Realized P&L
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$271
Hit rate
37.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
9,745
lifetime
Volume
$246.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$4.30K
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 06-29 19:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
53% 44% $-1,641
Other
41% 20% $-73
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$55
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 511 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,423 $-907 68¢ $-961 $-54 06-12 12:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -783 $-760 100¢ $-782 $-22 06-08 17:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -648 $-518 84¢ $-541 $-23 06-29 19:37
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -483 $-473 100¢ $-482 $-9 06-06 14:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -892 $-330 41¢ $-366 $-36 06-12 18:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,222 $-178 14¢ $-300 $-122 06-21 08:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -216 $-213 100¢ $-215 $-2 06-08 09:34
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No -202 $-196 97¢ $-197 $-1 06-08 09:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -194 $-190 100¢ $-194 $-4 06-06 14:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-69 84¢ $-84 $-14 06-12 12:39
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -64 $-45 99¢ $-64 $-19 06-20 21:17
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -60 $-56 96¢ $-57 $-1 06-12 12:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -46 $-33 72¢ $-33 $-0 06-15 08:46
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -23 $-23 100¢ $-23 $-1 06-08 09:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -865 $-43 $-2 +$41 06-13 18:15
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +421 $29 $1 $-28 05-29 10:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -76 $-23 $-0 +$23 06-14 21:35