Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
open
Total volume
$34,085
Trades
481
Unique wallets
132
Liquidity
$3,163
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-19 06:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.8¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $118
vs crowd: 11% YES on $19.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $11 | $182 | $172 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $36 | $504 | $467 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $318 | $1.8K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 103 | $1.7K | $15.0K | $13.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $1 | $117 | $116 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $29 | $6 | +$23 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $34 | $92 | $58 |
| Median | 5 | $15 | $9 | +$6 |
| Below median | 8 | $5 | $83 | $78 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $475 | $475 |
| unranked | 104 | $2.0K | $16.7K | $14.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual-Tussle 0x3d44…c0ff | Yes | +2,466 | $296 | $296 | 7 | 06-28 07:30 |
| Mean-Flipflops 0x869a…a294 | Yes | +2,108 | $274 | $274 | 7 | 06-29 08:59 |
| Frightened-Spotlight 0x45c2…c9a6 | No | +385 | $339 | $339 | 1 | 06-28 07:24 |
| Unconscious-Most 0x3419…8f6e | No | +381 | $335 | $335 | 1 | 06-28 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf90d…c157 | No | +378 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-28 07:23 |
| Growing-Decoder 0x7816…ba38 | No | +357 | $314 | $314 | 1 | 06-28 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7fa…7db1 | No | +348 | $303 | $303 | 2 | 06-29 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x474b…496f | No | +345 | $304 | $304 | 1 | 06-28 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x69e8…7621 | No | +323 | $281 | $281 | 2 | 06-29 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b0f…088f | No | +316 | $278 | $278 | 1 | 06-28 07:25 |
| Murky-Pumpkinseed 0xe678…82b8 | No | +304 | $268 | $268 | 1 | 06-28 07:30 |
| Passionate-Organization 0xac21…ea50 | No | +303 | $264 | $264 | 2 | 06-29 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8fe…3ff5 | No | +297 | $258 | $258 | 2 | 06-29 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4238…5730 | No | +290 | $252 | $252 | 2 | 06-29 07:39 |
| Rural-Brood 0xf5ed…5481 | No | +274 | $238 | $238 | 2 | 06-29 08:44 |
| Unknown-Chapter 0x8641…d047 | No | +273 | $238 | $238 | 1 | 06-29 08:59 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +237 | $214 | $273 | 2 | 07-17 10:53 |
| Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | +227 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-10 03:29 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +135 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 06-21 20:59 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | +80 | $12 | $29 | 17 | 07-17 10:53 |
| Exciting-Bacon 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | +73 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-17 20:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +58 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 07-19 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d71…08a9 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $10 | 5 | 06-13 20:54 |
| Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | +27 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-01 21:29 |
| Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 00:00 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +25 | $15 | $95 | 4 | 07-09 12:36 |
| Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-29 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x748e…f4f2 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-13 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-13 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-13 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-10 20:18 |
| Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-15 16:32 |
| Crisp-Outfit 0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $12 | 8 | 07-19 03:33 |
| Annual-Chard 0xcdae…b512 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-21 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:19 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $4 | 8 | 06-30 00:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 06:46:21 | (anonymous) 0x63b0…f613 | Yes | SELL | 1,011 | 10¢ | $101 | 0xd932a5… |
| 07-19 06:46:21 | (anonymous) 0x58c1…097d | No | SELL | 427 | 90¢ | $384 | 0xd932a5… |
| 07-19 06:46:21 | (anonymous) 0x118b…fcb4 | No | SELL | 584 | 90¢ | $526 | 0xd932a5… |
| 07-19 06:45:24 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…2709 | Yes | SELL | 1,011 | 10¢ | $101 | 0xd68dc9… |
| 07-19 06:45:24 | (anonymous) 0xe6d0…3cae | No | SELL | 337 | 90¢ | $303 | 0xd68dc9… |
| 07-19 06:45:24 | (anonymous) 0x8122…10e2 | No | SELL | 674 | 90¢ | $607 | 0xd68dc9… |
| 07-19 06:44:52 | (anonymous) 0x7f18…d703 | No | SELL | 527 | 90¢ | $474 | 0x10c011… |
| 07-19 06:44:52 | (anonymous) 0x2016…4c1d | Yes | SELL | 527 | 10¢ | $53 | 0x10c011… |
| 07-19 06:44:33 | (anonymous) 0x37d3…f543 | No | SELL | 484 | 90¢ | $436 | 0x817180… |
| 07-19 06:44:33 | (anonymous) 0x2016…4c1d | Yes | SELL | 484 | 10¢ | $48 | 0x817180… |
| 07-19 06:44:07 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | Yes | SELL | 494 | 10¢ | $49 | 0x7b7526… |
| 07-19 06:44:07 | (anonymous) 0x5f76…8c22 | No | SELL | 494 | 90¢ | $445 | 0x7b7526… |
| 07-19 06:44:00 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | Yes | SELL | 517 | 10¢ | $52 | 0x72b24c… |
| 07-19 06:44:00 | (anonymous) 0xaa52…2824 | No | SELL | 517 | 90¢ | $465 | 0x72b24c… |
| 07-19 06:42:34 | (anonymous) 0xef36…2634 | No | SELL | 522 | 90¢ | $470 | 0xc56204… |
| 07-19 06:42:34 | (anonymous) 0x2895…2f21 | No | SELL | 422 | 90¢ | $380 | 0xc56204… |
| 07-19 06:42:34 | (anonymous) 0x1092…f074 | Yes | SELL | 944 | 10¢ | $94 | 0xc56204… |
| 07-19 06:41:34 | (anonymous) 0xa044…423b | Yes | SELL | 944 | 10¢ | $94 | 0x253615… |
| 07-19 06:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x8cff…efc9 | No | SELL | 411 | 90¢ | $370 | 0x253615… |
| 07-19 06:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x33ec…7a4a | No | SELL | 533 | 90¢ | $480 | 0x253615… |
| 07-19 06:40:34 | (anonymous) 0xa98d…c341 | No | SELL | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0x3a2113… |
| 07-19 06:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x0de1…0a90 | No | SELL | 444 | 90¢ | $400 | 0x3a2113… |
| 07-19 06:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x6eec…8497 | Yes | SELL | 944 | 10¢ | $94 | 0x3a2113… |
| 07-19 06:40:15 | (anonymous) 0xa373…639f | No | SELL | 433 | 90¢ | $390 | 0x20a91b… |
| 07-19 06:40:15 | (anonymous) 0x9ad4…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 944 | 10¢ | $94 | 0x20a91b… |
| 07-19 06:40:15 | (anonymous) 0x7391…5925 | No | SELL | 511 | 90¢ | $460 | 0x20a91b… |
| 07-19 06:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x6106…f10a | Yes | SELL | 944 | 10¢ | $94 | 0x360c9d… |
| 07-19 06:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x79d1…8698 | No | SELL | 544 | 90¢ | $490 | 0x360c9d… |
| 07-19 06:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x982e…ca70 | No | SELL | 400 | 90¢ | $360 | 0x360c9d… |
| 07-19 06:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x9cb6…7b55 | Yes | SELL | 944 | 10¢ | $94 | 0x4a4b9e… |
| 07-19 06:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x911d…1a77 | No | SELL | 454 | 90¢ | $409 | 0x4a4b9e… |
