Pink-Making-Leap — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$354

Unrealized P&L

-$161

Hit rate

22.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,669 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$799

$94.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$264

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 11-06 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 32% -$3,961

Other

10% 17% +$8

Politics

9% 28% -$359

Sports

7% 7% -$942

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes		+5,875	$425	4¢	$264	-$161	11-06 05:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	57	$3.3K	10,687	10,687	+0	No	-$629	07-14 20:20
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	29	$2.5K	34,064	30,820	+3,244	Yes	-$194	09-20 12:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	21	$1.7K	8,808	8,808	+0	open	—	09-08 17:31
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	14	$1.4K	4,413	4,413	+0	No	+$39	07-26 20:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$1.1K	3,401	3,401	+0	Yes	-$13	06-20 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$1.0K	1,140	1,140	+0	Down	+$936	05-12 06:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	14	$995	21,696	21,696	+0	No	-$199	09-17 05:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:45 UTC	2	$870	714	677	+37	Up	+$508	04-17 06:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	14	$833	9,435	3,559	+5,875	open	—	11-06 05:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	3	$805	630	630	+0	Yes	+$405	07-15 20:59
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	3	$776	843	843	+0	No	+$607	07-07 17:39
iran closes its airspace by june 15	12	$693	1,549	1,549	+0	Yes	+$297	06-07 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:10 UTC	2	$685	513	490	+23	Down	+$308	04-18 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:05 UTC	4	$665	2,769	409	+2,361	Up	-$15	04-17 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$649	667	667	+0	Up	+$549	05-18 11:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	8	$625	5,744	5,744	+0	No	+$25	08-09 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 10:45 UTC	4	$548	509	480	+29	Up	+$354	04-19 10:51
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	6	$535	3,373	1,700	+1,673	No	-$135	07-09 22:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:50 UTC	2	$534	290	287	+3	Up	+$37	04-18 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$511	491	491	+0	Up	+$309	05-07 09:34
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?	4	$459	2,069	2,069	+0	No	+$61	07-22 20:14
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	7	$456	1,540	1,540	+0	No	+$120	07-31 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 06:15 UTC	2	$447	370	351	+19	Up	+$267	04-20 06:19
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	8	$422	2,133	2,133	+0	No	-$88	07-10 11:10
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$420	3,865	3,865	+0	No	-$15	06-11 15:53
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$405	359	359	+0	Yes	+$227	07-11 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:50 UTC	2	$379	273	262	+11	Down	+$150	04-18 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$372	457	325	+132	Up	+$82	05-18 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:25 UTC	2	$358	345	323	+22	Down	+$304	04-17 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:40 UTC	2	$341	255	244	+11	Up	+$153	04-17 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 05:49:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	767	6¢	$46	0x5a3152…
11-06 05:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x794870…
11-06 05:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,698	2¢	$34	0x0e81ea…
11-06 05:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	199	15¢	$30	0x0fac7d…
11-06 05:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	255	20¢	$50	0x0a533a…
11-06 05:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4,215	1¢	$46	0x75dfaa…
11-05 21:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0x4c8c87…
11-05 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0x4ab1b4…
11-05 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0xcaba88…
11-05 10:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x6e49a8…
11-04 18:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	157	19¢	$30	0xcf602d…
11-04 18:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xff4482…
11-03 15:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	307	16¢	$50	0xd775fe…
11-03 13:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	184	19¢	$35	0x87eb8a…
11-03 07:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x96b2ed…
11-03 05:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	145	11¢	$16	0x46df3d…
11-03 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8cf790…
11-03 05:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	137	97¢	$133	0xc051e4…
11-03 05:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	137	22¢	$30	0x071e51…
10-26 11:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xbdc73f…
10-26 11:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x8458ea…
10-26 11:01:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9,382	0¢	$47	0x38abae…
10-16 11:07:58	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,069	9¢	$99	0x7efaeb…
10-16 11:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	115	17¢	$19	0xf646a2…
10-16 11:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	94	59¢	$55	0xf8aea1…
10-16 11:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xdb90cf…
10-15 08:47:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,615	1¢	$21	0x98eab0…
10-15 08:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x3a8ace…
10-15 08:47:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x605c93…
