Early-Supernatural — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$413

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-01 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

68% — —

Other

17% 0% $-6

Politics

15% 100% +$419

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	9	$6.9K	5,784	5,860	-77	open	—	04-13 16:43
btc updown 5m 1776098100	2	$2.4K	2,513	0	+2,513	open	—	04-13 16:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	1	$1.4K	1,730	0	+1,730	open	—	04-07 15:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	6	$806	446	444	+2	open	—	04-15 10:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$696	2,431	2,431	+0	open	—	04-13 18:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$574	5,846	5,745	+101	open	—	04-22 07:27
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	3	$421	213	213	+0	open	—	04-07 17:35
btc updown 5m 1777032000	2	$355	389	0	+389	open	—	04-24 12:04
btc updown 5m 1777031700	2	$301	351	0	+351	open	—	04-24 11:58
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$277	38,708	0	+38,708	open	—	05-20 18:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$271	352	148	+204	open	—	04-19 21:01
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	3	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	04-15 10:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	9	$256	170	170	+0	open	—	04-24 08:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$237	184	167	+17	open	—	04-19 21:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	6	$221	116	116	+0	open	—	04-15 10:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$211	7,322	4,027	+3,295	open	—	04-19 15:16
eth updown 5m 1776448800	2	$181	118	101	+17	open	—	04-17 18:05
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$156	1,361	1,361	+0	open	—	04-23 07:26
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	9	$85	2,339	0	+2,339	open	—	04-24 12:11
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	6	$82	240	226	+14	open	—	04-15 10:24
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	6	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	04-15 10:23
eth updown 5m 1777019400	1	$73	84	0	+84	open	—	04-24 08:33
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	4	$66	44	44	+1	open	—	04-15 10:31
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-07 20:09
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-15 10:24
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	4	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-15 10:24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$52	401	0	+401	open	—	04-18 19:40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$51	276	0	+276	open	—	04-18 19:40
eth updown 15m 1785619800	11	$48	73	30	+43	open	—	08-01 21:44
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 21:58:02	eth updown 15m 1785620700	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xfda995…
08-01 21:57:15	eth updown 15m 1785620700	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x341bce…
08-01 21:55:36	eth updown 15m 1785620700	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x52af3a…
08-01 21:49:29	eth updown 15m 1785620700	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x86fd33…
08-01 21:49:00	eth updown 15m 1785620700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe94e03…
08-01 21:44:11	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x06bbc1…
08-01 21:39:48	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Up	SELL	30	62¢	$18	0xd1f324…
08-01 21:37:03	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x067418…
08-01 21:36:41	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3c2d65…
08-01 21:35:59	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfc64cb…
08-01 21:35:17	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x816f2c…
08-01 21:34:59	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x089da9…
08-01 21:34:27	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xd2930f…
08-01 21:34:14	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8eb7af…
08-01 21:31:51	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac44f3…
08-01 21:31:18	eth updown 15m 1785619800	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0d4f50…
08-01 21:19:24	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1220b8…
08-01 21:19:20	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x24f9bf…
08-01 21:16:14	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6c029d…
08-01 21:16:06	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd637ff…
08-01 21:16:00	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe611c6…
08-01 21:15:53	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2442b9…
08-01 21:14:54	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x764c71…
08-01 21:14:53	btc updown 15m 1785618900	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf18e3d…
08-01 21:09:09	btc updown 15m 1785618000	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x419df3…
08-01 21:03:17	btc updown 15m 1785618000	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x0f1fb2…
08-01 21:02:59	btc updown 15m 1785618000	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8bb737…
08-01 21:00:53	btc updown 15m 1785618000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7d4411…
08-01 20:49:36	btc updown 15m 1785617100	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x30e646…
08-01 20:32:05	btc updown 15m 1785616200	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xce1eeb…
08-01 20:20:08	btc updown 15m 1785615300	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7c140b…
08-01 20:03:44	btc updown 15m 1785614400	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x42eadf…
08-01 20:00:51	btc updown 15m 1785614400	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb2a1d6…
08-01 19:47:00	btc updown 15m 1785613500	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x84de47…
08-01 19:45:21	btc updown 15m 1785613500	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31678a…
08-01 19:45:14	btc updown 15m 1785613500	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x32ca17…
08-01 19:44:33	btc updown 15m 1785612600	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x18bd34…
08-01 16:03:57	Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	SELL	67	7¢	$4	0x4b142b…
08-01 16:02:33	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x0c60a9…
08-01 16:02:26	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x5e9da1…
08-01 16:02:21	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xfd5f67…
08-01 16:02:17	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xacfbd6…
08-01 16:01:30	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf76c0f…
08-01 16:01:23	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd9fc72…
08-01 16:01:12	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xaf5fdf…
08-01 16:01:05	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8bfc57…
08-01 16:00:44	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xc0fc4c…
08-01 16:00:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	4¢	$6	0x8f4c8f…
08-01 16:00:09	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd8426b…
08-01 16:00:05	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb81052…
08-01 15:59:59	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfb614c…
08-01 15:59:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x5d503f…
08-01 15:59:20	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$0	0xab026a…
08-01 15:58:38	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1aa80e…
08-01 15:58:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xd86634…
08-01 15:58:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x44ba3e…
08-01 15:58:14	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6025e6…
08-01 15:58:05	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xd6d77d…
08-01 15:57:53	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x95af0d…
08-01 15:57:50	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x0f1ad3…
08-01 15:57:47	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3ac988…
06-19 23:16:50	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$3	0x7aaf58…
06-19 23:13:34	will anthropics valuation hit low 850b by june 30	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb3a231…
06-19 23:12:05	Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xffa3ce…
06-19 23:11:56	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x95ec18…
06-19 23:11:22	will trump speak to kim jong un in june	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf34dac…
06-19 23:11:16	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x604b10…
06-19 23:10:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x56a182…
06-19 23:10:35	ethereum above 1800 on june 20 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1f0419…
06-19 11:27:53	Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x15eb6d…
06-19 11:24:47	ethereum above 1800 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x988143…
06-19 11:23:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x27d5d1…
06-19 11:21:55	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee0458…
06-19 11:21:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 850b by june 30	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d5710…
06-19 11:21:22	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb90c4…
06-19 11:21:13	will trump speak to kim jong un in june	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb506c1…
06-19 11:20:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0dd737…
06-19 11:19:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xde4cdf…
06-17 22:00:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x01a3be…
06-17 21:59:11	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xaa85b3…
06-17 21:59:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x07d127…
06-17 21:58:43	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x3abffb…
06-17 21:58:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	4¢	$7	0xb2a55f…
06-17 21:57:55	will trump speak to luiz incio lula da silva in june	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x767a1b…
06-17 20:16:44	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x813725…
06-17 07:56:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2b7313…
06-16 10:27:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0x39e374…
06-16 10:27:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x6202e4…
06-16 10:26:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x258990…
06-16 10:26:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa82abb…
06-16 10:26:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x77456c…
06-16 10:26:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5c900a…
06-16 10:25:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf83940…
06-16 10:25:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x036ef2…
06-16 10:25:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe3e2cb…
06-16 10:25:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x70b92e…
06-15 12:32:55	Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaf87e4…
06-14 14:18:10	Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0x5b5d20…
06-14 14:17:40	Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	BUY	81	14¢	$11	0x5c746f…
05-28 11:11:15	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5109cf…