Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$693
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
14
14 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$22.0K
$22.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.57K
Open exposure
$21.2K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-11 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61% 100% +$0
Other
39%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -7,266 $-7,128 98¢ $-7132 $-4 05-10 22:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +7,276 $6,391 92¢ $6.7K +$267 05-10 04:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,472 $-5,507 66¢ $-5549 $-42 05-11 01:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No -685 $-672 98¢ $-671 +$1 05-10 04:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +2,128 $892 26¢ $543 $-349 05-08 21:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No -800 $-576 62¢ $-492 +$84 05-10 17:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +10,000 $349 $65 $-284 05-08 03:36
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? No +57 $56 100¢ $57 +$0 05-08 22:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +66 $27 38¢ $25 $-2 05-05 23:05
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes +599 $366 $1 $-365 05-11 19:19