	0x5c5ba2…
10-30 04:31:58	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?	No	SELL	151	85¢	$129	0x6101dc…
10-30 04:31:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	SELL	310	78¢	$243	0x901564…
10-30 04:31:07	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	221	55¢	$121	0xeff367…
10-30 04:29:13	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	273	15¢	$41	0x1ecb91…
10-30 04:28:33	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	212	72¢	$153	0x3a1efa…
10-30 04:26:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	374	42¢	$157	0x413866…
10-30 04:25:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,937	29¢	$555	0x045952…
10-30 04:17:13	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	81¢	$75	0xf5f905…
10-30 04:02:01	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	658	23¢	$150	0x495e28…
10-30 03:25:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	SELL	167	79¢	$132	0x414f30…
10-29 17:53:44	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	998	15¢	$146	0x2ab5fd…
10-29 17:52:07	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	SELL	522	28¢	$146	0xb5e653…
10-29 17:48:38	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	414	32¢	$133	0xb7e385…
10-29 17:37:14	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	521	17¢	$89	0xa57f3e…
10-29 17:34:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,047	1¢	$15	0x9b3063…
10-29 17:30:32	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	SELL	1,779	23¢	$407	0x19d718…
10-29 16:42:23	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	156	6¢	$10	0xf773ca…
10-29 16:42:01	Will the New Jersey Devils be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$10	0x30a9ca…
10-29 16:40:56	Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	530	2¢	$10	0x16f681…
10-29 16:40:29	Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,105	1¢	$10	0x21cd3f…
10-29 16:39:53	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	281	4¢	$10	0x2fbf15…
10-29 16:39:35	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	156	6¢	$10	0x690763…
10-29 16:37:35	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x4bcaf2…
10-29 16:36:56	Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,776	1¢	$10	0xc93fff…
10-29 16:36:32	Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$10	0x846d88…
10-29 16:22:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xb7c359…
10-29 16:22:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x44556f…
10-29 15:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x6c0bb4…
10-29 15:24:01	Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$4	0x332444…
10-29 15:20:20	Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	523	93¢	$486	0x184483…
10-29 15:19:04	Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	164	93¢	$153	0xd03d6e…
10-29 15:17:26	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$4	0x91371b…
10-29 15:15:19	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	140	56¢	$79	0x91cfb6…
10-29 14:54:44	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x403180…
10-29 14:45:32	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x5dcaf6…
10-29 14:11:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd4281b…
10-29 14:11:34	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x45383f…
10-29 14:11:22	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd1da9e…
10-29 14:11:05	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7e9adf…
10-29 14:10:43	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd57225…
10-29 14:10:35	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x8b3864…
10-29 13:59:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	883	56¢	$494	0x281285…
10-29 13:59:08	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	261	63¢	$163	0x7831e2…
10-29 13:58:46	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	SELL	1,133	79¢	$895	0x09a128…
10-29 13:55:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,180	8¢	$243	0xbeb34e…
10-29 13:55:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0xb37ecc…
10-29 13:55:22	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	206	16¢	$33	0xcb7f84…
10-29 13:54:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.9% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	78¢	$86	0x92611b…
10-29 13:52:26	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% in October?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xd61503…
10-29 13:49:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x233585…
10-29 13:48:11	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,486	12¢	$181	0xc3109f…
10-29 12:40:19	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	183	56¢	$103	0x759357…
10-29 12:40:05	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	SELL	310	67¢	$207	0xfc29d5…
10-29 12:40:05	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xcf420a…
10-29 12:39:49	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	No	SELL	539	73¢	$396	0x576472…
10-29 12:33:56	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xb5a8a5…
10-29 12:33:56	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x255391…
10-29 03:25:19	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	195	71¢	$139	0x49c961…
10-29 03:19:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	618	65¢	$401	0x99fa44…