Realized P&L (30d)
+$6.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.01K
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved (30d)
160
Trades (30d)
1,489
24,222 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$275.9K
$1.87M lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$27.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 271 days
Categories
Other
55% 49% +$29,703
Politics
44% 53% +$18,631
Tech
1% 32% +$136
Crypto
0% 38% +$61
Sports
0% 0% -$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +6,740 $5,064 77¢ $5.2K +$139 10-28 11:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +2,611 $2,407 100¢ $2.6K +$191 10-25 22:14
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +10,077 $1,533 23¢ $2.3K +$739 10-28 11:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,603 $2,494 58¢ $2.1K -$386 10-20 19:26
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +2,018 $1,761 100¢ $2.0K +$252 10-10 21:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1,847 -$1,460 95¢ $-1762 -$302 06-14 01:35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +1,609 $1,482 95¢ $1.5K +$46 10-16 14:54
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +819 $564 97¢ $795 +$231 08-05 16:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +2,698 $446 26¢ $715 +$269 10-29 17:52
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +682 $512 98¢ $670 +$158 10-14 00:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +664 $655 94¢ $623 -$32 09-28 19:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +599 $245 96¢ $578 +$333 09-28 10:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,852 $362 18¢ $506 +$144 10-18 23:15
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027 No +636 $390 78¢ $496 +$106 10-18 22:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -513 -$519 94¢ $-485 +$34 07-21 03:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -420 -$406 99¢ $-415 -$9 07-27 05:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +412 $326 94¢ $387 +$61 10-28 04:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +422 $319 88¢ $373 +$54 10-18 22:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +618 $381 60¢ $368 -$13 10-29 03:19
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,248 $200 29¢ $356 +$156 10-07 05:17
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +342 $287 98¢ $335 +$48 09-29 18:11
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +482 $326 66¢ $320 -$6 10-29 03:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,080 $173 28¢ $297 +$124 10-07 04:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -299 -$304 99¢ $-296 +$8 08-20 21:39
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +414 $133 70¢ $292 +$158 10-29 17:48
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +2,142 $1,010 14¢ $289 -$721 10-29 17:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No -291 -$312 99¢ $-287 +$25 07-29 04:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +284 $176 97¢ $276 +$99 10-29 15:58
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +273 $6 100¢ $273 +$266 09-06 09:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +1,068 $433 26¢ $272 -$161 10-25 22:04