| 07-19 06:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x3670…6e16 | No | SELL | 490 | 90¢ | $441 | 0x4a4b9e… |
| 07-19 05:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x8122…10e2 | No | BUY | 674 | 90¢ | $607 | 0xbae2c2… |
| 07-19 05:45:49 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | Yes | BUY | 674 | 10¢ | $67 | 0xbae2c2… |
| 07-19 05:45:48 | (anonymous) 0xb460…af6f | Yes | BUY | 337 | 10¢ | $34 | 0xdfeaf1… |
| 07-19 05:45:48 | (anonymous) 0xe6d0…3cae | No | BUY | 337 | 90¢ | $303 | 0xdfeaf1… |
| 07-19 05:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x63b0…f613 | Yes | BUY | 484 | 10¢ | $48 | 0xe8315e… |
| 07-19 05:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x37d3…f543 | No | BUY | 484 | 90¢ | $436 | 0xe8315e… |
| 07-19 05:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x63b0…f613 | Yes | BUY | 527 | 10¢ | $53 | 0xbe3622… |
| 07-19 05:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x7f18…d703 | No | BUY | 527 | 90¢ | $474 | 0xbe3622… |
| 07-19 05:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x2016…4c1d | Yes | BUY | 427 | 10¢ | $43 | 0x872254… |
| 07-19 05:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x58c1…097d | No | BUY | 427 | 90¢ | $384 | 0x872254… |
| 07-19 05:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x118b…fcb4 | No | BUY | 584 | 90¢ | $526 | 0x062acc… |
| 07-19 05:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x2016…4c1d | Yes | BUY | 584 | 10¢ | $58 | 0x062acc… |
| 07-19 05:38:42 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…2709 | Yes | BUY | 517 | 10¢ | $52 | 0x3731d8… |
| 07-19 05:38:42 | (anonymous) 0xaa52…2824 | No | BUY | 517 | 90¢ | $465 | 0x3731d8… |
| 07-19 05:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x5f76…8c22 | No | BUY | 494 | 90¢ | $445 | 0x0fc0b0… |
| 07-19 05:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x01f1…2709 | Yes | BUY | 494 | 10¢ | $49 | 0x0fc0b0… |
| 07-19 05:30:27 | (anonymous) 0xa98d…c341 | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0x5a81d6… |
| 07-19 05:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x1092…f074 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 10¢ | $50 | 0x5a81d6… |
| 07-19 05:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x1092…f074 | Yes | BUY | 444 | 10¢ | $44 | 0x251937… |
| 07-19 05:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x0de1…0a90 | No | BUY | 444 | 90¢ | $400 | 0x251937… |
| 07-19 05:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x9ad4…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 533 | 10¢ | $53 | 0x02b04a… |
| 07-19 05:30:12 | (anonymous) 0x33ec…7a4a | No | BUY | 533 | 90¢ | $480 | 0x02b04a… |
| 07-19 05:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x9ad4…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 411 | 10¢ | $41 | 0x15fb50… |
| 07-19 05:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x8cff…efc9 | No | BUY | 411 | 90¢ | $370 | 0x15fb50… |
| 07-19 05:06:55 | (anonymous) 0x6eec…8497 | Yes | BUY | 544 | 10¢ | $54 | 0x228c9e… |
| 07-19 05:06:55 | (anonymous) 0x79d1…8698 | No | BUY | 544 | 90¢ | $490 | 0x228c9e… |
| 07-19 05:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x6eec…8497 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 10¢ | $40 | 0xc70e80… |
| 07-19 05:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x982e…ca70 | No | BUY | 400 | 90¢ | $360 | 0xc70e80… |
| 07-19 05:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x9cb6…7b55 | Yes | BUY | 511 | 10¢ | $51 | 0x6a9f81… |
| 07-19 05:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x7391…5925 | No | BUY | 511 | 90¢ | $460 | 0x6a9f81… |
| 07-19 05:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x9cb6…7b55 | Yes | BUY | 433 | 10¢ | $43 | 0x1e36e0… |
