Pink-Making-Leap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

138

Trades

1,233

lifetime

Volume

$70.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-10 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 28% $-1,278

Politics

7% — —

Other

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	18	$1.5K	8,094	7,380	+714	open	—	08-09 17:08
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	14	$1.4K	4,413	4,413	+0	open	—	07-26 20:02
btc updown 5m 1776408300	2	$870	714	677	+37	open	—	04-17 06:50
iran closes its airspace by june 15	12	$693	1,549	1,549	+0	open	—	06-07 20:03
btc updown 5m 1776489000	2	$685	513	490	+23	open	—	04-18 05:15
btc updown 5m 1776409500	4	$665	2,769	409	+2,361	open	—	04-17 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$649	667	667	+0	open	—	05-18 11:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	8	$625	5,744	5,744	+0	open	—	08-09 17:05
btc updown 5m 1776595500	4	$548	509	480	+29	open	—	04-19 10:51
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	6	$535	3,373	1,700	+1,673	open	—	07-09 22:07
btc updown 5m 1776487800	2	$534	290	287	+3	open	—	04-18 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$511	491	491	+0	Up	+$309	05-07 09:34
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	7	$456	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	07-31 19:05
btc updown 5m 1776665700	2	$447	370	351	+19	open	—	04-20 06:19
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	8	$422	2,133	2,133	+0	open	—	07-10 11:10
btc updown 5m 1776527400	2	$379	273	262	+11	open	—	04-18 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$372	457	325	+132	open	—	05-18 10:24
iran full airspace closure by july 24	3	$360	831	2,069	-1,237	open	—	07-22 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776435900	2	$358	345	323	+22	open	—	04-17 14:30
btc updown 5m 1776408000	2	$341	255	244	+11	open	—	04-17 06:45
btc updown 5m 1781125200	2	$340	589	589	+0	open	—	06-10 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$333	274	274	+0	open	—	05-18 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	7	$328	302	198	+104	open	—	05-01 06:17
btc updown 5m 1776407700	2	$326	238	228	+10	open	—	04-17 06:40
btc updown 5m 1776408900	2	$324	236	226	+10	open	—	04-17 07:01
btc updown 5m 1776488700	2	$319	231	222	+9	open	—	04-18 05:10
btc updown 5m 1776488100	2	$319	231	221	+9	open	—	04-18 05:00
btc updown 5m 1784036700	4	$307	285	285	+0	open	—	07-14 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776517500	2	$303	210	202	+8	open	—	04-18 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776522600	1	$300	902	0	+902	open	—	04-18 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:48:37	btc updown 5m 1786340700	Up	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0x70dfd5…
08-10 05:48:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	6,000	0¢	$12	0x2aad49…
08-09 17:13:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$24	0x75963e…
08-09 17:08:42	btc updown 5m 1786295100	Up	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x4bf5e7…
08-09 17:08:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x6bf1c5…
08-09 17:05:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	455	6¢	$27	0x774cd3…
08-09 17:05:07	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	1,846	2¢	$33	0x26fc53…
08-09 17:05:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,438	2¢	$46	0x9701b0…
08-07 12:56:21	btc updown 5m 1786107300	Up	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x0276bf…
08-07 12:50:58	btc updown 5m 1786107000	Down	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x82888a…
08-07 12:48:24	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	556	5¢	$28	0x3f3393…
08-03 17:32:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,438	2¢	$50	0xda4e39…
08-03 17:27:59	btc updown 5m 1785777900	Up	BUY	911	3¢	$30	0x0f49e2…
08-03 17:27:27	btc updown 5m 1785777900	Up	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0x86c453…
08-03 17:22:45	btc updown 5m 1785777600	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x0c75e9…
08-03 17:21:50	btc updown 5m 1785777600	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x0226e1…
08-03 17:00:35	btc updown 5m 1785776400	Up	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x69c4cb…
08-03 17:00:17	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x28e117…
07-31 19:08:09	btc updown 5m 1785524700	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xdb2ef1…
07-31 19:05:44	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$3	0x6d7b4e…
07-29 12:35:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	212	9¢	$19	0xe19c43…
07-29 12:15:23	btc updown 5m 1785327300	Up	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x8816d5…
07-29 12:13:35	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	455	9¢	$41	0x32835c…
07-28 20:18:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	4,662	0¢	$14	0x991165…
07-26 20:04:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	4,662	1¢	$65	0xb0204e…
07-26 20:02:52	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	Yes	SELL	764	3¢	$22	0x6245d9…
07-26 20:02:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	871	5¢	$44	0x2a29f6…
07-26 15:17:55	btc updown 5m 1785078900	Down	BUY	752	2¢	$15	0x39aaeb…
07-26 13:36:55	btc updown 5m 1785072900	Down	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x74e1a5…
07-25 22:23:18	btc updown 5m 1785018000	Up	SELL	71	30¢	$21	0x1ef07c…
07-25 22:20:43	btc updown 5m 1785018000	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xa6cef2…
07-25 22:18:24	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	Yes	BUY	764	7¢	$50	0xae80d3…
07-25 22:13:24	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	824	4¢	$30	0x77304c…
07-25 21:27:07	btc updown 5m 1785014700	Up	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0x06874b…
07-25 21:25:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xdcfacb…
07-25 21:25:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,120	7¢	$82	0xe73967…
