Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
+$200
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
18
18 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.81K
$1.81K lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$1.52K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 17:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
39%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,000 $-690 66¢ $-655 +$35 05-07 20:46
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No -537 $-493 97¢ $-520 $-27 05-10 23:47
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Yes -976 $-178 $-83 +$95 05-07 15:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No +100 $59 76¢ $76 +$16 05-10 14:01
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +172 $23 29¢ $49 +$26 05-10 14:25
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes -669 $-113 $-47 +$66 05-10 13:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes +100 $30 38¢ $38 +$8 05-10 13:56
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +137 $40 15¢ $20 $-20 05-11 17:39
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes -631 $-13 $-13 +$0 05-10 22:33
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes -1,332 $-14 $-11 +$3 05-10 22:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No +10 $10 66¢ $7 $-3 05-10 05:48
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +10 $2 24¢ $2 +$0 05-07 21:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +5 $1 32¢ $2 +$1 05-06 11:12