Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
open
Total volume
$15,895
$5 in 24h
Trades
342
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$8,248
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-18 17:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $645
vs crowd: 9% YES on $8.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $21 | $66 | $45 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $5 | $713 | $708 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $34 | $685 | $651 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 69 | $660 | $6.1K | $5.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | $644 | $643 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $31 | $113 | $82 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $10 | $186 | $176 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $30 | $24 |
| Below median | 6 | $29 | $46 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $7 | $380 | $373 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $9 | $74 | $65 |
| unranked | 63 | $616 | $6.1K | $5.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +689 | $644 | $644 | 6 | 06-29 12:41 |
| Jealous-Saffron 0x6f36…89ca | Yes | +295 | $20 | $33 | 4 | 06-16 05:22 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +289 | $271 | $271 | 2 | 07-17 21:36 |
| Unwelcome-Licensing 0x1a58…f18a | Yes | +161 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-08 22:36 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +120 | $103 | $103 | 4 | 06-15 15:03 |
| Enchanted-Rhythm 0xb6dc…2f06 | Yes | +110 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-07 21:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +107 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 05:22 |
| Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | +77 | $69 | $197 | 8 | 07-10 04:39 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +73 | $69 | $69 | 3 | 06-29 17:25 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +71 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-05 14:24 |
| Subdued-Dawn 0xbae1…3a47 | Yes | +63 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-02 10:54 |
| Exciting-Bacon 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 14:48 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d48…678c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 12:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-16 05:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-16 04:20 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +27 | $13 | $206 | 8 | 07-18 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +23 | $0 | $6 | 11 | 07-17 21:36 |
| Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | +16 | $14 | $43 | 8 | 07-15 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9543…6d79 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 12:41 |
| Crisp-Outfit 0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:18 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-23 03:06 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $26 | 3 | 06-15 19:41 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-17 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:18 |
| Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 05:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 17:28:52 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0xf7f19a… |
| 07-18 17:28:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf7f19a… |
| 07-17 21:36:27 | Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | BUY | 94 | 97¢ | $91 | 0xf65e82… |
| 07-17 21:36:27 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf65e82… |
| 07-17 21:36:27 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf65e82… |
| 07-17 21:36:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf65e82… |
| 07-17 21:36:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf65e82… |
| 07-17 21:36:27 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf65e82… |
| 07-15 18:19:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xac3fba… |
| 07-15 18:19:04 | Annual-Chard 0xcdae…b512 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xac3fba… |
| 07-15 16:33:41 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x3773e2… |
| 07-15 16:33:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3773e2… |
| 07-15 14:29:50 | Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6f70fa… |
| 07-15 14:29:50 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x6f70fa… |
| 07-15 14:29:50 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x6f70fa… |
| 07-15 14:27:16 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x5438f3… |
| 07-15 14:27:16 | Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5438f3… |
| 07-10 04:39:26 | Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x76d2f3… |
| 07-10 04:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x76d2f3… |
| 07-10 04:39:26 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x76d2f3… |
| 07-05 14:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb4f13e… |
| 07-05 14:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb4f13e… |
| 07-05 14:24:34 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xb4f13e… |
| 07-05 14:24:34 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xb4f13e… |
| 07-05 14:24:34 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xb4f13e… |
| 07-05 14:24:34 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xb4f13e… |
| 07-03 01:39:08 | Left-Cement 0xb6a1…5b1c | No | SELL | 379 | 94¢ | $356 | 0xd6f3c5… |
| 07-03 01:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x0488…24dd | No | SELL | 376 | 94¢ | $353 | 0xd6f3c5… |
| 07-03 01:39:08 | (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | Yes | SELL | 755 | 6¢ | $45 | 0xd6f3c5… |
| 07-03 01:38:04 | (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | Yes | SELL | 395 | 6¢ | $24 | 0xf8e49a… |
| 07-03 01:38:04 | Wobbly-Parameter 0x90ac…6bdd | No | SELL | 395 | 94¢ | $371 | 0xf8e49a… |
