Realized P&L
-$217
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
964
lifetime
Volume
$31.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$3.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 18:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
55% 0% $-94
Politics
25% 0% $-123
Tech
13%
Crypto
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -582 $-540 94¢ $-547 $-7 06-25 20:57
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +383 $333 83¢ $317 $-17 06-30 17:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +300 $271 92¢ $274 +$4 06-30 15:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +210 $200 96¢ $202 +$2 06-30 15:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -184 $-174 95¢ $-174 $-0 06-27 12:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -150 $-150 100¢ $-150 $-0 06-21 07:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -147 $-146 100¢ $-147 $-0 06-24 06:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +164 $141 86¢ $140 $-1 06-22 15:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +110 $109 100¢ $110 +$1 06-14 17:25
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-29 05:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +90 $87 100¢ $90 +$2 06-19 21:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -77 $-77 100¢ $-77 +$0 06-27 21:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +70 $69 100¢ $70 +$0 06-18 20:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +70 $68 100¢ $70 +$2 06-14 17:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +70 $61 91¢ $64 +$2 06-16 17:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$1 06-01 18:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$1 06-14 17:32
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +58 $52 99¢ $57 +$5 06-09 00:36
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -60 $-54 88¢ $-52 +$2 06-01 18:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -52 $-52 100¢ $-52 $-0 06-22 21:46
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? Yes +60 $52 86¢ $51 $-0 06-09 14:11
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +52 $50 99¢ $51 +$1 06-05 16:41
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +56 $52 90¢ $50 $-2 06-26 20:41
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$1 06-07 19:18
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 06-08 03:37
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 06-01 15:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +40 $39 99¢ $40 +$0 06-22 18:34
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$1 05-31 18:27
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? Yes +40 $34 84¢ $34 +$0 06-17 09:19
Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-21 18:42