Clear-Cut-Gravel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.0%

Resolved

Trades

9,763

lifetime

Volume

$247.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 07-30 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

53% 44% $-1,641

Other

41% 20% $-73

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$55

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	140	$15.2K	35,023	34,648	+376	open	—	05-26 13:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	532	$10.7K	8,463	8,463	+0	open	—	05-18 15:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	45	$9.7K	12,212	10,356	+1,856	open	—	05-26 14:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	42	$8.3K	4,640	4,640	+0	open	—	05-30 13:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	105	$8.0K	9,299	9,299	+0	open	—	05-29 16:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	29	$7.4K	6,504	4,859	+1,644	open	—	05-08 11:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	46	$6.5K	7,485	6,802	+683	No	+$428	05-08 13:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	50	$6.4K	3,494	3,525	-32	open	—	05-06 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	27	$6.3K	3,999	3,999	+0	open	—	04-26 08:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	23	$6.1K	3,194	3,194	+0	open	—	04-26 15:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	60	$5.3K	2,585	2,872	-288	open	—	04-10 07:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	30	$4.9K	4,548	4,086	+462	open	—	05-24 16:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	41	$4.7K	2,581	2,581	+0	Yes	$-21	05-07 16:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	95	$4.4K	3,835	2,199	+1,637	Yes	$-1,222	05-07 12:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	30	$3.9K	2,457	1,642	+816	Yes	$-760	05-07 12:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	23	$3.3K	4,462	4,462	+0	open	—	04-21 08:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	60	$3.2K	1,792	1,792	+0	open	—	04-12 20:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	31	$3.0K	3,640	4,776	-1,136	open	—	06-13 17:12
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	32	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-14 17:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	44	$2.6K	20,473	13,994	+6,478	open	—	04-29 12:55
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	45	$2.5K	1,937	1,124	+813	open	—	05-11 01:03
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	12	$2.4K	1,925	802	+1,123	open	—	05-29 16:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	55	$2.2K	4,798	3,162	+1,635	open	—	05-09 13:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	37	$2.1K	1,543	1,543	+0	open	—	04-22 13:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$2.1K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	06-01 14:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	10	$2.1K	1,098	1,098	+0	open	—	04-21 15:12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$2.0K	1,329	1,329	+0	open	—	05-12 09:00
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	21	$1.9K	1,952	1,554	+398	open	—	05-19 15:20
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	24	$1.9K	1,699	1,577	+122	open	—	04-21 23:07
Iran leadership change by May 31?	19	$1.9K	1,512	1,512	+0	open	—	05-28 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 14:53:44	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$34	0xcb6a87…
07-30 14:53:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	239	8¢	$19	0x56339b…
07-30 14:53:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	61	48¢	$29	0x58eeb9…
07-30 14:53:02	US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xdee491…
07-30 14:52:41	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87	91¢	$79	0x3eb294…
07-30 14:52:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	205	87¢	$178	0xa35e2a…
07-30 14:52:12	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	271	89¢	$241	0xa89b60…
07-11 20:42:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xe6787a…
07-11 20:42:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 extra time	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xaf152b…
07-10 05:56:55	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	95¢	$79	0x896d64…
07-06 12:03:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	254	77¢	$196	0x645ee7…
07-06 09:26:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x657b63…
07-06 09:26:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x15cbef…
07-06 09:26:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	77¢	$53	0x67c0d6…
07-03 14:07:37	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	71	86¢	$61	0xae35ba…
07-03 14:05:52	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	62	85¢	$53	0x2a0f54…
07-03 13:14:59	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x44033c…
07-02 10:38:14	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0x4628c9…
06-29 19:37:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	208	84¢	$173	0x1d518f…
06-24 21:32:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	72	80¢	$57	0x61c18b…
06-22 04:27:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	164	78¢	$128	0x506b6f…
06-21 08:32:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,308	8¢	$105	0x4f8b32…
06-21 07:43:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	8¢	$12	0x866fb0…
06-20 21:57:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0xf8e9f8…
06-20 21:17:38	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	SELL	64	70¢	$45	0xb4c454…
06-20 09:58:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	741	8¢	$59	0x62d240…
06-18 17:21:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x3b38cc…
06-15 08:46:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	71¢	$33	0x331322…
06-14 21:35:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	76	30¢	$23	0x007277…
