Realized P&L
-$223
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
224
Trades
4,228
lifetime
Volume
$7.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$110
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-27 06:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
57% 41% -$240
Politics
31% 61% +$2
Sports
6% 33% +$12
Crypto
3% 100% +$3
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 553 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +40 $15 33¢ $13 -$2 10-16 20:02
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +27 $10 40¢ $11 +$1 10-24 19:15
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +601 $7 2¢ $10 +$3 10-26 13:31
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $10 18¢ $7 -$3 10-24 02:00
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +198 $8 4¢ $7 -$1 10-22 19:35
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 10-05 02:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -6 -$5 95¢ $-5 +$0 10-05 02:31
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +39 $5 13¢ $5 +$0 10-27 00:06
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +25 $1 19¢ $5 +$3 10-24 05:18
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +120 $3 4¢ $4 +$2 10-26 20:45
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 -$4 81¢ $-4 +$0 10-05 02:30
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +78 $3 4¢ $3 +$1 10-27 00:24
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -4 -$3 92¢ $-3 +$0 10-05 02:31
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +70 $10 4¢ $3 -$6 10-11 01:07
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +120 -$3 2¢ $3 +$6 10-26 08:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? Yes +160 $0 1¢ $2 +$2 10-23 23:28
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +80 $1 2¢ $2 +$0 10-27 05:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? Yes +161 $4 1¢ $2 -$3 10-19 15:50
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +46 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-27 07:33
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +42 $7 4¢ $1 -$6 10-21 19:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +60 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-27 04:14
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-27 04:31
Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +445 $6 0¢ $1 -$4 10-16 14:57
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +59 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-22 23:33
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-27 07:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-27 04:03
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +52 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-22 13:00
EU dissolves before 2027? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-16 15:13
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $0 7¢ $-1 $0 10-05 02:32
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? Yes +400 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 10-25 16:42