Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2dd…2e1a36 Create alert
20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$170
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved (30d)
32
Trades (30d)
189
2,066 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.53K
$66.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.93K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 16:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
51% 88% +$34
Politics
30% 90% +$372
Tech
14% 82% +$52
Crypto
5% 81% -$149
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -693 -$641 97¢ $-671 -$30 06-25 20:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +318 $284 96¢ $307 +$24 11-02 05:49
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +228 $204 94¢ $216 +$12 11-02 16:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -213 -$213 97¢ $-207 +$6 08-19 19:14
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +216 $193 91¢ $197 +$3 11-02 16:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -184 -$174 98¢ $-180 -$7 06-27 12:52
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +177 $160 92¢ $164 +$4 11-02 07:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +131 $124 97¢ $127 +$3 11-02 09:52
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +127 $111 97¢ $124 +$13 10-27 20:26
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +128 $121 96¢ $122 +$1 10-24 05:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +146 $140 80¢ $118 -$22 10-07 05:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +122 $105 96¢ $117 +$12 10-27 20:21
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +130 $117 88¢ $115 -$2 11-02 05:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +110 $104 96¢ $106 +$2 10-16 22:37
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 10-04 20:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$9 09-05 22:10
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +98 $89 94¢ $93 +$3 11-02 15:13
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +95 $87 96¢ $92 +$5 10-05 02:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +99 $92 92¢ $91 $0 11-02 14:32
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +94 $87 92¢ $87 +$0 10-27 20:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No -130 -$92 62¢ $-81 +$11 06-27 12:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $74 91¢ $73 -$1 10-26 16:26
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +75 $65 97¢ $73 +$8 10-27 20:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +80 $60 88¢ $71 +$10 10-20 11:33
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$54 96¢ $-58 -$3 06-01 18:23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +60 $56 96¢ $57 +$1 10-16 22:35
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 10-04 15:38
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes -130 -$35 38¢ $-49 -$14 06-07 16:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 97¢ $48 +$3 09-02 11:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +50 $47 95¢ $47 +$0 10-19 19:17