Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
+$340
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,286
lifetime
Volume
$118.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$4.50K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
64% 60% $-8
Other
34% 0% $-19
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1,241 $-945 84¢ $-1036 $-92 06-06 21:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1,205 $795 80¢ $958 +$163 06-07 18:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -696 $-637 90¢ $-623 +$13 06-02 07:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +500 $395 80¢ $402 +$7 06-03 09:54
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +595 $309 60¢ $354 +$45 06-02 03:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $232 62¢ $250 +$18 05-31 21:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +500 $185 40¢ $198 +$12 06-07 06:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +559 $63 32¢ $182 +$118 06-08 22:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +218 $157 74¢ $160 +$3 06-09 18:36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-150 63¢ $-126 +$24 06-05 22:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $96 55¢ $110 +$14 06-02 14:27
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 06-01 18:09
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +40 $25 90¢ $36 +$11 06-01 17:09
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 06-09 16:04
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +12 $8 76¢ $9 +$1 06-01 17:10
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 05-30 21:34