Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
-$168
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
5
5 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.12K
$1.12K lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$1.34K
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
97%
Other
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes -3,051 $-732 31¢ $-946 $-214 05-05 19:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +320 $269 92¢ $296 +$27 05-05 11:25
Iran leadership change by May 31? Yes -540 $-54 $-41 +$13 05-05 11:06
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No -93 $-39 36¢ $-33 +$6 05-05 01:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No +39 $28 68¢ $27 $-1 05-04 22:39