Realized P&L
+$170
Unrealized P&L
+$154
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
9,983
lifetime
Volume
$50.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$293
26 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 07-09 12:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
50% 59% +$17
Politics
44% 67% +$148
Sports
5% 50% +$5
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -198 $-111 27¢ $-54 +$57 05-28 18:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -474 $-123 $-33 +$90 07-05 20:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -62 $-38 54¢ $-33 +$5 06-27 11:15
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Yes +306 $48 10¢ $29 $-19 07-09 12:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -251 $-31 $-21 +$10 07-05 00:40
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-14 76¢ $-14 $-0 06-18 19:27
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No -12 $-10 97¢ $-12 $-2 06-14 11:33
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 06-19 20:54
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-9 39¢ $-8 +$1 06-14 11:31
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +96 $9 $8 $-1 07-06 09:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -46 $-14 16¢ $-8 +$7 06-28 21:55
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? Yes +66 $10 11¢ $7 $-3 07-09 12:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9 $4 78¢ $7 +$2 06-22 16:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +21 $4 31¢ $6 +$2 07-06 01:17
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? No -7 $-6 82¢ $-6 $-0 06-19 10:45
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 95¢ $-6 $-0 06-16 05:04
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No -10 $-6 52¢ $-5 +$1 06-19 10:45
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-1 06-12 20:03
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $3 $4 +$1 07-05 19:36
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +24 $-6 17¢ $4 +$10 07-06 09:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +5 $4 77¢ $4 +$0 06-28 15:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -17 $-5 22¢ $-4 +$1 06-16 20:51
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 05-28 17:53
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers Samsung Lions -2 $-1 52¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 16:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -18 $4 $-1 $-5 06-21 17:38
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes -14 $3 $-0 $-3 07-03 10:41