Realized P&L
+$83.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.58K
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
677
Trades
9,742
lifetime
Volume
$4.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$477
Open exposure
$38.1K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Politics
56% 73% +$7,790
Other
39% 75% +$57,164
Crypto
3% 100% +$21,064
Tech
1% 91% +$1,893
Sports
1% 58% -$4,666
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -28,647 -$23,826 84¢ $-23920 -$94 10-26 21:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -9,084 -$6,064 86¢ $-7812 -$1,748 10-03 04:00
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +7,916 $3,799 39¢ $3.1K -$716 10-14 20:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,000 $1,400 76¢ $1.5K +$130 07-16 19:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,036 $306 16¢ $336 +$30 09-26 00:34
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +14,500 $382 2¢ $297 -$84 10-22 03:19
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +6,687 $1,356 4¢ $271 -$1,085 09-15 18:29
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +500 $275 43¢ $215 -$60 10-04 21:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,018 $562 19¢ $197 -$365 09-20 04:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +237 $171 78¢ $186 +$15 10-26 19:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $500 16¢ $155 -$345 09-20 04:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +525 $152 15¢ $76 -$76 09-20 00:04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,111 $189 2¢ $22 -$167 09-20 00:04
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $11 92¢ $13 +$2 09-21 05:30
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +11 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 09-22 11:11
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -500 -$3 0¢ $-2 +$1 10-05 03:05
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,000 $15 0¢ $1 -$13 09-18 21:08
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — -500 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 04:09