07-24 12:42:55	btc updown 5m 1784896800	Up	BUY	342	5¢	$17	0x30f295…
07-24 12:41:58	btc updown 5m 1784896800	Up	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x599984…
07-24 12:38:30	btc updown 5m 1784896500	Down	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x9d5de6…
07-24 08:25:43	btc updown 5m 1784881500	Up	BUY	121	31¢	$37	0x17eb7a…
07-23 17:45:57	btc updown 5m 1784828700	Down	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x12a137…
07-23 17:38:27	btc updown 5m 1784828100	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x947220…
07-23 17:30:19	btc updown 5m 1784827800	Up	BUY	92	41¢	$38	0x926b8a…
07-23 15:37:34	btc updown 5m 1784820900	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x589005…
07-23 15:37:10	btc updown 5m 1784820900	Down	SELL	85	68¢	$58	0xb8a246…
07-23 15:35:37	btc updown 5m 1784820900	Down	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x239810…
07-23 14:23:13	btc updown 5m 1784816400	Down	BUY	465	5¢	$25	0xa23ff2…
07-23 14:22:45	btc updown 5m 1784816400	Down	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0xe3658b…
07-23 13:35:51	btc updown 5m 1784813700	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x2f9371…
07-23 13:15:49	btc updown 5m 1784812500	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xfd4532…
07-22 20:20:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xdce5d0…
07-22 20:14:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1,238	14¢	$173	0x6360cb…
07-22 15:43:21	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xaf982b…
07-22 14:46:15	btc updown 5m 1784731500	Down	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x5da012…
07-22 14:14:13	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	1,022	5¢	$50	0x85ca71…
07-22 14:12:51	btc updown 5m 1784729400	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x2a061c…
07-22 14:12:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,120	9¢	$100	0x9b7d4d…
07-21 11:37:13	btc updown 5m 1784633700	Down	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xc6cebb…
07-21 11:33:12	btc updown 5m 1784633400	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x0e7372…
07-21 08:06:54	btc updown 5m 1784621100	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xf2b5e5…
07-21 07:40:42	btc updown 5m 1784619600	Down	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x06043c…
07-21 07:36:19	btc updown 5m 1784619300	Down	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x593f88…
07-21 07:34:06	btc updown 5m 1784619000	Down	BUY	501	6¢	$30	0xcce874…
07-21 07:33:36	btc updown 5m 1784619000	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x78906b…
07-21 07:30:16	btc updown 5m 1784619000	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x834b62…
07-21 07:29:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	2,416	2¢	$40	0x6e6e72…
07-21 07:29:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	831	10¢	$87	0xbfa6d7…
07-21 07:29:43	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	846	6¢	$51	0xb3cd43…
07-20 15:06:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,416	2¢	$54	0xaf50fe…
07-20 15:02:13	btc updown 5m 1784559600	Down	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x3f019f…
07-20 15:01:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	831	12¢	$100	0x1d670e…
07-20 13:08:58	btc updown 5m 1784552700	Down	BUY	557	4¢	$20	0x5b50ff…
07-20 12:56:37	btc updown 5m 1784552100	Up	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x430a92…
07-20 11:38:15	btc updown 5m 1784547300	Down	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x7a5857…
07-20 11:08:03	btc updown 5m 1784545500	Down	BUY	392	8¢	$30	0x50205d…
07-20 11:01:22	btc updown 5m 1784545200	Down	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xdf7d4f…
07-20 10:53:43	btc updown 5m 1784544600	Down	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x0da4b1…
07-20 10:47:48	btc updown 5m 1784544300	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x0442e6…
07-20 10:47:15	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	846	12¢	$100	0xd25f9d…
07-20 10:01:48	btc updown 5m 1784541600	Up	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x53d1fc…
07-20 09:50:54	btc updown 5m 1784541000	Down	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x94f292…
07-20 08:05:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	2,582	22¢	$568	0xa5e9c6…
07-20 08:02:00	btc updown 5m 1784534400	Down	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0x5a256c…
07-20 07:58:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	284	26¢	$74	0x58723c…
07-20 07:53:18	btc updown 5m 1784533800	Down	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xa1e6b9…
07-20 07:47:10	btc updown 5m 1784533500	Up	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x339435…
07-20 07:46:27	btc updown 5m 1784533500	Down	SELL	158	51¢	$80	0x07a16f…
07-20 07:45:51	btc updown 5m 1784533500	Down	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x77c794…
07-20 07:43:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,602	10¢	$460	0x5cb7bd…
07-20 07:43:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,186	9¢	$197	0xfac979…
07-19 16:33:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	228	28¢	$64	0xb5e315…
07-19 16:31:58	btc updown 5m 1784478600	Up	BUY	146	20¢	$30	0x70e9c1…
07-19 15:09:15	btc updown 5m 1784473500	Up	BUY	115	12¢	$13	0x020ced…
07-19 15:09:13	btc updown 5m 1784473500	Up	BUY	778	8¢	$65	0xf3429a…
07-19 14:52:58	btc updown 5m 1784472600	Up	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xf093e7…
07-19 14:52:39	btc updown 5m 1784472600	Down	SELL	92	70¢	$64	0x3f8366…
07-19 14:51:51	btc updown 5m 1784472600	Down	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0xa45b98…
07-19 14:51:34	btc updown 5m 1784472600	Up	SELL	105	42¢	$44	0x9bb58b…
07-19 14:51:00	btc updown 5m 1784472600	Up	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0x581e0b…
07-19 13:06:45	btc updown 5m 1784466300	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xbfe829…