Mammoth-Tape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$358

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

5,911

lifetime

Volume

$777.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-02 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

74% 57% +$280

Other

24% 50% $-638

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	41	$19.6K	19,258	18,636	+622	Yes	+$220	05-09 04:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	76	$18.0K	20,014	19,440	+574	open	—	05-30 12:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	35	$13.8K	12,570	12,570	+0	open	—	05-25 11:39
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	55	$13.0K	12,744	12,743	+0	open	—	06-14 14:47
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	95	$12.6K	19,340	19,340	+0	open	—	07-07 19:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	39	$12.3K	12,733	12,733	+0	open	—	05-20 15:40
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	66	$10.5K	13,953	14,397	-443	open	—	02-09 10:08
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	25	$10.5K	9,220	9,220	+0	open	—	04-22 03:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	49	$10.0K	9,357	9,415	-59	open	—	04-21 09:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	52	$9.9K	12,880	13,430	-550	open	—	06-14 21:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	38	$9.7K	17,226	11,318	+5,908	open	—	06-14 22:13
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	41	$9.4K	8,998	8,998	+0	open	—	04-06 09:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	38	$8.6K	8,903	9,103	-200	open	—	05-29 18:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$7.8K	11,500	11,500	+0	open	—	07-08 10:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	18	$7.8K	7,750	7,750	+0	open	—	04-07 14:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	30	$7.7K	9,056	8,316	+740	open	—	06-14 22:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$7.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	04-19 13:00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	61	$6.7K	6,290	6,268	+22	open	—	05-15 00:33
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	23	$6.5K	6,133	6,133	+0	open	—	06-18 20:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$6.4K	9,400	8,150	+1,250	open	—	06-14 22:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$6.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	02-18 22:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	19	$6.3K	9,293	10,000	-708	open	—	07-01 10:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	30	$6.1K	8,029	7,469	+560	open	—	02-28 17:42
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	43	$5.7K	10,881	10,881	+0	open	—	04-22 19:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$5.7K	5,761	6,751	-990	open	—	06-18 21:40
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	22	$5.7K	5,365	3,865	+1,500	open	—	05-26 19:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	14	$5.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-21 19:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$5.5K	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	05-23 09:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	13	$5.4K	4,601	4,589	+13	open	—	05-09 00:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	38	$5.4K	7,077	7,077	+0	open	—	04-26 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 16:14:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xa605d3…
08-02 16:13:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	224	38¢	$85	0x232d1b…
08-02 16:12:20	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x46a593…
08-02 15:41:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,586	44¢	$693	0xfd03da…
08-02 15:23:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	310	48¢	$148	0x4466af…
08-02 14:18:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x4922d8…
08-02 14:17:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	89	50¢	$45	0x82adcd…
08-02 14:16:03	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	142	50¢	$71	0x3c40b7…
08-02 12:18:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	850	32¢	$272	0x18470d…
08-02 10:07:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	300	43¢	$130	0xdd708d…
08-01 04:43:50	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	596	95¢	$566	0xd385ca…
07-31 22:00:26	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0xb3dc2c…
07-31 21:57:48	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0d63be…
07-31 21:56:48	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xd5c9d1…
07-31 21:24:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x48cd93…
07-31 16:16:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	99	21¢	$21	0x7696d2…
07-31 16:09:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	91	21¢	$19	0x3ad680…
07-31 13:15:35	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x1ea07c…
07-31 08:39:59	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	230	92¢	$211	0x7bf395…
07-31 01:58:21	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	485	55¢	$267	0xbf7e38…
07-31 00:57:53	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	115	60¢	$70	0x56a7e9…
07-30 21:13:12	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	500	29¢	$144	0xcb328f…
07-30 16:47:27	will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	No	SELL	95	95¢	$90	0xca578b…
07-30 14:59:32	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0xce2ea3…
07-30 14:44:11	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	1,000	28¢	$279	0xe90b28…
07-30 10:07:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,000	35¢	$350	0xb8c831…
07-30 01:15:18	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	4,626	6¢	$255	0xa08385…
07-30 00:57:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x333af2…
07-30 00:54:51	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	500	9¢	$43	0xdcf97a…
07-30 00:54:51	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x4b82e3…
07-30 00:54:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x53a4f5…
