(anonymous) 0xd8c208…00105e
bot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$179
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
751
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.12K
20 positions
First seen
2026-09-17
last 10-30 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
53% 67% -$11
Other
47% 94% +$190
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +224 $209 93¢ $208 -$1 10-29 17:33
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +205 $198 99¢ $203 +$5 10-17 11:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +169 $167 97¢ $164 -$3 10-30 00:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +121 $116 96¢ $117 +$1 10-28 14:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +156 $119 72¢ $112 -$7 10-27 07:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +123 $95 80¢ $98 +$2 10-29 22:25
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +85 $82 97¢ $83 +$1 10-28 20:01
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +52 $49 96¢ $50 +$1 10-23 06:09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +21 $19 92¢ $20 +$1 09-30 17:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +19 $16 98¢ $18 +$3 10-09 13:48
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$0 10-17 13:54
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-14 17:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 09-19 01:34
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $0 10-28 18:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +9 $2 24¢ $2 $0 10-25 14:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 10-27 16:28
will the iranian regime fall by the end of 2027 Yes +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$0 10-05 19:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +9 $2 18¢ $2 $0 10-26 00:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 9¢ $0 $0 10-28 16:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +36 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-25 15:50