Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
79
Trades
1,368
lifetime
Volume
$839
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 10-27 07:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
50% 71% -$2
Politics
48% 43% $0
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-24 16:41
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $0 10-27 08:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$0 10-26 22:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2 $2 76¢ $2 $0 09-20 05:26
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 10-18 10:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-26 23:04
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-20 20:24
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 08-14 04:10
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 07-02 17:43
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-03 01:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $0 08-07 19:58
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-07 02:44
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026 No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 10-18 20:07