Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
-$231
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
6
6 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.34K
$1.34K lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$1.61K
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
97%
Other
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes -3,051 $-732 33¢ $-1007 $-275 05-05 19:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +320 $269 94¢ $299 +$30 05-05 11:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +710 $220 30¢ $209 $-11 05-06 02:29
Iran leadership change by May 31? Yes -540 $-54 $-38 +$16 05-05 11:06
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No -93 $-39 33¢ $-31 +$8 05-05 01:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No +39 $28 68¢ $27 $-1 05-04 22:39