Realized P&L
+$8.15K
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
679
Trades
5,673
lifetime
Volume
$177.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 22:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Politics
65% 49% +$5,437
Other
34% 51% +$2,723
Sports
0% 50% +$5
Crypto
0% 33% -$14
Tech
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -562 -$201 77¢ $-432 -$231 05-17 16:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,844 $269 15¢ $267 -$2 10-28 09:56
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +326 $192 70¢ $227 +$34 10-12 20:54
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -2,274 -$307 10¢ $-216 +$91 10-28 09:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $136 80¢ $159 +$23 10-11 21:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +200 $122 74¢ $147 +$25 10-10 23:42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $190 14¢ $135 -$55 10-08 17:26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -1,152 -$191 11¢ $-121 +$70 10-29 03:26
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +806 $86 11¢ $85 -$1 10-30 14:47
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +300 $69 26¢ $76 +$8 10-29 16:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +66 $51 94¢ $62 +$12 05-08 18:45
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +532 $31 10¢ $56 +$25 10-29 06:10
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -384 -$118 13¢ $-48 +$70 07-19 14:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +80 $41 58¢ $47 +$6 10-28 02:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $20 34¢ $34 +$14 10-28 06:54
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +27 $64 86¢ $23 -$41 08-12 04:21
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +2,173 $43 1¢ $21 -$22 10-30 14:47
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +19 -$8 78¢ $15 +$23 07-16 07:27
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,553 $12 1¢ $13 +$2 10-29 19:07
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +85 $13 14¢ $11 -$1 07-12 02:42
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 No +59 $21 18¢ $11 -$10 07-28 03:46
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +552 $12 2¢ $10 -$2 10-30 14:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +50 $8 16¢ $8 +$1 07-29 15:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +230 $53 4¢ $8 -$45 09-21 00:00
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +615 $2 1¢ $5 +$3 09-30 22:14
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 52¢ $5 -$1 10-18 01:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -35 -$4 6¢ $-2 +$1 09-17 03:22
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +225 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 10-30 14:47
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +137 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-29 06:12
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +74 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 09-24 05:16