Realized P&L (24h)
+$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.18K
Hit rate
97.4%
Resolved (24h)
11
Trades (24h)
91
25,034 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$22.0K
$2.05M lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$39.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 06:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Other
54% 51% +$33,308
Politics
44% 53% +$22,550
Tech
2% 33% +$349
Crypto
0% 37% +$40
Sports
0% 0% -$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6,050 $2,758 75¢ $4.5K +$1,756 11-11 01:34
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +4,662 $3,469 76¢ $3.5K +$74 11-04 04:36
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? No +3,221 $2,805 92¢ $3.0K +$166 10-28 01:47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +2,874 $2,486 77¢ $2.2K -$272 11-12 19:43
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No +2,528 $1,839 80¢ $2.0K +$170 10-30 05:59
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +7,750 $937 24¢ $1.8K +$904 11-04 04:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1,847 -$1,460 98¢ $-1801 -$341 06-14 01:35
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1,799 $1,501 92¢ $1.6K +$145 11-09 04:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,773 $415 92¢ $1.6K +$1,225 11-13 03:54
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +1,609 $1,482 97¢ $1.6K +$77 10-16 14:54
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? No +1,644 $1,411 91¢ $1.5K +$83 11-12 17:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +1,734 $1,060 76¢ $1.3K +$267 11-01 09:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? No +1,314 $936 82¢ $1.1K +$135 11-12 17:00
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027? No +1,471 $675 68¢ $1.0K +$332 11-10 17:29
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? No +1,277 $854 78¢ $990 +$135 11-12 17:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027? No +1,227 $379 67¢ $822 +$443 11-10 13:47
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +819 $564 97¢ $797 +$233 08-05 16:41
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? Yes +990 $610 80¢ $792 +$182 10-27 07:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +1,577 $808 48¢ $765 -$43 11-12 23:51
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? Yes +3,577 $816 20¢ $733 -$83 11-12 17:24
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +1,345 $492 47¢ $627 +$135 11-12 17:10
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No +648 $348 95¢ $614 +$265 10-22 22:37
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +670 $596 90¢ $606 +$10 11-13 03:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? No +710 $594 84¢ $600 +$6 11-04 03:09
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +692 $522 86¢ $595 +$74 11-12 04:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +599 $245 96¢ $573 +$328 09-28 10:46
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +2,698 $446 21¢ $567 +$120 10-29 17:52
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No +617 $163 90¢ $555 +$393 10-07 17:31
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? No +875 $436 63¢ $551 +$115 11-10 18:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,852 $362 18¢ $512 +$150 10-18 23:15