Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$15.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.83K

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved (90d)

634

Trades (90d)

6,667

24,131 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$871.2K

$1.85M lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$27.7K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 271 days

Categories

Other

55% 49% +$29,693

Politics

44% 53% +$18,631

Tech

1% 32% +$136

Crypto

0% 38% +$61

Sports

0% 0% -$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	+6,740	$5,064	79¢	$5.3K	+$247	10-28 11:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	+2,611	$2,407	100¢	$2.6K	+$191	10-25 22:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+3,603	$2,494	62¢	$2.2K	-$260	10-20 19:26
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	Yes	+10,077	$1,533	21¢	$2.1K	+$553	10-28 11:04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+2,018	$1,761	99¢	$2.0K	+$238	10-10 21:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-1,847	-$1,460	97¢	$-1786	-$326	06-14 01:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+1,609	$1,482	95¢	$1.5K	+$45	10-16 14:54
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	+5,000	$1,000	20¢	$975	-$25	10-03 06:15
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	+819	$564	97¢	$795	+$231	08-05 16:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	+682	$512	99¢	$673	+$161	10-14 00:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+664	$655	92¢	$609	-$46	09-28 19:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	+599	$245	94¢	$563	+$318	09-28 10:46
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	No	+636	$390	78¢	$496	+$106	10-18 22:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,852	$362	17¢	$492	+$130	10-18 23:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-513	-$519	94¢	$-485	+$34	07-21 03:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+618	$381	68¢	$417	+$36	10-29 03:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	-420	-$406	99¢	$-414	-$9	07-27 05:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+412	$326	97¢	$400	+$74	10-28 04:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	+422	$319	89¢	$374	+$55	10-18 22:58
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	+482	$326	76¢	$366	+$40	10-29 03:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+361	$253	96¢	$348	+$96	10-25 13:49
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,248	$200	28¢	$343	+$144	10-07 05:17
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	+342	$287	98¢	$337	+$50	09-29 18:11
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+2,663	$1,099	12¢	$333	-$766	09-29 18:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+416	$188	74¢	$310	+$121	10-26 03:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	-299	-$304	99¢	$-296	+$8	08-20 21:39
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,080	$173	27¢	$292	+$119	10-07 04:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	-291	-$312	99¢	$-288	+$24	07-29 04:05
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+273	$6	100¢	$273	+$266	09-06 09:17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-280	-$249	97¢	$-271	-$22	05-25 20:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	106	$40.7K	28,340	26,634	+1,706	No	+$1,227	09-29 00:54
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?	20	$32.8K	18,659	17,856	+802	open	—	10-19 21:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	547	$32.2K	71,413	70,422	+991	Yes	+$981	03-29 16:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	46	$21.7K	12,132	11,582	+550	No	+$165	07-28 13:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	71	$21.7K	16,365	15,701	+664	open	—	09-28 19:25
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	381	$21.5K	48,376	48,482	-107	No	+$1,342	03-31 09:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	83	$20.1K	23,102	22,888	+215	open	—	10-24 21:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	48	$19.3K	18,028	13,020	+5,008	Yes	+$262	09-29 22:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	526	$18.6K	116,857	115,941	+916	No	+$1,094	03-29 21:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	101	$18.0K	24,141	24,141	+0	open	—	10-19 19:34
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	289	$17.9K	59,388	60,737	-1,349	No	+$621	03-30 02:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	77	$17.1K	17,894	17,394	+500	No	+$747	08-28 21:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	70	$16.2K	15,988	15,331	+657	open	—	10-28 04:12
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	261	$15.7K	26,714	25,959	+756	No	+$1,488	03-31 15:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	99	$15.5K	18,209	18,209	+0	No	+$592	09-20 12:34
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	201	$14.9K	19,668	19,668	+0	No	+$331	03-31 16:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	55	$14.2K	19,042	18,839	+204	open	—	10-26 00:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	311	$13.7K	61,874	60,174	+1,700	No	+$537	03-30 11:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	16	$12.2K	8,855	3,730	+5,125	Yes	+$147	09-15 21:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	96	$11.9K	14,792	14,627	+165	No	+$931	06-14 19:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	9	$11.5K	6,566	6,107	+459	No	+$363	09-08 12:24
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	600	$10.9K	152,157	154,146	-1,989	No	+$269	03-28 13:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	38	$10.8K	11,443	11,443	+0	Yes	+$220	09-22 18:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415	62	$10.8K	14,739	14,095	+644	open	—	10-29 03:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	38	$10.7K	15,726	15,726	+0	open	—	10-21 22:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	11	$10.6K	6,698	6,698	+0	open	—	10-23 09:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	53	$10.4K	9,754	9,754	+0	No	+$911	05-28 11:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	69	$10.0K	9,225	9,312	-87	Yes	-$398	06-15 03:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	59	$9.8K	19,293	17,683	+1,610	No	+$308	08-04 20:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	24	$9.7K	8,907	6,111	+2,795	No	+$532	10-15 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:25:19	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	195	71¢	$139	0x49c961…
10-29 03:19:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	618	65¢	$401	0x99fa44…
10-29 03:19:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x9bd3a4…
10-28 18:36:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0xe4163c…
10-28 18:12:31	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	822	2¢	$16	0xda0ee3…
10-28 18:12:31	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x0b6774…
10-28 18:12:26	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x941898…
10-28 17:20:05	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	SELL	1,088	5¢	$54	0x560f39…
10-28 16:52:23	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0xe3d072…
10-28 16:52:19	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?	No	BUY	82	91¢	$75	0x38295d…
10-28 16:51:53	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% in October?	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0xe4aff5…
10-28 12:10:10	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0xe5556f…
10-28 12:08:29	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xc23d57…
10-28 11:49:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xe9a5ec…
