Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
162
lifetime
Volume
$167
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 07-10 17:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78%
Politics
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +9 $7 90¢ $8 +$1 06-18 19:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-24 15:56
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 06-19 14:55
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $-0 06-22 17:07
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 07-10 17:06
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 06-17 18:44
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-05 01:32
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 07-05 18:48
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-10 09:44
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-19 11:21
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-23 18:49
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-02 03:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-05 19:02
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 07-03 18:43
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 07-02 17:43