07-30 00:04:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1,591	11¢	$174	0x58ab67…
07-29 22:59:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2,000	18¢	$354	0xf324bc…
07-29 22:39:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	2,499	9¢	$217	0x874ecb…
07-29 21:59:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	500	22¢	$109	0x158998…
07-29 21:48:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x660821…
07-29 20:23:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x513a97…
07-29 14:28:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0x738796…
07-28 13:49:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1,494	75¢	$1,120	0x22621e…
07-27 23:08:27	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	746	86¢	$642	0xd8cc07…
07-27 12:00:37	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	152	85¢	$129	0x89d729…
07-26 13:22:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1,500	11¢	$165	0xc692dd…
07-26 01:03:49	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x93ed79…
07-25 16:41:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	1,000	29¢	$290	0xd743a1…
07-25 05:00:12	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x21f2b1…
07-25 04:10:10	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xd75516…
07-25 01:12:06	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	83	25¢	$21	0xfd5286…
07-25 01:11:31	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	260	25¢	$65	0x8998bc…
07-25 01:11:10	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x241d6a…
07-25 01:11:09	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0x5ce405…
07-25 00:08:52	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	174	37¢	$64	0xe1c5ba…
07-24 23:44:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x83ad8c…
07-24 22:54:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xefd128…
07-24 22:53:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x29b9f4…
07-24 21:29:18	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	370	38¢	$142	0x1dd0c2…
07-24 21:27:48	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	185	25¢	$46	0x9b751e…
07-24 21:27:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	184	22¢	$40	0x9e4ccf…
07-24 17:41:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0x5f3a92…
07-24 17:40:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	1,500	37¢	$555	0xe0787e…
07-24 17:39:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	1,000	32¢	$324	0xca1bd3…
07-24 17:39:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0xd88744…
07-24 17:37:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	500	41¢	$205	0x32c1cf…
07-24 17:05:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	450	43¢	$194	0x408e75…
07-24 17:04:42	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	289	55¢	$158	0xe3ebdb…
07-24 17:02:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	750	64¢	$483	0x4ae535…
07-24 15:51:25	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x273d3f…
07-24 10:30:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	Yes	BUY	1,250	37¢	$461	0x129c2f…
07-24 02:13:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	750	53¢	$398	0x1cf875…
07-24 02:13:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	400	20¢	$80	0x6450b6…
07-24 02:13:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$34	0x2e01b8…
07-23 21:45:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$120	0x8991a8…
07-23 21:03:30	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	Yes	SELL	250	30¢	$75	0x913c22…
07-23 21:02:51	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	Yes	SELL	206	17¢	$35	0x701609…
07-23 19:43:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	900	24¢	$216	0x260307…
07-23 19:41:57	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	350	57¢	$198	0xfd19b4…
07-23 19:14:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0xdf4c14…
07-23 19:09:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0x5bed26…
07-23 19:09:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1,500	4¢	$60	0x820ddd…
07-23 18:05:09	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	230	40¢	$92	0x5ea086…
07-23 17:46:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x6ecd78…
07-23 17:42:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x78e557…
07-23 17:13:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	47	40¢	$19	0xb41195…
07-23 16:03:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	500	61¢	$305	0x85f7b7…
07-23 15:36:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x2d5b22…
07-23 15:05:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x2ea015…
07-23 13:35:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	795	20¢	$157	0x3ec9a2…
07-23 13:29:24	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	121	88¢	$107	0x02dbfe…
07-23 13:17:40	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	143	53¢	$76	0x9a8672…
07-23 13:16:43	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x49a186…
07-23 01:09:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	195	23¢	$45	0x91167e…
07-23 00:42:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	55	23¢	$13	0xc5d130…
07-23 00:30:51	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x400900…
07-23 00:12:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	205	21¢	$43	0xafb3b1…
07-23 00:07:18	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	No	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x554878…
07-23 00:06:30	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	BUY	231	86¢	$198	0xf96808…
07-23 00:05:24	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	Yes	SELL	94	25¢	$24	0x993509…
07-22 23:24:55	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	121	46¢	$56	0xd4671d…
07-22 23:06:13	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	90	23¢	$21	0xd00907…
07-22 23:02:07	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x14710b…
07-22 21:49:06	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	350	78¢	$273	0x506c1c…