Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.12K

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

892

lifetime

Volume

$86.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$5.85K

8 positions

First seen

2026-06-18

last 10-28 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

64% 15% +$7,829

Other

36% 52% +$3,832

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	+22,019	$2,718	8¢	$1.8K	-$879	10-28 22:02
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	+2,000	$1,480	76¢	$1.5K	+$40	10-14 02:14
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+25,700	$1,109	3¢	$797	-$312	10-26 00:05
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10,133	$1,153	5¢	$507	-$646	08-14 13:03
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9,700	$492	5¢	$470	-$22	08-03 20:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+3,450	$608	14¢	$466	-$142	10-06 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+1,350	$362	16¢	$223	-$139	08-07 13:20
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$50	3¢	$30	-$20	08-02 05:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	36	$14.9K	14,439	14,439	+0	Yes	+$10,587	07-13 14:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	7	$9.3K	18,409	17,909	+500	No	+$3,112	06-24 10:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	45	$5.4K	11,583	9,500	+2,083	No	-$477	07-09 19:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	18	$3.4K	3,800	2,200	+1,600	No	+$763	08-27 15:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	7	$3.0K	3,800	1,900	+1,900	Yes	-$1,447	07-25 20:41
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	50	$2.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$1,161	10-06 21:20
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	50	$2.7K	22,119	100	+22,019	open	—	10-28 22:02
will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	7	$2.5K	4,300	0	+4,300	Yes	+$1,798	07-13 18:54
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	58	$2.3K	7,400	7,400	+0	Yes	-$1,082	07-25 20:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	20	$2.2K	9,600	8,000	+1,600	No	-$576	07-13 14:53
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	14	$2.0K	9,600	9,600	+0	No	-$692	07-03 12:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	4	$1.9K	9,200	5,750	+3,450	open	—	10-06 14:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	9	$1.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$761	08-27 15:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	5	$1.6K	3,600	3,600	-0	Yes	-$522	07-27 10:49
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	2	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-14 02:14
israel closes its airspace by july 15	20	$1.4K	8,241	8,241	+0	No	-$269	06-23 09:17
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$1.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$1,037	07-23 09:48
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	3	$1.3K	4,788	4,788	+0	No	-$72	06-21 00:23
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	6	$1.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	Yes	+$968	07-13 18:41
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	31	$1.2K	10,345	212	+10,133	open	—	08-14 13:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	4	$1.1K	3,100	700	+2,400	Yes	-$427	08-10 19:37
Iran Nuke before 2027?	47	$1.1K	25,700	0	+25,700	open	—	10-26 00:05
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	12	$1.0K	25,387	0	+25,387	No	-$1,049	07-30 05:05
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	15	$968	3,600	0	+3,600	open	—	10-26 00:54
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	7	$957	3,300	0	+3,300	Yes	-$957	07-27 15:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	6	$926	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	-$436	07-25 21:22
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	8	$893	700	700	+0	Yes	+$483	07-25 19:39
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$840	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$1,160	07-27 10:35
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	7	$694	10,465	0	+10,465	No	-$694	07-11 11:26
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	2	$681	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$494	07-23 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:02:55	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,444	12¢	$642	0xe02ca7…
10-28 19:00:22	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x366af4…
10-28 10:11:58	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x1b2e21…
10-28 01:31:35	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,104	4¢	$82	0x40ac83…
10-28 01:05:48	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x14ba04…
10-27 23:58:50	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x75158e…
10-27 16:04:50	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0xcac1cd…
10-27 08:01:05	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x77f882…
10-27 07:02:26	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4df7bf…
10-27 06:39:53	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	1,598	2¢	$24	0x4b1982…
10-26 23:38:50	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	184	12¢	$22	0x97f6f3…
10-26 15:51:38	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x2cb602…
10-26 00:54:14	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x4c6242…
10-26 00:05:33	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	457	4¢	$18	0xb82ec3…
10-25 23:57:56	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf3e9c3…
10-25 23:36:51	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	666	4¢	$26	0x707cca…
10-25 14:04:41	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x109dcd…
10-25 12:04:35	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xb48507…
10-25 10:56:32	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,624	4¢	$63	0x8b2784…
10-25 09:54:17	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	396	25¢	$99	0x672e3a…
10-25 07:31:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa3917c…
10-25 00:24:26	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x75abee…
10-24 21:59:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	317	4¢	$12	0xc8cea1…
