Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2dd…2e1a36
20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$275
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
664
Trades
2,052
lifetime
Volume
$66.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 20:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
51% 88% +$34
Politics
30% 90% +$372
Tech
14% 82% +$52
Crypto
5% 81% -$149
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -693 -$641 96¢ $-668 -$27 06-25 20:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -213 -$213 97¢ $-207 +$6 08-19 19:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -184 -$174 98¢ $-180 -$7 06-27 12:52
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +147 $132 92¢ $136 +$4 10-27 20:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +131 $124 96¢ $126 +$3 10-27 20:17
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +127 $111 97¢ $123 +$13 10-27 20:26
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +128 $121 96¢ $122 +$1 10-24 05:13
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +128 $110 94¢ $121 +$11 10-27 20:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +122 $105 96¢ $117 +$12 10-27 20:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +146 $140 80¢ $116 -$24 10-07 05:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +118 $92 96¢ $113 +$22 10-27 20:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +110 $104 97¢ $106 +$2 10-16 22:37
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +116 $103 89¢ $103 $0 10-27 20:21
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 10-04 20:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +100 $88 97¢ $97 +$9 09-05 22:10
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +110 $99 87¢ $96 -$4 10-21 19:21
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +95 $87 97¢ $92 +$5 10-05 02:38
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +94 $87 92¢ $87 +$0 10-27 20:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No -130 -$92 63¢ $-82 +$10 06-27 12:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $74 92¢ $74 $0 10-26 16:26
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +78 $70 94¢ $74 +$3 10-27 20:17
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +75 $65 97¢ $72 +$8 10-27 20:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +80 $60 88¢ $70 +$10 10-20 11:33
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$54 94¢ $-57 -$3 06-01 18:23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +60 $56 94¢ $57 +$0 10-16 22:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +60 $56 94¢ $56 +$0 10-08 11:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 10-04 15:38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 96¢ $48 +$3 09-02 11:22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes -130 -$35 37¢ $-48 -$13 06-07 16:33
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +50 $47 94¢ $47 $0 10-19 19:17