Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
open
Total volume
$7,801
Trades
353
Unique wallets
86
Liquidity
$3,163
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 10:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $117
vs crowd: 13% YES on $6.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $9 | $10 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $9 | $260 | $251 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $315 | $72 | +$243 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 63 | $505 | $5.1K | $4.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $117 | $117 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $25 | $6 | +$19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $92 | $86 |
| Median | 3 | $15 | $2 | +$13 |
| Below median | 7 | $5 | $83 | $78 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $58 | $58 |
| unranked | 62 | $786 | $5.1K | $4.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | +2,466 | $296 | $296 | 7 | 06-28 07:30 |
| Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | +2,108 | $274 | $274 | 7 | 06-29 08:59 |
| Frightened-Spotlight 0x45c2…c9a6 | No | +385 | $339 | $339 | 1 | 06-28 07:24 |
| Unconscious-Most 0x3419…8f6e | No | +381 | $335 | $335 | 1 | 06-28 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf90d…c157 | No | +378 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-28 07:23 |
| Growing-Decoder 0x7816…ba38 | No | +357 | $314 | $314 | 1 | 06-28 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | No | +348 | $303 | $303 | 2 | 06-29 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x474b…496f | No | +345 | $304 | $304 | 1 | 06-28 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x69e8…7621 | No | +323 | $281 | $281 | 2 | 06-29 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b0f…088f | No | +316 | $278 | $278 | 1 | 06-28 07:25 |
| Murky-Pumpkinseed 0xe678…82b8 | No | +304 | $268 | $268 | 1 | 06-28 07:30 |
| Passionate-Organization 0xac21…ea50 | No | +303 | $264 | $264 | 2 | 06-29 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8fe…3ff5 | No | +297 | $258 | $258 | 2 | 06-29 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4238…5730 | No | +290 | $252 | $252 | 2 | 06-29 07:39 |
| Rural-Brood 0xf5ed…5481 | No | +274 | $238 | $238 | 2 | 06-29 08:44 |
| Unknown-Chapter 0x8641…d047 | No | +273 | $238 | $238 | 1 | 06-29 08:59 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +135 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 06-21 20:59 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | +125 | $17 | $17 | 13 | 07-01 08:29 |
| Exciting-Bacon 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | +73 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-17 20:12 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +69 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 06-17 20:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +32 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-29 05:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d71…08a9 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $10 | 5 | 06-13 20:54 |
| Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | +27 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-01 21:29 |
| Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 00:00 |
| Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-29 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x748e…f4f2 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-13 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-13 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-13 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-10 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $13 | 3 | 07-01 08:29 |
| Crisp-Outfit 0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 08:30 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-01 08:29 |
| Annual-Chard 0xcdae…b512 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-21 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:19 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $4 | 8 | 06-30 00:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 10:19:02 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x43e3f4… |
| 07-01 10:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x43e3f4… |
| 07-01 08:29:11 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xcab1ed… |
| 07-01 08:29:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xcab1ed… |
| 07-01 08:29:11 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xcab1ed… |
| 06-30 00:26:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x351bfd… |
| 06-30 00:26:59 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x351bfd… |
| 06-29 22:01:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x26c45e… |
| 06-29 22:01:28 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x26c45e… |
| 06-29 21:47:11 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x35a31c… |
| 06-29 21:47:11 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x35a31c… |
| 06-29 21:47:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x35a31c… |
| 06-29 17:46:25 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8aa2f8… |
| 06-29 17:46:25 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8aa2f8… |
| 06-29 17:36:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x15ecd9… |
| 06-29 17:36:20 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x15ecd9… |
| 06-29 17:33:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x40920d… |
| 06-29 17:33:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x40920d… |
| 06-29 17:33:53 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x40920d… |
| 06-29 16:59:32 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x08d5e0… |
| 06-29 16:59:32 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x08d5e0… |
| 06-29 16:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x08d5e0… |
| 06-29 16:59:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x08d5e0… |
| 06-29 16:16:16 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x18e57f… |
| 06-29 16:16:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x18e57f… |
| 06-29 16:12:22 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xd1341b… |
| 06-29 16:12:22 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd1341b… |
| 06-29 15:55:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb069f2… |
| 06-29 15:55:49 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xb069f2… |
| 06-29 15:13:26 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x693beb… |
| 06-29 15:13:26 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x693beb… |
| 06-29 14:33:25 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x4a2247… |
