Heartfelt-Image 0x166a49…83d7ed
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.41K
Unrealized P&L
-$291
Hit rate
27.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
6,473
lifetime
Volume
$251.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$5.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
61% 25% $-3,127
Other
39% 67% +$719
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,002 $-862 86¢ $-867 $-5 06-04 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,501 $677 32¢ $473 $-204 06-08 13:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +522 $395 76¢ $397 +$1 06-08 13:19
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +600 $405 66¢ $396 $-9 06-09 20:19
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -341 $-300 92¢ $-312 $-12 05-29 16:44
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +280 $45 100¢ $280 +$235 05-31 08:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $278 38¢ $262 $-15 06-09 04:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +298 $235 82¢ $246 +$10 06-09 17:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -447 $-232 52¢ $-232 $-1 06-05 14:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $204 68¢ $202 $-2 06-08 13:32
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -199 $-170 89¢ $-177 $-7 06-08 21:01
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -174 $-155 92¢ $-159 $-4 05-28 15:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +435 $268 36¢ $154 $-113 06-01 13:26
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No -150 $-136 87¢ $-130 +$6 06-05 02:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +600 $145 20¢ $117 $-28 06-08 14:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +600 $180 16¢ $99 $-81 06-01 05:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -100 $-98 97¢ $-97 +$0 05-31 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,018 $245 10¢ $97 $-149 06-08 15:15
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -110 $-100 84¢ $-93 +$7 05-31 05:28
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? No -70 $-69 99¢ $-69 $-0 05-28 09:01
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No -50 $-48 89¢ $-44 +$4 06-01 13:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +440 $26 10¢ $44 +$18 06-08 13:29
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -119 $-58 29¢ $-34 +$24 05-30 19:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $29 16¢ $31 +$2 06-03 03:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $16 8¢ $17 +$1 06-07 01:21
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -93 $-24 14¢ $-13 +$12 06-01 03:55
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -200 $-8 2¢ $-4 +$3 06-05 16:42
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -100 $-9 4¢ $-4 +$5 06-08 22:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +3 $1 31¢ $1 +$0 06-08 11:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -0 $-11 88¢ $-0 +$11 05-28 18:40