06-14 17:48:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	78	80¢	$62	0x0216e1…
06-14 17:46:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	16	79¢	$12	0xea4810…
06-14 12:31:28	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x2da1d2…
06-13 18:15:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	865	5¢	$43	0x5f52c5…
06-13 18:13:37	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	1,116	96¢	$1,075	0x1d759b…
06-13 17:54:10	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe1e3cf…
06-13 17:12:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x042696…
06-13 17:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x0b6668…
06-13 17:11:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	59¢	$15	0x2e36e5…
06-13 16:58:04	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xa143c3…
06-13 16:57:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	61¢	$83	0x939442…
06-13 16:52:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x066e9c…
06-13 16:51:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	64¢	$23	0xd16c55…
06-13 16:51:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	63¢	$71	0xe814f9…
06-13 16:46:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xd5bd04…
06-13 12:59:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	48¢	$120	0xc59f94…
06-13 12:58:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	48¢	$152	0x54b791…
06-13 12:57:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	311	48¢	$149	0xbb92f8…
06-13 12:57:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	48¢	$79	0x6c9153…
06-13 07:11:10	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xe2ffb0…
06-12 22:44:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	41¢	$29	0x891372…
06-12 22:39:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	40¢	$25	0xc111e7…
06-12 21:10:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	41¢	$28	0x9c1d60…
06-12 21:09:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	242	52¢	$126	0x4ce03d…
06-12 21:01:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x0e6917…
06-12 19:48:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	45¢	$198	0xecc8ba…
06-12 19:42:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	45¢	$222	0x8a8961…
06-12 19:42:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	121	55¢	$66	0x82f8bb…
06-12 18:58:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	892	37¢	$330	0xd54d4a…
06-12 17:11:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x130a69…
06-12 17:11:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	37¢	$99	0xc4c9be…
06-12 17:11:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	418	37¢	$155	0x33a67a…
06-12 17:05:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x000471…
06-12 16:55:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x39e681…
06-12 16:54:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x869985…
06-12 16:30:57	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x8a4cac…
06-12 16:24:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	103	50¢	$51	0x23c555…
06-12 15:18:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	37¢	$25	0x5752f4…
06-12 14:53:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	31¢	$42	0x6fc0eb…
06-12 12:39:24	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xdabf31…
06-12 12:39:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x1c3e6b…
06-12 12:35:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	692	56¢	$387	0xe637c0…
06-12 08:00:27	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	119	23¢	$27	0xc3dcbe…
06-11 18:30:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	344	34¢	$116	0x18a75d…
06-10 21:04:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,220	14¢	$311	0x845fe6…
06-09 17:38:07	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x9fc390…
06-09 13:07:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	257	71¢	$183	0xf06b77…
06-09 13:07:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	474	71¢	$337	0x034fb5…
06-08 17:54:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	495	97¢	$481	0x8468ab…
06-08 16:30:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xdd8524…
06-08 16:29:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x25e0e8…
06-08 09:42:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	443	60¢	$266	0xa2287f…
06-08 09:38:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	583	57¢	$332	0x44f092…
06-08 09:35:57	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$23	0xc746e9…
06-08 09:34:42	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	202	97¢	$196	0x8b2f6c…
06-08 09:34:27	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$213	0x480b1c…
06-08 09:33:36	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	400	97¢	$389	0x6c1d0b…
06-08 09:30:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6,979	4¢	$279	0xb969dd…
06-06 14:23:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	194	98¢	$190	0x83e92a…
06-06 14:21:49	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	305	98¢	$299	0xee26a9…
06-06 14:21:27	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	765	99¢	$758	0x36562a…
06-03 04:04:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x801f9d…
06-03 01:46:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x0ff7f2…
06-03 01:02:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	65	78¢	$51	0x41fcb0…
06-03 00:46:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x4c377c…
06-03 00:46:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x2b88b8…
06-03 00:24:20	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	67	78¢	$52	0xfe900b…
06-02 15:49:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	39¢	$27	0x49a142…
06-02 15:31:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xfa8fae…
06-02 15:28:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0xba0fd3…
06-02 15:28:35	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x6b68f7…