Realized P&L
+$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.76K
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
789
Trades
12,647
lifetime
Volume
$625.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$23.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Politics
63%
51%
+$8,745
Other
35%
61%
+$4,560
Sports
1%
56%
-$143
Tech
0%
100%
+$10
Pop-Culture
0%
71%
+$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 98 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 102 | $24.6K | 13,003 | 14,003 | -1,000 | open | — | 10-25 18:48 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 116 | $18.9K | 16,000 | 8,300 | +7,700 | open | — | 10-24 16:54 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31 | 137 | $15.1K | 11,779 | 8,440 | +3,339 | No | +$887 | 04-01 14:14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 54 | $13.4K | 12,633 | 12,633 | +0 | open | — | 09-22 08:58 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 95 | $12.9K | 10,083 | 10,700 | -617 | No | +$321 | 04-28 13:38 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 161 | $11.6K | 11,668 | 11,936 | -268 | open | — | 10-08 13:24 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | 39 | $10.8K | 5,500 | 5,500 | +0 | open | — | 10-14 04:08 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 55 | $10.6K | 5,535 | 5,535 | +0 | No | +$111 | 09-06 20:00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | 28 | $8.7K | 5,700 | 4,900 | +800 | open | — | 10-24 21:23 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? | 111 | $8.3K | 9,627 | 5,803 | +3,825 | Yes | -$30 | 05-01 15:49 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 55 | $7.4K | 4,650 | 4,750 | -100 | No | +$682 | 04-22 00:43 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 201 | $7.4K | 8,754 | 8,800 | -46 | No | -$606 | 04-29 06:56 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | 144 | $7.0K | 7,055 | 4,055 | +3,000 | open | — | 10-25 05:32 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 107 | $6.9K | 10,100 | 10,339 | -239 | No | +$58 | 05-29 15:02 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 114 | $6.9K | 6,508 | 6,108 | +400 | No | +$404 | 06-20 06:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 67 | $6.2K | 7,545 | 7,545 | +0 | No | +$67 | 05-28 15:07 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | 100 | $6.0K | 5,726 | 4,987 | +739 | open | — | 10-27 09:15 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 28 | $5.5K | 3,679 | 2,629 | +1,050 | Yes | -$856 | 05-05 19:36 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | 27 | $5.5K | 5,200 | 1,200 | +4,000 | open | — | 10-21 16:50 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 29 | $5.4K | 2,400 | 3,198 | -798 | No | -$81 | 03-29 12:34 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | 70 | $5.3K | 4,118 | 3,618 | +500 | open | — | 10-23 20:13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 27 | $5.1K | 7,907 | 8,107 | -200 | No | +$54 | 05-07 16:36 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | 17 | $4.8K | 3,427 | 3,427 | +0 | open | — | 10-21 21:34 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | 63 | $4.7K | 4,254 | 2,190 | +2,064 | open | — | 10-23 16:29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 90 | $4.5K | 6,607 | 6,207 | +400 | No | -$425 | 06-20 13:51 |
| iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31 | 68 | $4.3K | 3,249 | 3,249 | +0 | No | +$1,053 | 07-30 06:16 |
| ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31 | 49 | $4.2K | 3,933 | 1,108 | +2,825 | No | -$86 | 03-29 12:20 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | 6 | $4.1K | 2,600 | 1,600 | +1,000 | No | +$94 | 09-30 17:59 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 69 | $4.0K | 4,316 | 4,756 | -440 | Yes | -$589 | 06-15 07:11 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | 10 | $4.0K | 2,100 | 2,100 | +0 | No | +$217 | 08-26 12:44 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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