Intent-Attitude 0xc97fd4…89b64e
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Realized P&L
+$65
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
683
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 05:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
57% 83% +$63
Other
42% 100% +$2
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -115 $-107 94¢ $-108 $-1 06-07 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -108 $-96 86¢ $-94 +$3 06-21 05:08
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -94 $-93 100¢ $-94 $-1 06-07 12:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -80 $-79 100¢ $-79 +$0 06-19 13:04
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +76 $72 100¢ $75 +$3 06-11 04:54
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -65 $-65 100¢ $-65 $-0 06-19 13:03
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +86 $69 75¢ $65 $-4 06-28 07:37
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +60 $54 99¢ $60 +$5 06-19 18:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +70 $55 84¢ $58 +$3 06-19 18:43
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? No -53 $-53 100¢ $-53 $-0 06-02 16:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +50 $47 100¢ $50 +$3 06-19 18:56
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No -48 $-48 100¢ $-48 $-0 06-10 16:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -43 $-42 100¢ $-43 $-1 06-13 16:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -48 $-42 87¢ $-42 +$0 06-25 13:54
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +41 $38 99¢ $41 +$2 06-21 19:15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -33 $-33 100¢ $-33 $-0 06-06 16:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -31 $-31 100¢ $-31 $-0 06-08 15:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +30 $28 100¢ $30 +$2 06-01 18:36
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 06-02 04:20
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No -29 $-27 90¢ $-27 +$1 06-26 14:56
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -32 $-28 81¢ $-26 +$2 06-19 18:58
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +30 $25 86¢ $26 +$1 06-20 17:54
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -27 $-23 88¢ $-24 $-1 06-18 18:47
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +22 $20 99¢ $22 +$2 06-10 16:09
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +25 $20 88¢ $22 +$2 06-10 00:00
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No +20 $15 100¢ $20 +$5 06-03 11:25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 06-07 05:32
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 06-07 12:42
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$1 06-21 05:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -18 $-22 100¢ $-18 +$4 06-29 18:42