Realized P&L
+$439
Unrealized P&L
+$837
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
90
Trades
219
lifetime
Volume
$41.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$188
Open exposure
$9.34K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 09-26 21:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
67% 92% +$1,438
Politics
33% 75% -$999
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1,700 $1,598 99¢ $1.7K +$82 05-14 20:53
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,029 $724 93¢ $956 +$232 07-01 19:55
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No +594 $541 92¢ $547 +$6 09-15 21:07
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +459 $362 90¢ $411 +$48 07-17 21:38
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +443 $346 92¢ $408 +$62 07-17 21:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +400 $274 90¢ $358 +$84 05-30 20:50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +360 $333 97¢ $350 +$18 09-15 21:12
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +330 $292 97¢ $320 +$28 07-17 21:34
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +342 $314 92¢ $316 +$2 09-15 21:05
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +309 $285 99¢ $305 +$20 05-14 21:00
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +311 $282 97¢ $301 +$19 05-24 20:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +300 $270 100¢ $299 +$29 09-15 21:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +300 $234 99¢ $298 +$64 05-18 20:17
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +313 $289 94¢ $295 +$6 07-17 21:29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +300 $285 95¢ $285 $0 09-15 21:06
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +300 $210 91¢ $273 +$63 09-26 21:29
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +269 $255 99¢ $266 +$11 05-24 20:38
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +268 $208 96¢ $257 +$49 07-01 19:59
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +240 $222 97¢ $232 +$10 05-24 20:38
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +230 $213 97¢ $223 +$11 09-16 00:00
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +222 $209 95¢ $212 +$3 09-15 21:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +200 $160 92¢ $185 +$25 05-14 21:02
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $180 77¢ $154 -$26 09-26 21:22
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +150 $106 74¢ $110 +$4 05-24 20:30
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +109 $102 95¢ $104 +$3 09-26 21:33
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 05-26 21:27
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +84 $61 95¢ $80 +$19 07-05 21:17
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $54 8¢ $16 -$38 09-26 21:17