Realized P&L
-$217
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,177
lifetime
Volume
$39.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$1.99K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 21:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
54% 0% $-94
Politics
25% 0% $-123
Tech
15%
Crypto
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -582 $-540 94¢ $-550 $-10 06-25 20:57
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +260 $234 92¢ $240 +$6 07-09 13:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +264 $228 86¢ $226 $-3 07-07 19:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -184 $-174 96¢ $-176 $-2 06-27 12:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +114 $106 98¢ $111 +$5 07-20 06:54
OpenAI acquired before 2027? No +116 $108 96¢ $111 +$3 07-09 21:53
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? Yes +100 $86 97¢ $97 +$11 07-17 22:21
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? Yes +80 $69 88¢ $70 +$2 07-10 18:30
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -60 $-54 94¢ $-57 $-3 06-01 18:23
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? Yes +60 $49 83¢ $50 +$0 07-17 22:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +50 $48 99¢ $49 +$2 07-10 21:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +60 $48 82¢ $49 +$1 07-13 18:42
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +40 $35 92¢ $37 +$2 07-03 22:10
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +40 $34 90¢ $36 +$2 07-02 20:26
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes +30 $21 98¢ $29 +$8 07-17 23:07
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +30 $26 89¢ $27 +$0 06-04 13:01
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? Yes -26 $-25 98¢ $-26 $-1 06-11 21:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -97 $-71 20¢ $-19 +$53 06-07 03:28
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 76¢ $15 $-3 07-07 20:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +16 $6 94¢ $15 +$9 07-20 20:10