Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2dd…2e1a36 Create alert
20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$335
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
97.7%
Resolved (90d)
117
Trades (90d)
534
2,073 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$17.6K
$67.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 05:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
51% 88% +$34
Politics
30% 90% +$372
Tech
13% 82% +$52
Crypto
5% 81% -$149
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -693 -$641 97¢ $-671 -$30 06-25 20:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +518 $476 96¢ $498 +$22 11-03 03:51
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +319 $295 96¢ $305 +$10 11-03 05:12
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +228 $204 94¢ $215 +$11 11-02 16:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -213 -$213 97¢ $-207 +$6 08-19 19:14
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +216 $193 91¢ $197 +$3 11-02 16:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -184 -$174 98¢ $-180 -$6 06-27 12:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +153 $145 97¢ $148 +$3 11-03 01:19
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +127 $111 98¢ $124 +$13 10-27 20:26
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +128 $121 96¢ $122 +$1 10-24 05:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +146 $140 82¢ $119 -$21 10-07 05:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +122 $105 96¢ $117 +$12 10-27 20:21
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +130 $117 88¢ $114 -$3 11-02 05:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +110 $104 97¢ $107 +$2 10-16 22:37
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 10-04 20:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 09-05 22:10
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +98 $89 94¢ $93 +$3 11-02 15:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +99 $92 94¢ $92 +$0 11-02 14:32
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +95 $87 96¢ $92 +$5 10-05 02:38
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +94 $87 92¢ $87 +$0 10-27 20:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No -130 -$92 63¢ $-81 +$11 06-27 12:50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +80 $76 94¢ $75 -$1 11-02 22:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $74 91¢ $73 -$1 10-26 16:26
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +75 $65 97¢ $73 +$8 10-27 20:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +80 $60 86¢ $68 +$8 10-20 11:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +70 $66 94¢ $66 +$0 11-02 22:40
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$54 96¢ $-58 -$4 06-01 18:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 10-04 15:38
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes -130 -$35 37¢ $-49 -$14 06-07 16:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 97¢ $48 +$3 09-02 11:22