Realized P&L
-$2.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved
475
Trades
1,029
lifetime
Volume
$24.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$35
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-20 10:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 32% -$2,075
Politics
29% 43% -$888
Other
19% 47% +$49
Sports
0% 56% -$4
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes -62 -$8 4¢ $-3 +$6 08-01 16:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -4 -$2 80¢ $-3 -$1 05-11 10:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -4 -$2 70¢ $-3 -$1 08-01 15:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -115 -$4 2¢ $-3 +$1 08-01 16:00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 08-01 16:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -3 -$2 86¢ $-2 +$0 08-01 16:02
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 04-28 14:04
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 08-01 16:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 84¢ $-2 $0 08-01 15:59
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 08-01 16:00
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 08-01 15:59
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 05-11 10:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 08-01 16:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 04-28 14:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 08-01 15:58
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 08-01 15:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$1 20¢ $-1 +$0 08-01 15:59
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 06-17 21:59
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes -8 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$0 08-01 16:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -8 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$0 08-01 15:58
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 08-01 15:59