Heartfelt-Eyrie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,350

lifetime

Volume

$44.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-94

Politics

26% 0% $-123

Tech

14% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	32	$1.4K	642	812	-170	open	—	07-01 18:59
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	23	$1.2K	383	862	-479	open	—	03-31 09:15
will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	13	$1.1K	580	580	+0	open	—	04-02 17:53
will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	10	$961	521	467	+53	open	—	07-27 17:16
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	7	$761	400	400	+0	open	—	03-06 19:38
Iran Nuke before 2027?	11	$705	90	672	-582	open	—	06-25 20:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	12	$686	330	414	-84	open	—	08-10 21:56
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$608	294	324	-30	open	—	03-14 10:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	14	$572	330	265	+65	open	—	08-05 06:54
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	9	$430	270	165	+105	open	—	07-30 06:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$430	221	221	+0	open	—	01-24 19:07
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	6	$429	220	220	+0	open	—	03-29 11:22
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	8	$408	210	210	+0	open	—	03-31 09:15
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$401	201	201	+0	open	—	01-18 08:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	14	$389	304	144	+160	open	—	08-08 22:20
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	12	$366	259	117	+142	open	—	05-22 21:02
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	22	$356	310	175	+135	open	—	08-10 21:58
will openai ipo by august 31 2026	7	$339	160	190	-30	open	—	08-10 21:57
gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	3	$329	230	104	+126	open	—	07-08 18:05
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	15	$294	260	68	+192	open	—	07-30 10:58
will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260701204710234 454 314 831	5	$286	150	150	+0	open	—	07-20 02:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	6	$276	290	0	+290	open	—	08-05 08:55
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$273	140	140	+0	open	—	08-01 22:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$261	200	66	+134	open	—	05-25 21:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	6	$252	130	130	+0	open	—	04-30 20:37
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	4	$244	246	0	+246	open	—	06-30 20:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	6	$243	160	86	+74	open	—	04-28 05:46
Netanyahu out by April 30?	7	$237	121	121	+0	open	—	04-26 20:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	7	$236	120	120	+0	open	—	04-22 09:14
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	3	$236	120	120	+0	open	—	06-30 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:31:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3340ea…
08-10 22:02:55	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x516027…
08-10 22:02:48	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xe9e4db…
08-10 22:01:58	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd5bc53…
08-10 22:01:01	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x57622e…
08-10 21:58:16	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xdc1777…
08-10 21:57:58	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0xc1d2e5…
08-10 21:56:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xf374fe…
08-10 21:55:46	israeli forces enter tyre by august 31	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd63da3…
08-10 21:55:21	israeli forces enter beirut by august 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x566b5f…
08-10 17:42:36	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe65f6f…
08-10 07:00:18	israeli forces enter beirut by august 31	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf0146c…
08-09 20:15:06	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x05d0a2…
08-09 20:13:34	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7d27dc…
08-09 20:11:57	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x164f0f…
08-09 10:08:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0x488a22…
08-09 09:41:48	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb55ab2…
08-09 09:16:04	will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260727142323914	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb9d703…
08-09 07:01:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x30136b…
08-09 07:00:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x12e6d2…
08-08 22:26:48	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2922ce…
08-08 22:26:10	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0154f9…
08-08 22:25:54	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x51c561…
08-08 22:24:15	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa1c1b3…
08-08 22:23:55	OpenAI acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x5eff38…
08-08 22:23:15	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x895ce6…
08-08 22:23:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x69e2bf…
08-08 22:22:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xeb2832…
08-08 22:20:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcd3710…
08-08 22:19:48	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd1ed6c…
08-08 22:19:30	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x13712f…
08-08 13:00:03	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd6dbe2…
08-08 09:16:12	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf7a34d…
08-08 09:11:31	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x2c18ce…
08-08 08:48:22	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7122c6…
08-08 08:12:27	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa3c400…
08-08 08:11:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfe5995…
08-08 08:11:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3aec2c…
08-08 08:10:33	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xce7fb6…
08-08 08:09:04	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xcc06e3…
08-07 23:18:57	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4e79b5…
08-07 23:18:51	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x47443c…
08-07 23:18:13	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x615710…
08-07 23:10:40	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb5eb2c…
08-07 23:10:13	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2df299…
08-07 23:09:57	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x76528f…
08-07 23:03:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x76cf00…
08-07 23:03:42	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf03f6e…
08-07 00:32:11	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x923ccd…
08-06 22:25:11	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe1ee2d…
08-06 22:25:00	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x497e3a…
08-06 22:23:53	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723225144063	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xdd41ee…
08-06 22:23:24	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723190836286	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9e695f…
08-06 22:18:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x707781…
08-06 22:17:57	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x488701…
08-06 08:15:11	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xfa9447…
08-05 20:06:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9692eb…
08-05 20:06:09	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc40a4a…
08-05 20:05:59	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2f48b0…
08-05 20:00:17	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x17c267…
08-05 19:57:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x7e645b…
08-05 19:56:51	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdf8357…
08-05 19:56:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x28ea51…
08-05 19:55:08	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x622090…
08-05 19:52:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xac05e2…
08-05 19:52:02	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x98f486…
08-05 17:03:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x34a450…
08-05 16:11:14	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x6078ea…
08-05 08:55:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xefdcdb…
08-05 07:00:18	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x51307a…
08-05 06:59:20	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0f611e…
08-05 06:58:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x189ea0…
08-05 06:55:05	Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xc694b0…
08-05 06:54:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xa5a514…
08-04 21:02:02	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xc85bc0…
08-04 20:54:06	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by october 31 2026	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x88a94b…
08-04 20:53:57	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4f07d4…
08-04 20:53:18	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdf8f17…
08-04 20:50:48	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6ee684…
08-04 20:50:33	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x53c962…
08-04 20:49:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x98b347…
08-04 20:48:27	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x604649…
08-04 20:48:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x51eeda…
08-04 20:45:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf328a3…
08-04 20:42:35	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d6514…
08-04 20:42:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7dee0d…
08-04 20:41:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xc20774…
08-04 20:40:54	Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?	Yes	SELL	80	92¢	$74	0xd136d0…
08-04 20:37:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x611254…
08-02 21:49:32	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x787bb3…
08-02 06:49:18	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x223775…
08-02 06:49:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x00f7d1…
08-02 06:48:57	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xc9bd52…
08-02 06:47:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$44	0x5978c7…
08-02 06:46:50	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260727142323915	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x06f4c7…
08-02 06:46:42	will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260727142323914	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb22d4a…
08-02 06:46:14	will the next claude sonnet model be released by december 31 2026 20260701203831156	Yes	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0xdbd56e…
08-02 06:46:06	will the next claude sonnet model be released by october 31 2026 20260701203831155	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x3f72f8…
08-02 06:45:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x9749d9…
08-02 06:44:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb62701…