Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$189
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
131
lifetime
Volume
$26.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$3.03K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 07-17 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
27% 0% $-1,182
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +761 $555 84¢ $639 +$84 07-01 19:55
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +600 $537 97¢ $585 +$47 06-21 18:11
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +289 $271 97¢ $280 +$9 07-17 21:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $252 90¢ $269 +$17 07-01 19:57
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +242 $228 94¢ $226 $-1 07-17 21:29
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +255 $204 82¢ $209 +$5 07-17 21:37
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +200 $184 89¢ $178 $-6 07-17 21:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $140 78¢ $157 +$17 05-30 20:50
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +192 $153 80¢ $154 +$1 07-17 21:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +200 $140 74¢ $148 +$8 07-01 19:58
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +132 $125 97¢ $128 +$3 06-01 20:32
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No +57 $52 100¢ $57 +$5 06-01 20:39