Intent-Attitude 0xc97fd4…89b64e
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Realized P&L
+$65
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
848
lifetime
Volume
$14.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$726
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
54% 83% +$63
Other
45% 100% +$2
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -115 $-107 94¢ $-109 $-1 06-07 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +97 $67 74¢ $71 +$5 07-19 14:33
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +57 $51 97¢ $56 +$5 07-10 04:39
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +61 $44 82¢ $50 +$6 07-04 05:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +60 $48 82¢ $49 +$1 07-03 13:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +60 $45 80¢ $48 +$3 07-10 13:41
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -47 $-41 88¢ $-41 +$0 07-04 05:20
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +40 $28 76¢ $31 +$2 07-09 22:15
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No -29 $-27 96¢ $-28 $-1 06-26 14:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +30 $27 92¢ $27 +$1 07-05 04:00
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +30 $26 90¢ $27 +$1 07-05 04:47
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -27 $-23 87¢ $-23 $-1 06-18 18:47
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +25 $20 90¢ $22 +$2 06-10 00:00
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +17 $8 92¢ $15 +$8 07-04 19:51
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +18 $14 84¢ $15 +$1 07-16 14:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -16 $-17 86¢ $-14 +$3 07-09 19:14
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +18 $5 70¢ $12 +$7 06-20 07:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -12 $-12 96¢ $-12 $-0 06-06 09:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 06-06 04:24
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-0 07-03 02:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $17 44¢ $10 $-7 07-04 19:59
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-19 18:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-01 20:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $4 83¢ $8 +$5 06-27 02:43
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 06-06 09:53
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -6 $-6 91¢ $-6 +$0 06-11 02:34
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -4 $-4 91¢ $-4 $-0 07-04 05:08