10-28 11:24:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	502	37¢	$183	0xd5eb16…
10-28 11:24:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	36¢	$15	0xc7fda7…
10-28 11:22:43	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	246	49¢	$121	0x2a24eb…
10-28 11:15:25	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	165	68¢	$112	0x62f22f…
10-28 11:14:40	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	600	28¢	$167	0x3aeb33…
10-28 11:07:16	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2,690	73¢	$1,953	0x43b5cc…
10-28 11:04:10	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	Yes	BUY	2,102	21¢	$441	0xb7f38e…
10-28 10:52:46	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	68	71¢	$48	0x31270e…
10-28 10:24:08	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x11aea8…
10-28 07:14:11	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xe51c5c…
10-28 06:59:55	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,233	17¢	$214	0x542548…
10-28 06:53:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	43	58¢	$25	0x5cc0e0…
10-28 06:53:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	517	58¢	$300	0x5fb5f7…
10-28 06:11:31	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,067	76¢	$815	0x560b5a…
10-28 06:02:37	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	305	32¢	$99	0x98f1de…
10-28 05:22:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	689	48¢	$331	0xd769e9…
10-28 04:12:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0x254364…
10-28 03:53:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	534	30¢	$160	0x05db2a…
10-28 02:25:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x86a201…
10-28 02:12:27	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	179	78¢	$139	0x49d680…
10-28 02:00:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	668	59¢	$391	0x35bcfa…
10-28 01:54:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	329	72¢	$236	0x720a94…
10-28 01:50:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	SELL	1,470	41¢	$606	0xfd8ba9…
10-28 01:47:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	No	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0xb8d84f…
10-28 01:46:20	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	BUY	374	68¢	$255	0x00764c…
10-27 18:54:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x5a4540…
10-27 16:35:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	615	1¢	$7	0x7107c6…
10-27 16:23:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x88dcd4…
10-27 16:13:06	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	766	20¢	$153	0x71783f…
10-27 16:02:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x020490…
10-27 16:02:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	SELL	335	79¢	$265	0x190e1e…
10-27 15:08:57	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?	No	SELL	183	86¢	$158	0xc13dbd…
10-27 15:00:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	320	42¢	$135	0xbbb0af…
10-27 15:00:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x43fe50…
10-27 15:00:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	185	42¢	$78	0x02ca88…
10-27 14:59:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9fac34…
10-27 14:48:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5819c7…
10-27 14:47:23	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x2603ad…
10-27 14:35:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,399	1¢	$11	0x0441aa…
10-27 14:24:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	502	9¢	$44	0xab65f6…
10-27 14:24:47	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xd44215…
10-27 14:21:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	260	61¢	$158	0x52dc48…
10-27 14:20:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	228	88¢	$201	0x57e223…
10-27 14:15:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	601	92¢	$551	0xf1dc6c…
10-27 14:14:02	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	260	21¢	$55	0xa6272c…
10-27 14:09:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	430	9¢	$40	0x8d71c1…
10-27 14:05:38	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	130	32¢	$42	0x643855…
10-27 14:03:57	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	279	62¢	$172	0x0afa1a…
10-27 14:02:41	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?	No	BUY	215	91¢	$195	0xbe5297…
10-27 14:02:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	492	44¢	$216	0xfc8675…
10-27 14:00:02	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0xcccf7c…
10-27 13:59:12	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0xc2253c…
10-27 13:56:14	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	SELL	1,390	86¢	$1,196	0xc6b063…
10-27 13:34:44	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x52e930…
10-27 13:33:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	481	53¢	$255	0xc95a7b…
10-27 13:33:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	514	59¢	$305	0x45c890…
10-27 13:33:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	321	67¢	$214	0xc4996f…
10-27 12:31:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcf6b50…
10-27 12:31:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x85e1dc…
10-27 12:08:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	279	1¢	$3	0x1d822a…
10-27 11:21:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	168	34¢	$58	0x0698ad…
10-27 08:45:21	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?	No	SELL	189	86¢	$163	0x5b272c…
10-27 08:43:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	SELL	3,637	0¢	$7	0x8ac477…
10-27 08:42:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,533	1¢	$9	0x4a2a97…
10-27 08:03:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	514	41¢	$209	0x2c64ff…
10-27 08:03:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,571	93¢	$1,461	0x1b6a5e…
10-27 07:57:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	263	62¢	$164	0x0f3b5b…
10-27 07:54:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	550	73¢	$401	0x69c862…
10-27 07:51:53	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	429	50¢	$213	0x0f5744…
10-27 07:51:14	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	74¢	$260	0x54073c…
10-27 07:50:59	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	No	BUY	346	38¢	$130	0x01a379…
10-27 07:42:38	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xda5594…
10-27 07:29:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	No	BUY	918	74¢	$681	0xfb9f99…
10-27 07:28:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	SELL	235	71¢	$167	0x1212d4…
10-27 07:28:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xfbc24b…
10-27 07:21:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,026	64¢	$656	0x382300…
10-27 07:12:54	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	264	55¢	$146	0x7956dc…
10-27 07:04:41	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?	No	BUY	319	79¢	$253	0xcd7a9e…
10-27 06:36:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	SELL	474	47¢	$224	0xb020ff…
10-27 06:36:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	1,855	53¢	$988	0x8088b8…
10-27 06:36:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	SELL	95	44¢	$42	0x4e05fd…
10-27 06:36:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	SELL	48	44¢	$21	0x21afe3…
10-27 04:52:23	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,498	43¢	$652	0xb76a1f…
10-27 04:51:42	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,847	49¢	$914	0xeb02f7…
10-27 04:51:42	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa8f097…
10-27 02:54:05	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xff7051…