| 10-26 21:09:38 |
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
|
Meta |
BUY |
20 |
93¢ |
$19 |
0xa1a171…
|
| 10-26 19:31:18 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
No |
BUY |
11 |
44¢ |
$5 |
0x44fb77…
|
| 10-26 19:30:24 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
|
Yes |
SELL |
30 |
82¢ |
$25 |
0x592b00…
|
| 10-26 19:29:45 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
No |
BUY |
9 |
44¢ |
$4 |
0x53a126…
|
| 10-26 16:26:59 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0xa266e0…
|
| 10-26 00:59:45 |
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in October?
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
10¢ |
$1 |
0x15cd2a…
|
| 10-24 05:13:29 |
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
96¢ |
$29 |
0xdc763c…
|
| 10-23 21:53:11 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
94¢ |
$28 |
0xc1c24b…
|
| 10-23 20:42:32 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
|
No |
SELL |
62 |
85¢ |
$52 |
0x15c0ee…
|
| 10-23 15:10:00 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
94¢ |
$19 |
0xe334c8…
|
| 10-23 15:08:39 |
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
|
No |
SELL |
110 |
99¢ |
$109 |
0x82bbf3…
|
| 10-22 18:01:50 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
98¢ |
$20 |
0x10ca30…
|
| 10-22 09:20:00 |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
|
Anthropic |
BUY |
20 |
91¢ |
$18 |
0x0985a7…
|
| 10-22 09:04:30 |
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
|
Meta |
BUY |
20 |
91¢ |
$18 |
0xc81227…
|
| 10-21 19:22:57 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
41¢ |
$8 |
0xfe4a30…
|
| 10-21 19:21:26 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
94¢ |
$28 |
0xc0aa38…
|
| 10-21 06:58:38 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
97¢ |
$29 |
0xbd870e…
|
| 10-20 11:33:56 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
75¢ |
$15 |
0x3ffb4d…
|
| 10-20 01:06:33 |
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
99¢ |
$30 |
0x80a74f…
|
| 10-19 19:17:47 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
94¢ |
$19 |
0x07ec16…
|
| 10-19 19:17:32 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
|
Yes |
SELL |
50 |
77¢ |
$38 |
0x3dd33a…
|
| 10-19 19:16:44 |
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
98¢ |
$20 |
0xef40b9…
|
| 10-19 19:14:30 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
|
No |
SELL |
50 |
99¢ |
$50 |
0xbe4674…
|
| 10-19 19:13:08 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
|
No |
SELL |
40 |
91¢ |
$36 |
0x3a902b…
|
| 10-19 19:11:21 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
93¢ |
$19 |
0x74d78a…
|
| 10-17 22:39:38 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
93¢ |
$19 |
0xf967ba…
|
| 10-17 16:33:30 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
1 |
98¢ |
$1 |
0xdf3a8b…
|
| 10-17 12:02:17 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
0 |
98¢ |
$0 |
0x9b702c…
|
| 10-17 10:19:38 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
29 |
98¢ |
$28 |
0xa25285…
|
| 10-16 22:41:41 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
|
No |
SELL |
50 |
99¢ |
$50 |
0x572dbe…
|
| 10-16 22:41:14 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
59¢ |
$12 |
0x51272c…
|
| 10-16 22:37:59 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
10 |
96¢ |
$10 |
0x39c758…
|
| 10-16 22:36:20 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
93¢ |
$19 |
0x3a3e82…
|
| 10-16 22:35:14 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
94¢ |
$19 |
0xdb805d…
|
| 10-16 22:33:03 |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
99¢ |
$30 |
0x14c131…
|
| 10-15 22:08:38 |
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
96¢ |
$29 |
0xda04d8…
|
| 10-15 22:08:09 |
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
|
Yes |
SELL |
47 |
92¢ |
$44 |
0xe9fcc8…
|
| 10-15 06:07:17 |
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
99¢ |
$10 |
0xb7024c…
|
| 10-15 06:06:08 |
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
50 |
86¢ |
$43 |
0x8d9f6c…
|
| 10-15 06:05:26 |
will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
81¢ |
$8 |
0x0be851…
|
| 10-15 06:03:49 |
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 16
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
98¢ |
$20 |
0x0594ad…
|
| 10-14 18:30:15 |
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 17
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
96¢ |
$19 |
0xf370ef…
|
| 10-14 18:30:03 |
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
98¢ |
$30 |
0xfa0e2d…
|
| 10-14 06:21:58 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
86¢ |
$9 |
0x38625b…
|
| 10-14 05:16:05 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
95¢ |
$28 |
0x4490e2…
|
| 10-11 23:10:09 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
94¢ |
$28 |
0x2e3c66…
|
| 10-10 18:11:03 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
27 |
99¢ |
$27 |
0x9f2849…
|
| 10-10 12:42:40 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
99¢ |
$49 |
0x1c2f1c…
|
| 10-10 12:40:19 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
40 |
96¢ |
$38 |
0x222d1c…
|
| 10-10 12:39:43 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
|
No |
BUY |
40 |
98¢ |
$39 |
0x3d0be6…
|
| 10-10 12:38:43 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
33 |
99¢ |
$33 |
0x9c2128…
|
| 10-10 12:37:46 |
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?