10-15 08:46:32	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	BUY	559	9¢	$50	0x1570a0…
10-15 08:46:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	Yes	BUY	3,862	1¢	$50	0x1c57a1…
10-14 12:04:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,553	1¢	$16	0x08d227…
10-14 12:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x84d492…
10-14 12:00:15	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	BUY	559	9¢	$50	0xcd51ae…
10-14 11:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xe8cfe4…
10-14 11:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	99	11¢	$11	0x019dfd…
10-14 10:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x784402…
10-14 10:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x705d2b…
10-14 04:42:41	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	BUY	558	9¢	$50	0x425a1b…
10-13 17:07:01	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	BUY	393	9¢	$35	0x58fba7…
10-13 17:06:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,905	1¢	$35	0x282de1…
10-13 17:05:33	Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,283	7¢	$87	0xfd5179…
10-13 17:05:04	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	7¢	$88	0x51d8f4…
10-12 19:30:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,333	1¢	$15	0x4b3da1…
10-12 19:27:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,845	1¢	$20	0xfe9dc4…
10-12 19:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x425a80…
10-12 19:23:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x61c441…
10-12 19:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	145	21¢	$30	0x9dc204…
10-12 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	143	11¢	$16	0x850138…
10-12 19:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x928543…
10-08 11:00:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,732	1¢	$19	0xc8b3de…
10-08 10:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2,529	1¢	$30	0x3628a9…
10-08 10:01:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,919	1¢	$20	0x514178…
10-08 10:00:32	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xc4fbb3…
10-08 10:00:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0x760d8e…
10-08 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	185	93¢	$172	0x17da73…
10-08 09:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	70	25¢	$18	0x620b40…
10-08 09:56:03	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x093105…
10-08 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x1fbf7b…
10-08 09:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	907	3¢	$23	0xc02fbf…
09-30 05:20:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	Yes	BUY	2,826	2¢	$69	0x1ff729…
09-30 05:20:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,153	6¢	$69	0xe1cddb…
09-26 18:30:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,414	7¢	$99	0x2fb9ec…
09-26 18:28:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	945	3¢	$25	0xcf030d…
09-26 06:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	357	10¢	$34	0xf2e886…
09-26 06:17:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x15c7bf…
09-26 06:13:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	343	7¢	$24	0xad9b03…
09-26 06:11:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x1f1134…
09-26 06:11:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,143	7¢	$80	0xfdcf31…
09-23 14:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	73	31¢	$23	0xe0e89c…
09-23 14:31:49	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,004	2¢	$24	0xdec936…
09-20 12:10:03	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	950	2¢	$21	0x4b0bc7…
09-20 12:09:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	418	5¢	$21	0xf06b28…
09-20 09:00:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xab99b5…
09-20 08:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xe2b260…
09-20 08:55:57	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1,471	3¢	$50	0x05c1fd…
09-20 08:52:46	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	824	3¢	$28	0x5956ac…
09-20 08:52:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	560	5¢	$28	0xff064d…
09-20 07:32:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,750	6¢	$105	0x701af5…
09-20 07:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0x1cc46e…
09-19 06:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x2c5d03…
09-19 06:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xad01ae…
09-19 06:21:03	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,004	8¢	$80	0xf9b194…
09-17 10:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3,224	2¢	$50	0x98fb5c…
09-17 10:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x5e2287…
09-17 10:05:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,429	6¢	$86	0xd250fb…
09-17 07:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	924	2¢	$23	0xc0327f…
09-17 05:41:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,689	1¢	$14	0x677597…
09-16 17:47:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xaec381…
09-16 17:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd8e5ae…
09-16 17:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	283	18¢	$50	0xa0a7e8…
09-16 12:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x3a8f8a…
09-16 12:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x188882…
09-15 12:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xc9ec00…
09-15 09:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xd7741e…
09-15 08:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd950bd…
09-15 08:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x76954e…
09-15 08:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	386	9¢	$35	0xdf0689…
09-14 15:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xa832aa…
09-14 15:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xa75fff…