Wry-Elm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

+$62

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

$1.29K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-21 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

36% 0% $-1,182

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	+600	$537	94¢	$563	+$26	06-21 18:11
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+289	$196	74¢	$214	+$17	06-21 18:31
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	No	+195	$180	94¢	$184	+$4	05-30 20:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+200	$140	76¢	$151	+$11	05-30 20:50
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	+132	$125	94¢	$124	$-1	06-01 20:32
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	+57	$52	100¢	$57	+$5	06-01 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,049	+2,049	open	—	06-17 20:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,246	+1,246	open	—	06-17 20:12
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	3	$1.2K	1,251	+1,251	open	—	02-13 11:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$993	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-20 13:28
will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	2	$981	986	+986	open	—	03-20 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$979	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-18 20:18
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	2	$879	890	+890	open	—	06-21 18:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$572	600	+600	Yes	$-572	05-03 20:57
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	1	$552	778	+778	open	—	02-13 11:03
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	2	$537	600	+600	open	—	06-21 18:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$480	500	+500	open	—	03-20 13:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$460	500	+500	Yes	$-460	04-03 18:04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	16	$456	463	+463	open	—	06-21 18:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	2	$441	450	+450	open	—	06-21 18:50
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	2	$414	444	+444	open	—	06-21 18:24
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	1	$384	386	+386	open	—	06-21 18:33
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	2	$381	419	+419	open	—	06-21 18:23
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	3	$317	373	+373	open	—	02-13 10:59
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$285	291	+291	open	—	05-14 21:04
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	1	$285	300	+300	open	—	04-03 18:08
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	1	$256	275	+275	open	—	05-10 21:35
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	1	$230	231	+231	open	—	06-21 18:36
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	1	$225	226	+226	open	—	06-17 20:10
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$196	289	+289	open	—	06-21 18:31
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	1	$194	200	+200	open	—	05-23 13:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$190	200	+200	open	—	05-03 21:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$186	200	+200	open	—	05-03 21:06
will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	1	$184	200	+200	open	—	06-06 20:09
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	1	$180	195	+195	open	—	05-30 20:59
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	3	$167	172	+172	open	—	02-13 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 18:51:26	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0x31d104…
06-21 18:50:41	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x0fbb4d…
06-21 18:36:05	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x57095d…
06-21 18:33:53	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x3d7483…
06-21 18:33:28	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	386	99¢	$384	0xe7b0fc…
06-21 18:32:13	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	296	99¢	$293	0x0d752e…
06-21 18:31:49	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	289	68¢	$196	0xacf150…
06-21 18:27:10	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	BUY	172	96¢	$165	0x087173…
06-21 18:24:38	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	244	94¢	$228	0x67cb48…
06-21 18:23:19	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x7857e0…
06-21 18:11:46	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	439	90¢	$394	0xc7cf64…
06-18 17:34:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0xb46601…
06-18 16:13:52	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xacb3dc…
06-18 06:40:19	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x3e8e7e…
06-18 02:25:38	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x53f8cb…
06-18 00:47:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x44a90b…
06-18 00:41:53	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9213c…
06-18 00:30:05	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c264b…
06-18 00:29:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5ed719…
06-18 00:28:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf893d6…
06-18 00:28:43	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x79401c…
06-18 00:28:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xebb608…
06-18 00:28:02	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc439f5…
06-17 20:14:17	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcefcaf…
06-17 20:13:47	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x92e020…
06-17 20:13:17	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb854a4…
06-17 20:12:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	646	98¢	$637	0x40b880…
06-17 20:11:29	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	594	99¢	$586	0x534a03…
06-17 20:10:53	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	BUY	226	99¢	$225	0x06ebb0…
06-17 20:09:38	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,049	100¢	$2,038	0xcc7153…
06-06 20:12:57	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x6add29…
06-06 20:12:19	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x7b06eb…
06-06 20:09:10	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x79d404…
06-04 20:02:39	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xcbd160…
06-04 20:01:25	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xb0d0ad…
06-04 19:57:18	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	135	92¢	$124	0x264746…
06-04 19:52:07	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x6ad4cc…
06-04 19:47:58	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	145	95¢	$137	0x5239ca…
06-01 20:46:01	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd505ae…
06-01 20:42:48	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	69¢	$84	0x750a11…
06-01 20:39:15	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x45c7d1…
06-01 20:38:50	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0xdd1f23…
06-01 20:32:30	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0x08e90d…
06-01 20:30:03	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	161	89¢	$143	0xee4819…
06-01 17:38:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	97¢	$583	0xa1c47b…
05-30 21:01:45	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	BUY	213	75¢	$159	0x54af24…
05-30 20:59:57	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	No	BUY	195	92¢	$180	0x949ec4…
05-30 20:56:53	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xc46e65…
05-30 20:55:33	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$143	0x398169…
05-30 20:54:40	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?	No	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0xa1fd6b…
05-30 20:50:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xe25263…
05-26 21:29:33	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x8aa40b…
05-23 14:15:48	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x5ad791…
05-23 14:11:20	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0x88849d…
05-23 14:10:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x77c22a…
05-23 14:05:48	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x62507b…
05-23 14:05:23	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x1f66d2…
05-23 13:54:10	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x0aa43b…
05-23 13:46:28	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xd5e949…
05-23 13:46:07	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x346700…
05-18 20:25:00	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	95	87¢	$82	0xe6c555…
05-18 20:18:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$979	0x2c4b30…
05-14 21:04:36	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xe08bec…
05-14 21:04:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xe31f4e…
05-10 21:35:15	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	BUY	275	93¢	$256	0x9114e8…
05-03 21:07:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xf8e34a…
05-03 21:06:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x6868ce…
05-03 20:57:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$284	0xbd9a0c…
04-10 19:52:21	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x5d4d17…
04-03 18:12:23	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x884ce5…
04-03 18:08:45	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xbb5cd8…
04-03 18:06:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x41c68b…
04-03 18:05:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xea83ff…
04-03 18:04:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xc0e6e7…
03-21 18:13:59	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	94	91¢	$86	0xe4bb64…
03-20 13:34:13	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	No	BUY	966	100¢	$961	0xc3590f…
03-20 13:33:43	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf401b6…
03-20 13:30:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xa9c027…
03-20 13:28:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0xf4b4da…
02-13 11:20:11	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x0672b5…
02-13 11:19:53	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0x0cce8f…
02-13 11:19:41	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	BUY	137	97¢	$133	0x6a0aa5…
02-13 11:06:49	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	177	65¢	$115	0x9b8de8…
02-13 11:06:11	will russia capture all of rodynske by february 28	No	BUY	123	87¢	$107	0x95d440…
02-13 11:05:37	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3184aa…
02-13 11:05:21	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x37e867…
02-13 11:05:05	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x149dbc…
02-13 11:03:11	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	BUY	778	71¢	$552	0x5b109f…
02-13 10:59:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	266	95¢	$253	0xbc947b…
01-23 21:39:56	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3e009c…
01-23 19:47:28	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x2fef2e…
01-23 19:34:26	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xe0895d…
01-23 17:23:40	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xfb368c…
01-23 17:21:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x081476…
01-23 17:20:50	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xe8204f…
01-23 17:19:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	57	60¢	$34	0x84b405…
01-23 17:19:24	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xceadea…