| 06-29 14:33:25 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x4a2247… |
| 06-29 14:18:31 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x456890… |
| 06-29 14:18:31 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x456890… |
| 06-29 14:09:07 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x431c09… |
| 06-29 14:09:07 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x431c09… |
| 06-29 13:33:32 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x3d6ae3… |
| 06-29 13:33:32 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x3d6ae3… |
| 06-29 13:03:56 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x2324b9… |
| 06-29 13:03:56 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2324b9… |
| 06-29 13:02:56 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8d3c92… |
| 06-29 13:02:56 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8d3c92… |
| 06-29 12:45:19 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x15e9c4… |
| 06-29 12:45:19 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x15e9c4… |
| 06-29 08:59:31 | Unknown-Chapter 0x8641…d047 | No | BUY | 273 | 87¢ | $238 | 0x05d9e5… |
| 06-29 08:59:31 | (anonymous) 0xb8fe…3ff5 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x05d9e5… |
| 06-29 08:59:31 | Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | BUY | 278 | 13¢ | $36 | 0x05d9e5… |
| 06-29 08:44:17 | Rural-Brood 0xf5ed…5481 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xcf5b78… |
| 06-29 08:44:17 | Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 13¢ | $39 | 0xcf5b78… |
| 06-29 08:44:17 | (anonymous) 0xb8fe…3ff5 | No | BUY | 292 | 87¢ | $254 | 0xcf5b78… |
| 06-29 08:35:16 | Rural-Brood 0xf5ed…5481 | No | BUY | 266 | 87¢ | $231 | 0x4316e6… |
| 06-29 08:35:16 | Passionate-Organization 0xac21…ea50 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x4316e6… |
| 06-29 08:35:16 | Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | BUY | 280 | 13¢ | $36 | 0x4316e6… |
| 06-29 07:39:38 | Passionate-Organization 0xac21…ea50 | No | BUY | 289 | 87¢ | $251 | 0x34ee16… |
| 06-29 07:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x4238…5730 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x34ee16… |
| 06-29 07:39:38 | Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x34ee16… |
| 06-29 07:36:28 | Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | BUY | 290 | 13¢ | $38 | 0x1dd77e… |
| 06-29 07:36:28 | (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x1dd77e… |
| 06-29 07:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x4238…5730 | No | BUY | 279 | 87¢ | $243 | 0x1dd77e… |
| 06-29 07:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x69e8…7621 | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0x337065… |
| 06-29 07:32:34 | (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | No | BUY | 337 | 87¢ | $293 | 0x337065… |
| 06-29 07:32:34 | Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 13¢ | $46 | 0x337065… |
| 06-29 07:09:01 | (anonymous) 0x69e8…7621 | No | BUY | 310 | 87¢ | $270 | 0x413be3… |
| 06-29 07:09:01 | Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | BUY | 310 | 13¢ | $40 | 0x413be3… |
| 06-28 07:30:43 | Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | BUY | 304 | 12¢ | $36 | 0x14c010… |
| 06-28 07:30:43 | Murky-Pumpkinseed 0xe678…82b8 | No | BUY | 304 | 88¢ | $268 | 0x14c010… |
| 06-28 07:29:23 | Growing-Decoder 0x7816…ba38 | No | BUY | 357 | 88¢ | $314 | 0x973c84… |
| 06-28 07:29:23 | Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | BUY | 357 | 12¢ | $43 | 0x973c84… |
| 06-28 07:28:16 | Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | BUY | 345 | 12¢ | $41 | 0x6e4ad8… |
| 06-28 07:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x474b…496f | No | BUY | 345 | 88¢ | $304 | 0x6e4ad8… |
| 06-28 07:27:13 | Unconscious-Most 0x3419…8f6e | No | BUY | 381 | 88¢ | $335 | 0x5b688f… |
| 06-28 07:27:13 | Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | BUY | 381 | 12¢ | $46 | 0x5b688f… |
| 06-28 07:25:58 | Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | BUY | 316 | 12¢ | $38 | 0xc88ea7… |
| 06-28 07:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x2b0f…088f | No | BUY | 316 | 88¢ | $278 | 0xc88ea7… |
| 06-28 07:24:31 | Frightened-Spotlight 0x45c2…c9a6 | No | BUY | 385 | 88¢ | $339 | 0x5aa089… |
| 06-28 07:24:31 | Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | BUY | 385 | 12¢ | $46 | 0x5aa089… |
| 06-28 07:23:22 | (anonymous) 0xf90d…c157 | No | BUY | 378 | 88¢ | $333 | 0x643ba7… |
| 06-28 07:23:22 | Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | BUY | 378 | 12¢ | $45 | 0x643ba7… |
| 06-27 09:43:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe1967b… |
| 06-27 09:43:44 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe1967b… |
| 06-27 09:42:44 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2b6821… |
| 06-27 09:42:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2b6821… |
| 06-21 20:59:46 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x9ddd6b… |
| 06-21 20:59:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x9ddd6b… |
| 06-21 16:44:11 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x6a94eb… |
| 06-21 16:44:11 | Annual-Chard 0xcdae…b512 | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x6a94eb… |
| 06-21 13:41:32 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x9bdde4… |
| 06-21 13:41:32 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x9bdde4… |
| 06-21 08:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xa9e164… |
| 06-21 08:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…fa87 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 16¢ | $13 | 0xa9e164… |
| 06-21 08:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa9e164… |
| 06-21 08:46:31 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa9e164… |
| 06-21 08:46:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x171f82… |
| 06-21 08:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | No | SELL | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x171f82… |
| 06-21 08:46:25 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…fa87 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 17¢ | $14 | 0x2c7553… |
| 06-21 08:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | No | BUY | 80 | 83¢ | $66 | 0x2c7553… |
| 06-21 06:03:13 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x385d0f… |
| 06-21 06:03:13 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | No | SELL | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x385d0f… |
| 06-21 06:03:13 | (anonymous) 0x012b…8ea2 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x385d0f… |