| 07-19 05:05:45 | (anonymous) 0xa373…639f | No | BUY | 433 | 90¢ | $390 | 0x1e36e0… |
| 07-19 04:41:37 | (anonymous) 0xef36…2634 | No | BUY | 522 | 90¢ | $470 | 0xba6de3… |
| 07-19 04:41:37 | (anonymous) 0x6106…f10a | Yes | BUY | 522 | 10¢ | $52 | 0xba6de3… |
| 07-19 04:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x2895…2f21 | No | BUY | 422 | 90¢ | $380 | 0x385c55… |
| 07-19 04:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x6106…f10a | Yes | BUY | 422 | 10¢ | $42 | 0x385c55… |
| 07-19 04:41:21 | (anonymous) 0xa044…423b | Yes | BUY | 454 | 10¢ | $45 | 0xbebab7… |
| 07-19 04:41:21 | (anonymous) 0x911d…1a77 | No | BUY | 454 | 90¢ | $409 | 0xbebab7… |
| 07-19 04:41:19 | (anonymous) 0xa044…423b | Yes | BUY | 490 | 10¢ | $49 | 0xae4a20… |
| 07-19 04:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x3670…6e16 | No | BUY | 490 | 90¢ | $441 | 0xae4a20… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xca6a…bf48 | Yes | SELL | 417 | 8¢ | $33 | 0x212e1c… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x9d8f…11a6 | No | SELL | 354 | 92¢ | $326 | 0xcc1ed4… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x6785…30ed | Yes | SELL | 388 | 8¢ | $31 | 0x38318c… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x6785…30ed | Yes | SELL | 29 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x651c4f… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xcdda…54c6 | No | SELL | 383 | 92¢ | $352 | 0x651c4f… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x6785…30ed | Yes | SELL | 354 | 8¢ | $28 | 0xcc1ed4… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xca6a…bf48 | Yes | SELL | 354 | 8¢ | $28 | 0x651c4f… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x1f78…e48b | No | SELL | 417 | 92¢ | $384 | 0x212e1c… |
| 07-19 03:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xffa2…c351 | No | SELL | 388 | 92¢ | $357 | 0x38318c… |
| 07-19 03:33:15 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa6bb23… |
| 07-19 03:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x4a0a…e5de | No | SELL | 26 | 89¢ | $23 | 0xa6bb23… |
| 07-19 03:32:49 | (anonymous) 0xb5a2…94c1 | No | SELL | 367 | 92¢ | $338 | 0x9ddc3c… |
| 07-19 03:32:49 | (anonymous) 0x9514…aa01 | Yes | SELL | 367 | 8¢ | $29 | 0x9ddc3c… |
| 07-19 03:32:49 | (anonymous) 0xc4ad…1827 | Yes | SELL | 397 | 8¢ | $32 | 0xd9866b… |
| 07-19 03:32:49 | (anonymous) 0x32c5…0763 | No | SELL | 397 | 92¢ | $365 | 0xd9866b… |
| 07-19 03:32:48 | (anonymous) 0xc8df…8d86 | No | SELL | 408 | 92¢ | $375 | 0x804429… |
| 07-19 03:32:48 | (anonymous) 0xc4ad…1827 | Yes | SELL | 352 | 8¢ | $28 | 0x8b55ab… |
| 07-19 03:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x4a0a…e5de | No | SELL | 352 | 92¢ | $324 | 0x8b55ab… |
| 07-19 03:32:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6deafe… |
| 07-19 03:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x9514…aa01 | Yes | SELL | 408 | 8¢ | $33 | 0x804429… |
| 07-19 03:32:48 | (anonymous) 0xc4ad…1827 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6deafe… |
| 07-19 02:23:21 | (anonymous) 0x9d8f…11a6 | No | BUY | 354 | 92¢ | $326 | 0xb6dda7… |
| 07-19 02:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xca6a…bf48 | Yes | BUY | 354 | 8¢ | $28 | 0xb6dda7… |
| 07-19 02:23:15 | (anonymous) 0xca6a…bf48 | Yes | BUY | 417 | 8¢ | $33 | 0x15c628… |
| 07-19 02:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x1f78…e48b | No | BUY | 417 | 92¢ | $384 | 0x15c628… |
| 07-19 02:22:25 | (anonymous) 0xcdda…54c6 | No | BUY | 383 | 92¢ | $352 | 0x100ec2… |
| 07-19 02:22:25 | (anonymous) 0x6785…30ed | Yes | BUY | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x100ec2… |
| 07-19 02:22:19 | (anonymous) 0x6785…30ed | Yes | BUY | 388 | 8¢ | $31 | 0x25f4e6… |