| 07-03 01:18:35 | Actual-Lid 0xa041…042c | No | SELL | 362 | 94¢ | $340 | 0x580480… |
| 07-03 01:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x110a…d6a7 | No | SELL | 337 | 94¢ | $317 | 0x580480… |
| 07-03 01:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | Yes | SELL | 699 | 6¢ | $42 | 0x580480… |
| 07-03 01:15:35 | Passionate-Organization 0xac21…ea50 | No | SELL | 350 | 94¢ | $329 | 0x869b40… |
| 07-03 01:15:35 | Chief-Pledge 0x1bef…533d | No | SELL | 360 | 94¢ | $338 | 0x869b40… |
| 07-03 01:15:35 | (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | Yes | SELL | 710 | 6¢ | $43 | 0x869b40… |
| 07-02 10:54:08 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x921880… |
| 07-02 10:54:08 | Tragic-Cause 0xb142…dac9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x921880… |
| 07-02 10:54:08 | Subdued-Dawn 0xbae1…3a47 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x921880… |
| 07-02 06:05:49 | Tragic-Cause 0xb142…dac9 | Yes | SELL | 306 | 6¢ | $18 | 0xa473c4… |
| 07-02 06:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x6598…7479 | No | SELL | 306 | 94¢ | $288 | 0xa473c4… |
| 07-02 03:22:07 | Tragic-Cause 0xb142…dac9 | Yes | SELL | 601 | 6¢ | $36 | 0x11983a… |
| 07-02 03:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x158f…1dbd | No | SELL | 293 | 94¢ | $275 | 0x11983a… |
| 07-02 03:22:07 | Extraneous-Spasm-Octet 0xc8df…7140 | No | SELL | 308 | 94¢ | $290 | 0x11983a… |
| 07-02 02:59:26 | Tragic-Cause 0xb142…dac9 | Yes | SELL | 572 | 6¢ | $34 | 0x4e1656… |
| 07-02 02:59:26 | Soft-Rethinking 0x2e5a…0582 | No | SELL | 271 | 94¢ | $255 | 0x4e1656… |
| 07-02 02:59:26 | (anonymous) 0xd1f0…6f14 | No | SELL | 301 | 94¢ | $283 | 0x4e1656… |
| 07-02 02:44:52 | Tragic-Cause 0xb142…dac9 | Yes | SELL | 677 | 6¢ | $41 | 0xb9f8e5… |
| 07-02 02:44:52 | (anonymous) 0xaa24…a99c | No | SELL | 327 | 94¢ | $307 | 0xb9f8e5… |
| 07-02 02:44:52 | Stable-Trap 0xec9f…c357 | No | SELL | 350 | 94¢ | $329 | 0xb9f8e5… |
| 07-01 10:18:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x860515… |
| 07-01 10:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x860515… |
| 07-01 10:18:01 | Crisp-Outfit 0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe5fa6b… |
| 07-01 10:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe5fa6b… |
| 06-30 09:16:13 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $42 | 0x6c226a… |
| 06-30 09:16:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x6c226a… |
| 06-30 00:27:23 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x28c412… |
| 06-30 00:27:23 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x28c412… |
| 06-29 22:01:34 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x27db86… |
| 06-29 22:01:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x27db86… |
| 06-29 21:47:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd48e9b… |
| 06-29 21:47:35 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd48e9b… |
| 06-29 19:51:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1bc93d… |
| 06-29 19:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1bc93d… |
| 06-29 17:46:32 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa965b3… |
| 06-29 17:46:32 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa965b3… |
| 06-29 17:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1e46b9… |
| 06-29 17:37:01 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x1e46b9… |
| 06-29 17:33:59 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8f236b… |
| 06-29 17:33:59 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8f236b… |
| 06-29 17:25:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x64ac73… |
| 06-29 17:25:28 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x64ac73… |
| 06-29 17:25:13 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | BUY | 33 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xc724a3… |
| 06-29 17:25:13 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xc724a3… |
| 06-29 17:00:07 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xef86b5… |
| 06-29 17:00:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xef86b5… |
| 06-29 16:16:23 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7abcf6… |
| 06-29 16:16:23 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7abcf6… |
| 06-29 16:12:46 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xfebf61… |
| 06-29 16:12:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfebf61… |
| 06-29 16:12:46 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xfebf61… |
| 06-29 15:55:55 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x51161c… |
| 06-29 15:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x51161c… |
| 06-29 15:13:56 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xfc0c08… |
| 06-29 15:13:56 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xfc0c08… |
| 06-29 14:33:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa3d3b4… |
| 06-29 14:33:34 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa3d3b4… |
| 06-29 14:19:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8932d3… |
| 06-29 14:19:04 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8932d3… |
| 06-29 14:09:16 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0b4a64… |
| 06-29 14:09:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0b4a64… |
| 06-29 13:34:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa902ee… |
| 06-29 13:34:02 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xa902ee… |
| 06-29 13:04:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5ae5d0… |
| 06-29 13:04:02 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5ae5d0… |
| 06-29 13:03:23 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc9f1f4… |
| 06-29 13:03:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc9f1f4… |
| 06-29 12:45:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbe2660… |
| 06-29 12:45:28 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbe2660… |