Realized P&L
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$523
Hit rate
37.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
9,689
lifetime
Volume
$241.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$4.03K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 06-09 17:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
53% 44% $-1,641
Other
41% 20% $-73
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$55
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 4863 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes -765 $-758 100¢ $-763 $-5 06-06 14:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -783 $-760 97¢ $-760 $-0 06-08 17:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -732 $-519 70¢ $-516 +$4 06-09 13:07
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -483 $-473 99¢ $-479 $-6 06-06 14:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,641 $615 16¢ $436 $-179 06-01 14:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,434 $597 20¢ $287 $-310 06-01 10:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -216 $-213 99¢ $-214 $-0 06-08 09:34
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No -202 $-196 97¢ $-196 $-0 06-08 09:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -194 $-190 98¢ $-191 $-1 06-06 14:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -204 $-159 80¢ $-164 $-5 06-03 04:04
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -23 $-23 94¢ $-22 +$1 06-08 09:35
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +421 $29 $7 $-22 05-29 10:36
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-2 100¢ $-0 +$1 06-01 08:16