Realized P&L
+$58
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,597
lifetime
Volume
$114.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$511
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 18:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
59% 50% +$11
Other
40% 67% +$47
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -175 $-91 78¢ $-136 $-45 06-14 16:26
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +749 $76 12¢ $90 +$14 07-22 09:37
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No -82 $-70 90¢ $-73 $-3 06-19 02:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +100 $53 68¢ $68 +$14 06-20 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +55 $41 72¢ $39 $-1 07-20 22:52
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? Yes +227 $27 10¢ $23 $-5 07-10 03:29
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +85 $13 22¢ $19 +$6 07-12 02:42
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? No +20 $17 91¢ $18 +$1 06-07 04:05
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? No +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 06-07 04:05
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$2 06-07 04:05
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +19 $-8 67¢ $13 +$21 07-16 07:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +0 $-57 62¢ $0 +$57 07-11 07:52