10-24 20:08:11	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x6493d1…
10-24 20:06:57	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x204f08…
10-24 20:06:57	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x1c02be…
10-24 18:28:03	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x803027…
10-24 09:54:15	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,163	30¢	$349	0xc05e88…
10-23 20:39:00	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x87208a…
10-23 20:16:14	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,324	4¢	$87	0xd9ddb5…
10-23 19:33:08	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa4ca42…
10-23 19:33:08	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	382	2¢	$6	0x9333da…
10-23 18:43:14	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xc77cad…
10-22 17:20:02	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	117	12¢	$14	0x058787…
10-22 12:57:00	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1dff37…
10-22 09:18:27	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbe866e…
10-22 09:18:27	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x28cc97…
10-21 17:32:41	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xedfcbf…
10-21 15:42:54	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xf3e964…
10-21 15:42:51	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,223	12¢	$144	0xe5684d…
10-21 15:41:09	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	Yes	BUY	448	4¢	$16	0xcf0040…
10-21 15:40:33	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf5f94b…
10-21 15:40:32	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,470	16¢	$235	0xce4efc…
10-21 15:37:57	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	137	30¢	$41	0xb1aab8…
10-17 21:50:47	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0x2a1478…
10-17 21:25:26	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xc6b7a8…
10-17 17:26:32	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2f3a22…
10-17 01:27:51	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xc91c85…
10-16 14:49:54	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x73ccac…
10-16 09:14:18	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	255	10¢	$25	0xbb48f9…
10-15 15:54:02	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xdb79f9…
10-14 02:14:10	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	1,743	74¢	$1,290	0x6720c5…
10-13 16:12:00	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$18	0xcc87ef…
10-12 19:48:24	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	770	25¢	$192	0xa3c59c…
10-12 18:51:26	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf26ac0…
10-12 10:28:38	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xef8da1…
10-12 10:26:39	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcb58d8…
10-12 10:26:39	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xc92a9a…
10-12 00:02:29	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x1c44e1…
10-11 17:51:43	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	518	4¢	$18	0x568c45…
10-11 14:58:28	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x658965…
10-11 14:58:22	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa35d9b…
10-11 14:58:21	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0398af…
10-11 12:29:45	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x99f500…
10-11 06:17:35	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xbd5644…
10-11 05:51:51	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc2d076…
10-11 05:51:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe6fe1b…
10-11 05:51:47	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa19c9d…
10-11 05:51:39	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe4ed05…
10-11 05:51:39	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa061c9…
10-11 05:51:39	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x8ce0e4…
10-11 05:47:08	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5c3b4a…
10-11 05:47:05	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x99c344…
10-11 05:47:03	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf742b9…
10-11 05:46:59	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf0e930…
10-11 05:46:59	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x8b13da…
10-11 05:46:57	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x48cf5c…
10-11 05:42:11	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x63eed2…
10-11 05:42:11	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5d8f46…
10-11 05:42:09	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xafebb7…
10-11 05:42:05	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xfd035d…
10-11 05:42:05	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x463ad7…
10-11 05:42:03	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x1dd718…
10-09 07:42:31	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$1	0xa9f508…
10-08 23:24:24	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x0d0e5b…
10-08 16:18:24	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xd2de0e…
10-08 13:31:30	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,297	23¢	$298	0x73b01a…
10-08 13:31:29	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xc97d47…
10-08 13:31:29	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x24a081…
10-08 13:10:02	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf09380…
10-08 08:21:47	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$2	0x5f7a2e…
10-08 07:57:15	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	518	4¢	$18	0x3fee47…
10-07 18:57:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x3d2a56…
10-07 18:39:40	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$35	0x2571f1…
10-07 18:39:27	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,205	3¢	$77	0xc35856…
10-07 10:42:24	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x28f4ae…
10-07 10:41:17	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc88e03…
10-07 10:41:11	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	23¢	$14	0xfab88e…
10-07 10:41:08	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x42354f…
10-07 10:41:02	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x691076…