Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c67…923eb1
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Realized P&L
+$170
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
8,946
lifetime
Volume
$46.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$474
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 06-17 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
48% 59% +$17
Politics
46% 67% +$148
Sports
5% 50% +$5
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -198 $-111 43¢ $-85 +$27 05-28 18:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -761 $-152 8¢ $-65 +$87 06-07 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +65 $52 78¢ $50 $-2 06-17 13:27
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Yes +236 $36 15¢ $34 $-2 06-15 19:42
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -62 $-39 55¢ $-34 +$5 06-14 07:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +56 $43 42¢ $24 $-19 06-12 20:27
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +30 $25 79¢ $23 $-2 06-17 21:38
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $17 80¢ $17 +$1 06-17 09:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -28 $1 57¢ $-16 $-18 06-07 17:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -73 $-18 16¢ $-12 +$6 06-12 07:18
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No -12 $-10 92¢ $-11 $-1 06-14 11:33
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-12 72¢ $-11 +$0 06-15 15:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -127 $-11 8¢ $-11 +$1 06-16 14:00
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-10 86¢ $-11 $-1 06-15 08:56
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -12 $-9 84¢ $-10 $-1 06-12 21:17
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-9 42¢ $-9 +$0 06-14 11:31
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? Yes +41 $6 17¢ $7 +$1 06-16 05:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +7 $-1 94¢ $7 +$8 06-07 23:08
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 90¢ $-6 +$0 06-16 05:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -17 $-5 29¢ $-5 +$0 06-16 20:51
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 06-16 09:22
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 $-0 06-16 18:30
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 06-12 20:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +5 $-4 63¢ $3 +$7 06-15 12:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -5 $-3 55¢ $-3 +$1 06-11 18:35
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -11 $-8 23¢ $-3 +$5 06-16 07:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -103 $-7 1¢ $-1 +$5 05-29 19:05
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-17 19:24
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes -14 $2 8¢ $-1 $-4 06-08 17:58
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 12:30