|
Yes |
BUY |
60 |
93¢ |
$56 |
0xf20d3a…
|
| 10-10 12:36:16 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
20 |
78¢ |
$16 |
0x4b910e…
|
| 10-10 06:14:21 |
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
40 |
97¢ |
$39 |
0xb4d543…
|
| 10-09 16:58:36 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
90¢ |
$18 |
0x8abcc4…
|
| 10-09 16:58:27 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
94¢ |
$28 |
0xba17cb…
|
| 10-09 07:35:18 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
16 |
95¢ |
$15 |
0xa23c96…
|
| 10-09 07:32:34 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0xdee85e…
|
| 10-08 20:08:41 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
1 |
95¢ |
$1 |
0xe5bbbf…
|
| 10-08 18:16:03 |
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
92¢ |
$46 |
0x32c85b…
|
| 10-08 18:15:42 |
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
92¢ |
$46 |
0xa5ef26…
|
| 10-08 18:15:35 |
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
92¢ |
$46 |
0x03603d…
|
| 10-08 13:56:12 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
12 |
95¢ |
$11 |
0x6a7802…
|
| 10-08 12:07:23 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
7 |
96¢ |
$7 |
0x75a0c5…
|
| 10-08 12:00:35 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
20 |
98¢ |
$20 |
0x155b16…
|
| 10-08 11:59:32 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
60 |
93¢ |
$56 |
0x97138e…
|
| 10-08 11:59:20 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
53 |
96¢ |
$51 |
0x0b0e0f…
|
| 10-08 11:57:44 |
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?
|
Yes |
SELL |
60 |
91¢ |
$55 |
0xb289ea…
|
| 10-08 11:57:27 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
90¢ |
$18 |
0x81fae7…
|
| 10-08 03:44:19 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0x21383e…
|
| 10-08 03:43:25 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
91¢ |
$46 |
0xf591a5…
|
| 10-08 03:40:29 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
94¢ |
$19 |
0xd3ea81…
|
| 10-08 03:40:05 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?
|
Yes |
BUY |
40 |
97¢ |
$39 |
0x6303e6…
|
| 10-07 19:10:12 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
94¢ |
$7 |
0x261ada…
|
| 10-07 11:21:20 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
1 |
95¢ |
$1 |
0xaa04df…
|
| 10-07 09:27:14 |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
|
Anthropic |
BUY |
16 |
91¢ |
$15 |
0x4d3144…
|
| 10-07 08:04:08 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
40 |
94¢ |
$38 |
0x4c530c…
|
| 10-07 05:57:53 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
|
No |
SELL |
49 |
73¢ |
$36 |
0xc456bd…
|
| 10-07 02:00:02 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
29 |
87¢ |
$25 |
0x21a1a5…
|
| 10-07 02:00:02 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
21 |
87¢ |
$18 |
0x1757e8…
|
| 10-06 20:52:09 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
50 |
96¢ |
$48 |
0xcaa816…
|
| 10-06 20:51:29 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
100 |
92¢ |
$92 |
0xfd3afa…
|
| 10-06 20:50:32 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0x1eb76a…
|
| 10-06 20:44:24 |
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
|
Yes |
BUY |
50 |
90¢ |
$45 |
0xa465ec…
|
| 10-06 16:10:05 |
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
|
Yes |
BUY |
40 |
92¢ |
$37 |
0xaac9f8…
|
| 10-06 08:19:00 |
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
40 |
95¢ |
$38 |
0x4b7c67…
|
| 10-05 21:26:35 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
97¢ |
$19 |
0xf7cf55…
|
| 10-05 21:01:59 |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
200 |
91¢ |
$182 |
0xbdbe03…
|
| 10-05 20:56:44 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
40 |
92¢ |
$37 |
0x00e62c…
|
| 10-05 19:30:52 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
95¢ |
$19 |
0x8f63d1…
|
| 10-05 17:41:43 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
20 |
93¢ |
$19 |
0x029deb…
|
| 10-05 08:48:29 |
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
39 |
90¢ |
$35 |
0x5fa678…
|
| 10-05 07:57:16 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
96¢ |
$29 |
0x70892c…
|
| 10-05 07:24:05 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
24 |
87¢ |
$21 |
0xfd86b1…
|
| 10-05 07:07:28 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
82¢ |
$24 |
0xa251a7…
|
| 10-05 06:30:41 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
|
No |
BUY |
6 |
93¢ |
$6 |
0xa2bd02…
|
| 10-05 02:38:26 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
91¢ |
$5 |
0xdfa10b…
|
| 10-04 20:56:28 |
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
97¢ |
$29 |
0x44b426…
|
| 10-04 20:35:14 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
96¢ |
$29 |
0xecdfaf…
|
| 10-04 19:20:10 |
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?
|
No |
BUY |
30 |
96¢ |
$29 |
0x86fc44…
|