Realized P&L
-$5.31K
Unrealized P&L
-$576
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
702
Trades
10,786
lifetime
Volume
$331.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$4.88K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 07-30 14:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
53%
58%
-$5,462
Other
42%
56%
-$421
Tech
4%
59%
+$480
Crypto
1%
71%
+$139
Sports
0%
50%
-$11
Pop-Culture
0%
33%
-$32
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 141 | $15.3K | 35,023 | 34,934 | +89 | No | -$36 | 05-26 13:56 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 122 | $12.3K | 14,192 | 15,573 | -1,381 | Yes | +$504 | 06-13 18:14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 532 | $10.7K | 8,463 | 8,463 | +0 | No | +$219 | 05-18 15:07 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 47 | $9.8K | 12,642 | 10,356 | +2,286 | No | +$618 | 05-26 14:38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 156 | $8.5K | 8,143 | 9,603 | -1,461 | No | +$325 | 06-14 21:35 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 42 | $8.3K | 4,640 | 4,640 | +0 | No | +$301 | 05-30 13:48 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 105 | $8.0K | 9,299 | 9,299 | +0 | No | -$1,578 | 05-29 16:53 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 29 | $7.4K | 6,504 | 4,859 | +1,644 | No | +$221 | 05-08 11:45 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 47 | $6.8K | 7,845 | 6,802 | +1,043 | No | +$521 | 05-08 13:07 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 51 | $6.4K | 3,525 | 3,525 | -0 | No | -$17 | 05-06 17:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 69 | $6.3K | 13,898 | 13,898 | +0 | Yes | -$1,123 | 06-14 17:48 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 27 | $6.3K | 3,999 | 3,999 | +0 | No | +$556 | 04-26 08:53 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 23 | $6.1K | 3,194 | 3,194 | +0 | No | +$154 | 04-26 15:02 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 51 | $5.9K | 5,301 | 5,301 | +0 | No | +$88 | 06-12 12:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 60 | $5.3K | 2,585 | 2,872 | -288 | Yes | +$10 | 04-10 07:29 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 34 | $5.2K | 4,554 | 4,554 | +0 | No | -$138 | 05-24 16:06 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 41 | $4.7K | 2,581 | 2,581 | +0 | Yes | -$21 | 05-07 16:46 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 95 | $4.4K | 3,835 | 2,199 | +1,637 | Yes | -$1,222 | 05-07 12:07 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 18 | $4.1K | 5,974 | 5,974 | +0 | open | — | 05-21 17:22 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 30 | $4.1K | 11,372 | 11,372 | -0 | open | — | 07-30 14:53 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 37 | $4.0K | 3,903 | 3,897 | +6 | Yes | -$171 | 05-27 03:00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 30 | $3.9K | 2,457 | 1,642 | +816 | Yes | -$760 | 05-07 12:07 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | 57 | $3.7K | 2,055 | 2,648 | -593 | open | — | 07-30 14:52 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 23 | $3.3K | 4,462 | 4,462 | +0 | No | +$192 | 04-21 08:06 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 60 | $3.2K | 1,792 | 1,792 | +0 | No | +$215 | 04-12 20:02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 30 | $3.0K | 3,953 | 3,003 | +950 | Yes | -$459 | 06-12 21:09 |
| cricipl che kol 2026 04 14 | 32 | $2.8K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Chennai Super Kings | +$100 | 04-14 17:02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 44 | $2.6K | 20,473 | 13,994 | +6,478 | No | +$62 | 04-29 12:55 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | 43 | $2.6K | 2,805 | 2,971 | -165 | open | — | 06-12 18:58 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 18 | $2.6K | 1,367 | 1,529 | -162 | No | +$290 | 06-07 10:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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