Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$7.32K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
9
25,043 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$440
$2.05M lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$39.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Other
54% 51% +$33,308
Politics
44% 53% +$22,581
Tech
2% 33% +$349
Crypto
0% 37% +$40
Sports
0% 0% -$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6,050 $2,758 78¢ $4.7K +$1,982 11-11 01:34
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +4,662 $3,469 75¢ $3.5K +$11 11-04 04:36
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? No +3,221 $2,805 92¢ $3.0K +$166 10-28 01:47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +2,874 $2,486 70¢ $2.0K -$459 11-12 19:43
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No +2,528 $1,839 79¢ $2.0K +$158 10-30 05:59
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +7,750 $937 24¢ $1.9K +$955 11-04 04:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1,847 -$1,460 98¢ $-1801 -$341 06-14 01:35
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1,799 $1,501 92¢ $1.7K +$163 11-09 04:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,773 $415 94¢ $1.7K +$1,243 11-13 03:54
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +1,609 $1,482 97¢ $1.6K +$77 10-16 14:54
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? No +1,644 $1,411 90¢ $1.5K +$75 11-12 17:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +1,734 $1,060 78¢ $1.4K +$301 11-01 09:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? No +1,314 $936 82¢ $1.1K +$142 11-12 17:00
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027? No +1,471 $675 68¢ $1.0K +$332 11-10 17:29
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? No +1,277 $854 78¢ $1.0K +$148 11-12 17:25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +1,577 $808 55¢ $859 +$52 11-12 23:51
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? Yes +990 $610 86¢ $851 +$241 10-27 07:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027? No +1,227 $379 66¢ $810 +$431 11-10 13:47
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +819 $564 97¢ $798 +$234 08-05 16:41
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? Yes +3,577 $816 21¢ $751 -$65 11-12 17:24
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +1,345 $492 48¢ $644 +$152 11-12 17:10
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +670 $596 92¢ $620 +$23 11-13 03:50
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +692 $522 89¢ $614 +$92 11-12 04:53
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No +648 $348 95¢ $614 +$266 10-22 22:37
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? No +710 $594 84¢ $600 +$6 11-04 03:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +599 $245 97¢ $578 +$333 09-28 10:46
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +2,698 $446 21¢ $567 +$120 10-29 17:52
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No +617 $163 90¢ $554 +$391 10-07 17:31
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? No +875 $436 63¢ $551 +$115 11-10 18:10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +1,348 $548 39¢ $526 -$22 11-13 06:07