Realized P&L
-$5.31K
Unrealized P&L
-$580
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
702
Trades
10,786
lifetime
Volume
$331.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$4.88K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 07-30 14:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
53% 58% -$5,462
Other
42% 56% -$421
Tech
4% 59% +$480
Crypto
1% 71% +$139
Sports
0% 50% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$32
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -2,065 -$1,670 96¢ $-1987 -$317 07-22 01:05
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -667 -$604 98¢ $-651 -$47 04-30 13:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -593 -$520 94¢ $-560 -$41 07-30 14:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -548 -$418 85¢ $-468 -$50 06-02 21:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -425 -$247 86¢ $-364 -$117 05-23 00:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -219 -$190 97¢ $-212 -$21 05-18 06:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -205 -$178 94¢ $-193 -$15 07-30 14:52
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -176 -$139 92¢ $-161 -$21 07-30 14:52
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -83 -$79 97¢ $-81 -$2 07-10 05:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -82 -$50 96¢ $-79 -$30 05-06 14:51
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -60 -$56 98¢ $-59 -$2 06-12 12:39
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -45 -$44 97¢ $-44 +$0 07-30 14:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -165 -$38 8¢ $-14 +$24 06-12 18:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$69 11¢ $-11 +$58 06-12 12:39